SwitzerlandSion - SwitzerlandFinished

Predictions graded

Dominic Stricker #336Switzerland2Raphael Perot #353France0

Sets 7-5 · 6-3Tue 18 Aug 2026, 10:00 Predictions gradedFirst RoundClay

Predictions1–614%

Edges1–150%

Player Profiles

Ranking advantageDominic Stricker · 17 places

Dominic Stricker

Switzerland

Swiss left-hander whose career-high singles ranking was No. 88 in October 2023. Public profile material lists hard courts as his favourite surface.

Current ranking: #336
Peak ranking: #88 · 2023
Current age: 24
Preferred surface: Hard
Hand: Left handed
Height: 183 cm

Raphael Perot

France

French player born 30 June 2001. Reliable public sources identify a career-best ranking of No. 365 in March 2026; no clearly sourced preferred-surface statement was found.

Current ranking: #353
Peak ranking: #365 · 2026
Current age: 25
Preferred surface: —
Hand: Right handed
Height: 175 cm

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 16 Aug 2026, 15:19 · Europe/Bucharest

Raphael Perot's superior recent clay form and serve/return efficiency give him a moderate edge over Dominic Stricker, making Perot at 2.60 a value bet.

The match is likely to be competitive, with over 21.5 total games and over 9.5 games in the first set offering solid value. Stricker's ace count should push total aces over 6.5, while double faults are likely to stay under 4.5.

Context

Perot last 15 on clay: 11-4 record, 64.7% sets won, 55.6% games won.
- Stricker last 15 on clay: 9-6 record, 58.1% sets won, 53.8% games won.
- Perot has won 8 of his last 10 matches, including four straight wins in his most recent tournament.
- Stricker lost his most recent match to Marc-Andrea Huesler in straight sets.
Perot first serve in: 70.9% in last 15 matches.
- Stricker first serve in: 52.4% in last 15 matches.
- Perot wins 65.2% of first-serve points, while Stricker wins 74.3%, but Stricker's low in rate reduces his overall effectiveness.
- Perot also wins 42.5% of return points, compared to Stricker's 39.6%.
Stricker retired at 4-2 down to Marat Sharipov on 1 July 2026.
- He has played 6 matches since that retirement, winning 4 and losing 2.
- No current injury reports are available, so the retirement may not be affecting him now.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.60
The read
Perot's superior recent clay form and serve/return efficiency give him a moderate edge over Stricker.
- Perot last 15 on clay: 11-4 record, 64.7% sets won, 55.6% games won
- Stricker last 15 on clay: 9-6 record, 58.1% sets won, 53.8% games won
- Perot return points won 42.5% vs Stricker 39.6% in last 15
- Perot first serve in 70.9% vs Stricker 52.4% in last 15
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostRaphael PerotEstimated chance58%

Games1 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Competitive clay match with two solid returners likely to produce a longer total games count.
- Stricker last 15 average 20.1 games per match
- Perot last 15 average 21.3 games per match
- Both players have multiple three-set matches in recent form
BetBugs · Total GameslostOver 21.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.91
The read
Evenly matched first set with strong serving and return stats suggests a close opening set.
- Stricker last 15 first set average 9.8 games
- Perot last 15 first set average 9.5 games
- Both players have tiebreak history in recent sets
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameswonOver 9.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Second set likely to remain competitive given both players' recent form and return capabilities.
- Stricker second set average 9.3 games in last 15
- Perot second set average 9.8 games in last 15
- Both players have shown ability to extend sets
BetBugs · Set 2 Total GameslostOver 9.5Estimated chance55%

Sets0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Perot's strong first-set record and recent momentum make him slightly more likely to take the opener.
- Perot first set win conversion career 93%
- Stricker first set win conversion career 86%
- Perot has won first set in 8 of last 10 matches
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerlostRaphael PerotEstimated chance55%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both players have relatively low double fault rates, making the under likely.
- Stricker averages 2.5 double faults per match in last 15
- Perot averages 1.5 double faults per match in last 15
- Combined average 4.0 double faults per match
BetBugs · Total Double Faultsnot gradableUnder 4.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Stricker's strong ace count should push the combined total over the line.
- Stricker averages 5.4 aces per match in last 15
- Perot averages 1.4 aces per match in last 15
- Combined average 6.8 aces per match
BetBugs · Total Acesnot gradableOver 6.5Estimated chance58%

Dominic Stricker

9W 6L

6-3 6-2#246Marc-Andrea Huesler

6-1 6-3#424Norbert Gombos

6-7(5) 6-1 7-6(4)#222Francesco Passaro

7-6(6) 6-3#271Juan Bautista Torres

6-2 6-3#444Denis Yevseyev

7-6(5) 6-2#89Alexander Shevchenko

6-2 6-4#46Jaume Antoni Munar Clar

4-2 ret.#399Marat Sharipov (RUS)

6-2 6-4#299Philip Henning

6-3 6-4#625Kai Wehnelt

4-6 6-3 6-1#889Niklas Schell

7-5 6-4—Alessandro Hunziker

7-6(5) 6-3#573Adrian Oetzbach

7-6(9) 6-2#327Marvin Moeller

7-6(3) 6-4#255Martin Krumich

Raphael Perot

11W 4L

6-2 6-4#230Gilles Arnaud Bailly

6-2 4-6 6-4#472Jack Loge

6-2 6-3#823Abel Forger

6-0 6-1—Bjorn Schoemacher

7-5 6-4#413Patrick Zahraj

5-7 6-4 6-4#413Patrick Zahraj

6-3 6-3#573Adrian Oetzbach

6-4 1-6 6-3#467Daniel Siniakov

7-6(4) 4-6 6-4—Vincent Dullinger

6-4 6-2#637Emilien Demanet

7-5 6-3#861Jannik Opitz

6-3 6-4#806Cosme Rolland De Ravel

6-1 6-0#717Daniel Jade

7-6(7) 7-5#373Robin Bertrand

6-3 6-2#170Tristan Boyer

Stat Battle

Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.

DSDominic StrickerStricker

Last 15

3–4

9 core stats · 2 even

Raphael PerotPerotRP

Raphael Perot carries the stronger recent form — Dominic Stricker's route runs through serve.

Serve · 2–2 · 1 even

1st Serve In52.4%+18.5pp70.9%

1st Serve Won74.3%+9.1pp65.2%

2nd Serve Won50.9%—51.0%

Aces / Match5.4+4.01.4

Double Faults / Match2.51.0 fewer1.5

Return · 0–1

Return Pts Won39.6%+2.9pp42.5%

Pressure · 1–1

Break Pts Converted50.6%+9.5pp41.1%

Break Pts Saved62.8%+1.6pp64.4%

Points · 0–0 · 1 even

Total Pts Won51.4%—51.6%

Serve · 2–2 · 1 even

52.4%1st Serve In+18.5pp70.9%

74.3%1st Serve Won+9.1pp65.2%

50.9%2nd Serve Won—51.0%

5.4Aces / Match+4.01.4

2.5Double Faults / Match1.0 fewer1.5

Return · 0–1

39.6%Return Pts Won+2.9pp42.5%

Pressure · 1–1

50.6%Break Pts Converted+9.5pp41.1%

62.8%Break Pts Saved+1.6pp64.4%

Points · 0–0 · 1 even

51.4%Total Pts Won—51.6%