Dali Blanch #313United States11 – 2Felipe Meligeni Alves #567Brazil2

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.60

The read

Meligeni Alves has a massive recent form edge (14-1 vs 8-7) and superior serve/return metrics, making him the clear favorite despite the hard-court surface being less familiar to both.

• Last 15 overall record: 14-1 (93.3%) vs Blanch 8-7 (53.3%)
• Last 15 games won: 60.4% vs 53.6%
• Last 15 break points saved: 78.6% vs 67.0%
• Career win percentage: 59.7% vs 53.0%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Blanch's competitive recent hard-court performance and Meligeni Alves' slight edge in games won suggest Blanch can keep the match within 3.5 games.

• Blanch last 15 games won percentage: 53.6%
• Meligeni Alves last 15 games won percentage: 60.4%
• Blanch recent hard-court match was decided by 2 games (16-14)

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both players average over 22 games per match in their last 15, and Blanch's only recent hard-court match was a three-setter, suggesting a competitive match with a higher game count.

• Blanch last 15 average games per match: 22.1 (332 total games / 15 matches)
• Meligeni Alves last 15 average games per match: 22.2 (333 total games / 15 matches)
• Blanch recent hard-court match went 30 games (6-3 3-6 7-5)

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both players average close to 10 games per set, and a competitive opening set could easily exceed 9.5 games.

• Blanch average games per set last 15: 9.8 (178 games / 18.2 sets)
• Meligeni Alves average games per set last 15: 9.8 (201 games / 20.5 sets)
• Blanch recent hard-court first set: 9 games (6-3)

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Similar to set 1, the second set is likely to be competitive, with both players averaging near 10 games per set.

• Blanch average games per set last 15: 9.8
• Meligeni Alves average games per set last 15: 9.8
• Meligeni Alves recent hard-court second set: 13 games (7-6)

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Meligeni Alves has excellent serve consistency (0.9 double faults per match), and Blanch's 3.0 average is not high enough to push the total over 4.5.

• Blanch double faults per match last 15: 3.0
• Meligeni Alves double faults per match last 15: 0.9
• Combined average double faults per match: 3.9

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both players average over 4 aces per match, and a competitive match could push the total over 8.5, though hard-court ace rates may vary.

• Blanch aces per match last 15: 4.6
• Meligeni Alves aces per match last 15: 4.1
• Combined average aces per match: 8.7