SwitzerlandSion - SwitzerlandFinished

Predictions graded

Sandro Kopp #280Austria1Benjamin Hassan #5142

Sets 6-3 · 1-6 · 4-6Wed 19 Aug 2026, 14:40 Predictions gradedSecond RoundClay

Predictions2–340%

Edges2–167%

Player Profiles

Ranking advantageSandro Kopp · 234 places

Sandro Kopp

Austria

Austrian player, age 26. His available 2026 ITF record is concentrated on clay; a reliably dated career-high ranking was not confirmed against the supplied current ranking.

Current ranking: #280
Peak ranking: —
Current age: 26
Preferred surface: Clay
Hand: Right handed
Height: 185 cm

Benjamin Hassan

Lebanese player born 4 February 1995. Reached a career-high ATP singles ranking of No. 143 in June 2024; his recorded career match volume is strongest on clay.

Current ranking: #514
Peak ranking: #143 · 2024
Current age: 31
Preferred surface: Clay
Hand: Right handed
Height: 183 cm

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 18 Aug 2026, 22:26 · Europe/Bucharest

Kopp is the clear favorite on clay with superior recent form, return numbers, and ranking, but the odds on him are too short.

The best betting angle is over 21.5 total games, as Hassan's matches tend to be longer and competitive. Avoid backing Kopp at 1.30 or Hassan at 3.25, as neither offers value.

Context

Kopp's last 15 on clay: 10-5 record, 56.5% games won, 43.2% return points won.
- He lost 6-1 6-1 to Sebastian Sorger on 3 August and retired in a match earlier in the season.
- His recent wins have come against lower-ranked opponents, with only one win over a top-300 player in the last five matches.
Hassan averages 4.8 aces per match in his last 15, compared to Kopp's 2.5.
- Hassan's first-serve percentage is only 52.4%, leading to 3.7 double faults per match.
- Kopp's return points won is 43.2%, which could exploit Hassan's second serves.
Hassan's last 15 matches average 22.7 games per match, with several three-set contests.
- Kopp's last 15 matches average 19.9 games, with many straight-set wins.
- Hassan has played three three-set matches in his last 15, winning two, showing he can push opponents.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 1

Other edges · 2

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerlostUncertainty band: Lean

Sandro Kopp

1.30fair 1.61

BetBugs 62% · Market 76.9%

0.0ppshort

Kopp's superior recent clay form, return numbers, and ranking edge give him a clear but not overwhelming advantage.

Set 1 WinnerwonUncertainty band: Lean

Sandro Kopp

1.36fair 1.67

BetBugs 60% · Market 73.5%

0.0ppshort

Kopp's first-set conversion and serve numbers suggest an edge, but the odds imply a higher probability than the model estimate.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.30
The read
Kopp's superior recent clay form, return numbers, and ranking edge give him a clear but not overwhelming advantage.
- Kopp last 15 on clay: 10-5 record, 56.5% games won, 43.2% return points won
- Hassan last 15 on clay: 8-6 record, 50.3% games won, 37.9% return points won
- Kopp career clay win% 59.1 vs Hassan 57.3; Kopp ranking 280 vs Hassan 514
- H2H: Kopp won 6-4 6-4 on I.hard in 2022
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostSandro KoppEstimated chance62%

Games1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.80
The read
Hassan's matches tend to be longer and competitive, and both players' serve/return profiles suggest a close contest.
- Kopp last 15 average games per match: 19.9; Hassan: 22.7
- Hassan last 15 on clay: 50.3% games won, many three-set matches
- Both players have similar break point save rates around 60%
BetBugs · Total GameswonOver 21.5Estimated chance58%

Sets1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.36
The read
Kopp's strong first-set conversion and slightly better serve numbers make him the likely set 1 winner.
- Kopp first set win conversion 85% career; Hassan 86%
- Kopp last 15 first serve points won 69.2% vs Hassan 68.6%
- Kopp recent clay matches: won first set in 8 of last 10 wins
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerwonSandro KoppEstimated chance60%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Hassan's low first serve percentage and high double fault rate push the combined total above 5.5.
- Kopp double faults per match last 15: 1.9; Hassan: 3.7
- Combined average double faults: 5.6
- Hassan's first serve percentage is only 52.4%, leading to more double faults
BetBugs · Total Double Faultsnot gradableOver 5.5Estimated chance57%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Hassan's serve generates significantly more aces, and combined averages suggest a total above 7.5 is likely.
- Kopp aces per match last 15: 2.5; Hassan: 4.8
- Combined average aces per match: 7.3
- Hassan's higher ace rate on clay (4.9) boosts total
BetBugs · Total Acesnot gradableOver 7.5Estimated chance55%

Head-to-Head

1-0 (1 meetings)

W6-4 6-4Sandro Kopp#280vBenjamin Hassan#514Oct 23, 2022

1 total meetings

Previous match context available

Sandro Kopp

10W 5L

6-4 6-1#545Luca Wiedenmann

6-1 6-1#410Sebastian Sorger

7-6(6) 6-3#410Sebastian Sorger

6-4 6-4#841Adrian Andreev

6-1 6-3#523Federico Arnaboldi

6-2 6-1—Gabriel Sardo

6-2 6-2—Leonardo Borrelli

6-0 6-4#235Kilian Feldbausch

6-4 6-4#287Pierre-Hugues Herbert

7-6(4) 7-6(5)#368Manas Manoj Dhamne

6-4 6-2#268Hynek Barton

7-6(5) 3-6 7-6(8)#275Inaki Montes-De La Torre

6-2 3-6 6-4#301Petr Nesterov

6-3 6-3#313Dali Blanch

6-1 7-5#572Alexander Vasilev

Benjamin Hassan

8W 7L

7-6(4) 6-3#617Oleksandr Ovcharenko

6-3 2-6 7-5#665Leo Raquillet 4-0 ret.—Flynn Thomas

6-3 6-4#512Radu Albot

1-6 6-4 6-4#239Sumit Nagal

6-2 3-6 7-6(3)#302Miguel Damas

6-3 4-6 6-2#467Daniel Siniakov

7-6(4) 6-2#524Alex Marti Pujolras

6-2 6-4#395Georgii Kravchenko

6-3 5-7 7-5#330Daniel Michalski

6-4 6-2#284Filip Cristian Jianu

7-5 5-3 ret.#141Hugo Dellien

6-4 2-6 6-3#193Lautaro Midon

6-4 6-3#122Nicolas Mejia

6-4 2-6 6-3#356Mitchell Krueger

Stat Battle

Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.

SKSandro KoppKopp

Last 15

4–2

9 core stats · 3 even

Benjamin HassanHassanBH

Sandro Kopp carries the stronger recent form — Benjamin Hassan's route runs through pressure.

Serve · 2–1 · 2 even

1st Serve In68.4%+16.0pp52.4%

1st Serve Won69.2%—68.6%

2nd Serve Won52.5%—52.7%

Aces / Match2.5+2.34.8

Double Faults / Match1.91.8 fewer3.7

Return · 1–0

Return Pts Won43.2%+5.8pp37.4%

Pressure · 0–1 · 1 even

Break Pts Converted40.3%+6.8pp47.1%

Break Pts Saved60.0%—59.8%

Points · 1–0

Total Pts Won53.1%+3.7pp49.4%

Serve · 2–1 · 2 even

68.4%1st Serve In+16.0pp52.4%

69.2%1st Serve Won—68.6%

52.5%2nd Serve Won—52.7%

2.5Aces / Match+2.34.8

1.9Double Faults / Match1.8 fewer3.7

Return · 1–0

43.2%Return Pts Won+5.8pp37.4%

Pressure · 0–1 · 1 even

40.3%Break Pts Converted+6.8pp47.1%

60.0%Break Pts Saved—59.8%

Points · 1–0

53.1%Total Pts Won+3.7pp49.4%