GermanyAugsburg - GermanyFinished

Predictions graded

Sandro Kopp #280Austria2Eduardo Ribeiro #372Brazil1

Sets 6-1 · 6-7 · 6-1Mon 24 Aug 2026, 12:20 Predictions gradedFirst RoundClay

Predictions8–0100%

Edges1–0100%

Player Profiles

Ranking advantageSandro Kopp · 92 places

Sandro Kopp

Austria

Austrian player, age 26. His available 2026 ITF record is concentrated on clay; a reliably dated career-high ranking was not confirmed against the supplied current ranking.

Current ranking: #280
Peak ranking: —
Current age: 26
Preferred surface: Clay
Hand: Right handed
Height: 185 cm

Eduardo Ribeiro

Brazil

Born 17 March 1998; career-high singles No. 316 on 17 July 2023. His six listed ITF singles titles were all won on clay.

Current ranking: #372
Peak ranking: #316 · 2023
Current age: 28
Preferred surface: —
Hand: Right handed
Height: 178 cm

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 23 Aug 2026, 15:43 · Europe/Bucharest

Sandro Kopp holds a clear edge on clay with better recent form and serve metrics, making him the likely winner, but the odds offer little value.

The match is expected to be competitive, with over 21.5 total games and Ribeiro +3.5 games presenting the best betting angles.

Context

Kopp last 15 on clay: 9-6 (60%) vs Ribeiro 6-9 (40%)
- Kopp first serve points won 68.8% vs Ribeiro 63.6%
- Kopp total points won 52.4% vs Ribeiro 50.2%
Lost to Niels Mcdonald (rank 531) on 2026-08-12
- Lost to Samuel Heredia (rank 653) on 2026-07-02
- Lost to George Lazarov (unranked) on 2026-08-04
Kopp last 15: 6 three-set matches
- Ribeiro last 15: 5 three-set matches
- Both players average around 20-21 games per match

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Other edges · 1

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerwonUncertainty band: Lean

Sandro Kopp

1.50fair 1.72

BetBugs 58% · Market 66.7%

0.0ppshort

Kopp's superior last-15 clay record and serve metrics support a moderate edge, but the odds imply a higher probability than the model estimate.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.50
The read
Kopp has a clear recent form and serve-structure edge on clay, supported by better last-15 win rate and first-serve effectiveness.
- Last 15 on clay: Kopp 9-6 (60%) vs Ribeiro 6-9 (40%)
- Kopp last 15 total points won 52.4% vs Ribeiro 50.2%
- Kopp first serve points won 68.8% vs Ribeiro 63.6%
- Kopp ranking 280 vs Ribeiro 378
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonSandro KoppEstimated chance58%

Games3 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both players' recent matches average around 21 games, and their competitive profiles suggest a close contest likely to exceed 21.5 total games.
- Kopp last 15 average 20.4 games per match
- Ribeiro last 15 average 21.2 games per match
- Both players have multiple three-set matches in recent form
BetBugs · Total GameswonOver 21.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Ribeiro's recent competitiveness and Kopp's moderate edge suggest Ribeiro can stay within 3.5 games.
- Kopp last 15 games won 54.6% vs Ribeiro 49.7%
- Kopp average games won per match 11.1 vs Ribeiro 10.5
- Ribeiro has kept matches close against higher-ranked opponents
BetBugs · Game HandicapwonEduardo Ribeiro +3.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Recent first-set game averages for both players are near or above 9.5, indicating a competitive opening set.
- Kopp last 15 first sets average 9.7 games
- Ribeiro last 15 first sets average 9.9 games
- Both players have tiebreaks in recent first sets
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameswonOver 9.5Estimated chance58%

Sets2 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Kopp's superior recent set-winning percentage and stronger serve numbers make him the likely first-set winner.
- Kopp first set win conversion career 85% vs Ribeiro 89%
- Kopp last 15 sets won 60.6% vs Ribeiro 43.8%
- Kopp last 15 first serve points won 68.8% vs Ribeiro 63.6%
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerwonSandro KoppEstimated chance56%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
With both players showing frequent three-set matches and no dominant edge, a deciding set is more likely than not.
- Kopp last 15: 6 three-set matches
- Ribeiro last 15: 5 three-set matches
- Both players have similar competitive levels on clay
BetBugs · Total SetswonOver 2.5Estimated chance55%

Match stats1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both players average 1.7 double faults per match, making a combined total under 3.5 likely.
- Kopp last 15 double faults per match 1.7
- Ribeiro last 15 double faults per match 1.7
- Combined average double faults per match 3.4
BetBugs · Total Double Faultsnot gradableUnder 3.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Recent form shows both players frequently involved in tiebreaks, and their competitive level suggests at least one tiebreak is likely.
- Kopp career tiebreak win percentage 53%
- Ribeiro career tiebreak win percentage 47%
- Both players have multiple recent tiebreaks in their last 15 matches
BetBugs · Tiebreak in MatchwonYesEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The combined ace averages slightly exceed 4.5, though low ace rates make this a marginal over play.
- Kopp last 15 aces per match 2.5
- Ribeiro last 15 aces per match 2.2
- Combined average aces per match 4.7
BetBugs · Total Acesnot gradableOver 4.5Estimated chance52%

Sandro Kopp

9W 6L

3-6 6-1 6-4#514Benjamin Hassan

6-4 6-1#545Luca Wiedenmann

6-1 6-1#410Sebastian Sorger

7-6(6) 6-3#410Sebastian Sorger

6-4 6-4#841Adrian Andreev

6-1 6-3#523Federico Arnaboldi

6-2 6-1—Gabriel Sardo

6-2 6-2—Leonardo Borrelli

6-0 6-4#235Kilian Feldbausch

6-4 6-4#287Pierre-Hugues Herbert

7-6(4) 7-6(5)#368Manas Manoj Dhamne

6-4 6-2#268Hynek Barton

7-6(5) 3-6 7-6(8)#275Inaki Montes-De La Torre

6-2 3-6 6-4#301Petr Nesterov

6-3 6-3#313Dali Blanch

Eduardo Ribeiro

6W 9L

7-6(5) 6-4#239Sumit Nagal

4-6 6-3 6-4#531Niels Mcdonald

6-4 6-4#176Max Alcala Gurri

7-5 6-2—George Lazarov

6-1 6-4#281Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida

6-2 7-5#582Juan Sebastian Gomez

6-4 6-4#653Samuel Heredia

6-4 6-4#885Tomas Martinez

7-5 6-2#340Hernan Casanova

6-3 7-6(5)#288Juan Manuel La Serna

6-1 6-2#463Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez

0-6 6-4 6-4#660Johan Alexander Rodriguez

6-3 7-5#748Santiago De La Fuente

7-6(9) 7-5#233Guido Ivan Justo

6-4 6-4#335Murkel Dellien

Stat Battle

Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.

SKSandro KoppKopp

Last 15

6–1

9 core stats · 2 even

Eduardo RibeiroRibeiroER

Sandro Kopp carries the stronger recent form — Eduardo Ribeiro's route runs through pressure.

Serve · 3–0 · 2 even

1st Serve In67.7%+5.5pp62.2%

1st Serve Won68.8%+5.2pp63.6%

2nd Serve Won53.1%—52.9%

Aces / Match2.5+0.32.2

Double Faults / Match1.7—1.7

Return · 1–0

Return Pts Won41.8%+0.9pp40.9%

Pressure · 1–1

Break Pts Converted40.0%+7.5pp47.5%

Break Pts Saved58.2%+6.7pp51.5%

Points · 1–0

Total Pts Won52.4%+2.2pp50.2%

Serve · 3–0 · 2 even

67.7%1st Serve In+5.5pp62.2%

68.8%1st Serve Won+5.2pp63.6%

53.1%2nd Serve Won—52.9%

2.5Aces / Match+0.32.2

1.7Double Faults / Match—1.7

Return · 1–0

41.8%Return Pts Won+0.9pp40.9%

Pressure · 1–1

40.0%Break Pts Converted+7.5pp47.5%

58.2%Break Pts Saved+6.7pp51.5%

Points · 1–0

52.4%Total Pts Won+2.2pp50.2%