Viktor Durasovic #475Norway00 – 2Lucas Poullain #369France2

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.50

The read

Poullain's stronger recent hard-court form, higher return points won (42.8% vs 40.6%), and better break point conversion (46.7% vs 39.3%) give him a clear edge in this Bo3 hard-court match.

• Poullain last 15 on hard: 7-4 record, 55% games won, 52.1% total points won (11 matches tracked).
• Durasovic last 15 on hard: 3-2 record, 51.4% games won, 50.1% total points won (5 matches tracked).
• Poullain career hard-court win rate 64.2% vs Durasovic 53.7% overall; Poullain ranking 369 vs Durasovic 457.
• Poullain recent form: 6 straight wins on hard, including 6-0 7-6(5) over #248 Basing on 17 Aug.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Durasovic's competitive hard-court matches and Poullain's occasional lapses make +3.5 games a solid cover.

• Durasovic last 15 hard: 51.4% games won; Poullain last 15 hard: 55% games won.
• Durasovic's last 5 hard matches: 3 wins, 2 losses, all competitive (no blowouts).
• Poullain's recent wins include 6-0 7-6 and 6-1 6-0, but Durasovic has not lost by more than 3 games in last 5 hard matches.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Evenly matched recent stats and Durasovic's tendency for longer matches make over 21.5 games likely.

• Durasovic last 15 overall: 52.4% games won, average 25.2 total games per match.
• Poullain last 15 overall: 52.6% games won, average 20.4 total games per match.
• Both players have similar total points won (50.5% vs 50.9%), suggesting competitive sets.
• Durasovic's last 5 hard matches averaged 24.6 total games; Poullain's last 5 hard matches averaged 19.8.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Competitive first sets are likely given both players' solid serve numbers and recent close opening sets.

• Durasovic last 15 hard: 51.4% games won, first set often close (e.g., 6-4, 6-7, 7-6).
• Poullain last 15 hard: 55% games won, but first sets have included 7-5, 6-7, 7-6.
• Both players have first-serve points won around 63-68%, limiting easy breaks.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Poullain's superior hard-court set win rate and recent first-set dominance support him taking the opening set.

• Poullain first-set win conversion career 88% vs Durasovic 86%.
• Poullain last 15 hard: 63.6% record, 60% sets won; Durasovic last 15 hard: 53.3% sets won.
• Poullain won first set in 5 of last 6 hard matches; Durasovic lost first set in 2 of last 3 hard matches.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Durasovic's high double fault rate makes over 5.5 likely even with Poullain's low count.

• Durasovic last 15 overall: 4.5 double faults per match; last 15 hard: 3.8 per match.
• Poullain last 15 overall: 1.0 double faults per match; last 15 hard: 1.2 per match.
• Combined expected double faults: 5.0-5.7 per match, with Durasovic's high rate driving the total.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Durasovic's high ace rate alone nearly covers the line, and Poullain adds a couple on hard courts.

• Durasovic last 15 overall: 5.9 aces per match; last 15 hard: 6.2 aces per match.
• Poullain last 15 overall: 1.8 aces per match; last 15 hard: 2.2 aces per match.
• Combined expected aces: 8.4 per match based on hard-court averages.