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Predictions graded

Anna Siskova #207Czechia2Noma Akugue Noha #142Germany1

Sets 1-6 · 6-4 · 7-5Tue 25 Aug 2026, 17:20 Predictions gradedQ1Hard

Predictions3–350%

Edges4–0100%

Player Profiles

Ranking advantageNoma Akugue Noha · 65 places

Anna Siskova

Czechia

Czech right-hander, born July 1, 2001. WTA lists a singles career-high ranking of No. 212; no reliable source from this search established a preferred surface.

Current ranking: #207
Peak ranking: #212 · 2026
Current age: 25
Preferred surface: —
Hand: Right handed
Height: —

Noma Akugue Noha

Germany

Twenty-two-year-old left-hander from Reinbek, Germany. Her Roland-Garros profile lists a best singles ranking of No. 137; the supplied current ranking is No. 142.

Current ranking: #142
Peak ranking: #137
Current age: 22
Preferred surface: —
Hand: Left handed
Height: 170 cm

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 25 Aug 2026, 22:05 · Europe/Bucharest

Siskova's superior recent form and return game give her a clear edge over Noha, but the moneyline odds offer no value.

The match could be closer than expected due to Noha's competitiveness, making the set 3 winner market on Siskova the best betting angle. Avoid the total games over and game handicap markets due to surface transition and Noha's resilience.

Context

Siskova's last 15 matches are all on clay, with a 11-4 record.
- Her last hard-court match was in 2025, where she went 20-3 on hard courts.
- Her career hard-court win rate is 78% (78-22), but the recent sample is absent.
Noha's first-serve in rate is 61.7% over her last 15 matches.
- She wins only 45.2% of second-serve points, well below Siskova's 47.6%.
- Siskova's return points won is 50.4%, indicating she can pressure Noha's serve.
Noha's average match duration is 117.2 minutes vs Siskova's 92.6 minutes.
- Noha's average games per match is 23.5 vs Siskova's 20.7.
- Noha has played 7 three-set matches in her last 15, while Siskova has played 5.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 1

Other edges · 3

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerwonUncertainty band: Lean

Anna Siskova

1.36fair 1.61

BetBugs 62% · Market 73.5%

0.0ppshort

Siskova's superior recent form and return game give her a clear edge, but the odds are heavily skewed and offer no value.

Match WinnerwonUncertainty band: Lean

Anna Siskova

1.36fair 1.28

BetBugs 62% · Market 73.5%

0.0ppshort

Siskova's superior recent form and return game should overwhelm Noha, who has struggled on hard courts.

Total GameswonUncertainty band: Lean

Over 26.5

1.30fair 1.72

BetBugs 58% · Market 76.9%

−18.9ppshort

The over line is set too high relative to the model's expectation of a competitive but not marathon match.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.36
The read
Siskova's stronger recent form and superior return game give her the edge on hard court.
- Anna Siskova last 15 overall record 11-4 (73.3%), Noma Akugue Noha 7-8 (46.7%)
- Siskova last 15 total points won 53.5% vs Noha 49.3%
- Siskova last 15 return points won 50.4% vs Noha 43.0%
- Siskova career hard court win% 78/100 = 78%, Noha 16/32 = 50%
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonAnna SiskovaEstimated chance62%

Games1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Noha's longer matches and competitive recent form suggest a match with over 20 games.
- Siskova last 15 average duration 92.6 min, Noha 117.2 min
- Noha last 15 average games per match 23.5, Siskova 20.7
- Both players have multiple three-set matches in recent form
BetBugs · Total GameswonOver 20.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The first set is likely to be competitive, with both players capable of holding serve.
- Siskova last 15 first set average games 9.3
- Noha last 15 first set average games 9.7
- Both players have close first sets in recent matches
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameslostOver 9.5Estimated chance52%

Sets0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Siskova's return advantage should pressure Noha's serve early, giving her the first set edge.
- Siskova first set win conversion career 84%, Noha 88%
- Siskova last 15 first serve points won 60.5%, Noha 61.2%
- Siskova last 15 return points won 50.4%, Noha 43.0%
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerlostAnna SiskovaEstimated chance60%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both players have high double fault rates, making over 5.5 likely in a competitive match.
- Noha last 15 double faults per match 3.5, Siskova 2.7
- Combined average double faults per match 6.2
- Noha second serve points won only 45.2% last 15
BetBugs · Total Double Faultsnot gradableOver 5.5Estimated chance50%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

The handicap line underestimates Noha's ability to keep the match close, especially given her competitive recent form and Siskova's surface transition.

Anna Siskova

11W 4L

4-6 6-2 7-5#356Yelyzaveta Kotliar

6-3 6-0#829Laetitia Pulchartova

7-6(6) 1-6 6-3#451Rasheeda Mcadoo

6-0 6-3#579Ruth Roura Llaverias

7-5 1-6 6-2#666Merel Hoedt

6-2 6-1#859Sonja Zhenikhova

6-3 6-2#502Maria Martinez Vaquero

6-4 7-5#276Berfu Cengiz

6-2 6-3#114Julia Grabher

6-1 6-1#833Meritxell Teixido Garcia

6-3 7-6(5)#171Teodora Kostovic

3-6 6-3 6-1#194Anastasiia Sobolieva

6-2 6-0—Ava Schueller

6-3 5-7 6-4#485Aneta Kucmova

6-2 6-3#493Irina Balus

Noma Akugue Noha

7W 8L

3-6 7-6(6) 7-5#314Weronika Falkowska

6-2 6-3#185Julia Avdeeva

6-1 3-6 7-5#70Anna Bondar

6-3 2-6 6-2#492Valentina Steiner

6-3 6-1#104Francesca Jones

5-7 6-2 6-3#226Darya Astakhova

6-1 7-5#247Alice Rame

7-5 2-6 6-2#232Irene Burillo

6-4 5-7 7-5#213Katherine Sebov

7-6(2) 6-3#130Lisa Pigato

4-6 6-1 6-2#180Rebeka Masarova

7-6(4) 6-1#129Katarzyna Kawa

6-4 6-4#172Tiantsoa Rakotomanga Rajaonah

6-0 6-4#202Sara Sorribes Tormo

6-2 7-5#230Kajsa Rinaldo Persson

Stat Battle

Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.

ASAnna SiskovaSiskova

Last 15

5–3

9 core stats · 1 even

Noma Akugue NohaNohaNN

Anna Siskova carries the stronger recent form — Noma Akugue Noha's route runs through pressure.

Serve · 3–1 · 1 even

1st Serve In70.0%+8.3pp61.7%

1st Serve Won60.5%—61.2%

2nd Serve Won47.6%+2.4pp45.2%

Aces / Match0.9+1.32.2

Double Faults / Match2.70.8 fewer3.5

Return · 1–0

Return Pts Won50.4%+7.4pp43.0%

Pressure · 0–2

Break Pts Converted47.1%+1.3pp48.4%

Break Pts Saved48.5%+8.8pp57.3%

Points · 1–0

Total Pts Won53.5%+4.2pp49.3%

Serve · 3–1 · 1 even

70.0%1st Serve In+8.3pp61.7%

60.5%1st Serve Won—61.2%

47.6%2nd Serve Won+2.4pp45.2%

0.9Aces / Match+1.32.2

2.7Double Faults / Match0.8 fewer3.5

Return · 1–0

50.4%Return Pts Won+7.4pp43.0%

Pressure · 0–2

47.1%Break Pts Converted+1.3pp48.4%

48.5%Break Pts Saved+8.8pp57.3%

Points · 1–0

53.5%Total Pts Won+4.2pp49.3%