GermanyAugsburg - GermanyFinished

Predictions graded

Andrej Nedic #246Bosnia & Herzegovina1Juan Estevez #339Argentina2

Sets 6-2 · 4-6 · 3-6Mon 24 Aug 2026, 11:30 Predictions gradedFirst RoundClay

Predictions5–271%

Edges3–175%

Player Profiles

Ranking advantageAndrej Nedic · 93 places

Andrej Nedic

Bosnia & Herzegovina

Age 21 and currently ranked No. 246, with a published career high of No. 237. Most of his recorded matches have been on clay, but no reliable source explicitly identifies a preferred surface.

Current ranking: #246
Peak ranking: #237
Current age: 21
Preferred surface: —
Hand: Right handed
Height: 185 cm

Juan Estevez

Argentina

Limited reliable public profile information surfaced in the specified searches. Use structured form and match data as the main context.

Current ranking: #339
Peak ranking: —
Current age: —
Preferred surface: —
Hand: Right handed
Height: 170 cm

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 23 Aug 2026, 15:41 · Europe/Bucharest

Estevez holds a clear recent-form edge over Nedic, who retired 11 days ago and has struggled in return points.

Back Estevez on the moneyline and first set, and consider over 21.5 total games in what should be a competitive match.

Context

Nedic retired at 6-7(5) 6-4 3-0 against Taberner on 13 August, 11 days before this match.
- The retirement came in the second round of the Hamburg Challenger, so he has not played a completed match since.
- No current source confirms the injury is resolved, so his physical readiness is uncertain.
Estevez last 15 return points won: 45.4% (496/1092).
- Nedic last 15 return points won: 39.4% (404/1025).
- Estevez also leads total points won 52.8% to 49.7% over the same window.
Nedic last 15 record: 7-8 (46.7%).
- Nedic career clay win percentage: 67% (173-85).
- Nedic has lost 5 of his last 8 completed matches.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 3.30
The read
Estevez has a clear recent-form edge in return points and overall record, and Nedic's retirement 11 days ago adds a fitness concern.
- Last 15 overall record: Estevez 60% (9-6) vs Nedic 46.7% (7-8)
- Last 15 return points won: Estevez 45.4% vs Nedic 39.4%
- Last 15 total points won: Estevez 52.8% vs Nedic 49.7%
- Career clay win percentage: Estevez 60.3% vs Nedic 67% (but Nedic's recent form is weaker)
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonJuan EstevezEstimated chance58%

Games1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.80
The read
Both players' recent matches average over 21.5 games, and their similar level suggests a competitive match.
- Nedic last 15 average games per match: 22.3 (335 games / 15 matches)
- Estevez last 15 average games per match: 21.7 (326 games / 15 matches)
- Both players have played multiple three-set matches recently
BetBugs · Total GameswonOver 21.5Estimated chance62%

Sets1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.90
The read
Estevez's stronger recent overall form and return game should give him the edge in the opening set.
- Estevez last 15 first-set record: 9-6 (60%)
- Nedic last 15 first-set record: 7-8 (46.7%)
- Estevez first-serve points won last 15: 64.3% vs Nedic 62.9%
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerlostJuan EstevezEstimated chance56%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.80
The read
The closeness of the matchup and both players' tendency to play three-setters support the over.
- Nedic last 15: 8 of 15 matches went to three sets (53.3%)
- Estevez last 15: 7 of 15 matches went to three sets (46.7%)
- Both players have similar competitive profiles
BetBugs · Total SetswonOver 2.5Estimated chance55%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both players have low ace rates, making under 5.5 total aces likely.
- Nedic last 15 aces per match: 1.6
- Estevez last 15 aces per match: 1.1
- Combined average aces per match: 2.7
BetBugs · Total Acesnot gradableUnder 5.5Estimated chance65%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Nedic is priced as a heavy favorite, but recent form and fitness concerns make this a trap.

Andrej Nedic

7W 8L

6-7(5) 6-4 3-0 ret.#381Carlos Taberner

3-6 6-4 6-4#594Ergi Kirkin

7-6(3) 6-2#268Hynek Barton

4-6 6-2 6-0#145Tom Gentzsch

6-1 7-6(2)#239Sumit Nagal

6-3 6-4#328Enrico Dalla Valle

6-4 6-3#171Lukas Neumayer

6-1 7-6(3)#198Keegan Smith

6-3 6-4#237Franco Roncadelli

6-2 6-0#252Harold Mayot

7-6(5) 7-5#254Felix Balshaw

6-2 6-4#176Max Alcala Gurri

6-7(4) 6-3 7-5#543Sebastian Gima

6-1 6-2#631Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros

7-5 6-7(5) 6-1#663Nikita Mashtakov

Juan Estevez

9W 6L

6-1 3-6 7-5#365Geoffrey Blancaneaux

7-6(4) 6-7(3) 7-6(5)—Nico Hipfl

6-0 6-0—Alex Bergomi

4-6 6-4 6-4#760Juan Sebastian Osorio

6-0 6-2—Joao Vitor Scramin Do Lago

6-4 6-0#820Lucas Andrade Da Silva

6-2 3-6 6-3#900Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas

4-6 6-2 6-2—Joao Vitor Scramin Do Lago

6-3 3-6 6-1#503Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo

6-2 6-3—Felipe Pagnacco

6-3 2-6 6-1—Segundo Goity Zapico

6-1 6-4#394Carlos Maria Zarate

7-6(4) 6-4#503Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo

6-0 6-0—Felipe De Dios

6-2 6-3—Federico Aguilar Cardozo

Stat Battle

Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.

ANAndrej NedicNedic

Last 15

3–5

9 core stats · 1 even

Juan EstevezEstevezJE

Juan Estevez carries the stronger recent form — Andrej Nedic's route runs through pressure.

Serve · 1–3 · 1 even

1st Serve In68.4%—68.1%

1st Serve Won62.9%+1.4pp64.3%

2nd Serve Won51.1%+2.0pp53.1%

Aces / Match1.6+0.51.1

Double Faults / Match1.90.3 fewer1.6

Return · 0–1

Return Pts Won39.4%+6.0pp45.4%

Pressure · 2–0

Break Pts Converted50.6%+2.2pp48.4%

Break Pts Saved60.4%+5.5pp54.9%

Points · 0–1

Total Pts Won49.7%+3.1pp52.8%

Serve · 1–3 · 1 even

68.4%1st Serve In—68.1%

62.9%1st Serve Won+1.4pp64.3%

51.1%2nd Serve Won+2.0pp53.1%

1.6Aces / Match+0.51.1

1.9Double Faults / Match0.3 fewer1.6

Return · 0–1

39.4%Return Pts Won+6.0pp45.4%

Pressure · 2–0

50.6%Break Pts Converted+2.2pp48.4%

60.4%Break Pts Saved+5.5pp54.9%

Points · 0–1

49.7%Total Pts Won+3.1pp52.8%