SwitzerlandSion - SwitzerlandFinished

Predictions graded

Benjamin Hassan #5142Leo Raquillet #665France1

Sets 6-3 · 2-6 · 7-5Mon 17 Aug 2026, 17:40 Predictions gradedQ3Clay

Predictions5–183%

Edges1–0100%

Player Profiles

Ranking advantageBenjamin Hassan · 151 places

Benjamin Hassan

Lebanese player born 4 February 1995. Reached a career-high ATP singles ranking of No. 143 in June 2024; his recorded career match volume is strongest on clay.

Current ranking: #514
Peak ranking: #143 · 2024
Current age: 31
Preferred surface: Clay
Hand: Right handed
Height: 183 cm

Leo Raquillet

France

Raquillet is a 20-year-old French right-hander. His ATP career high of No. 634 was recorded in May 2026; available results show more 2026 wins on hard courts than clay, but this is not sufficient to label a preferred surface.

Current ranking: #665
Peak ranking: #634 · 2026
Current age: 20
Preferred surface: —
Hand: Right handed
Height: 191 cm

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 16 Aug 2026, 22:11 · Europe/Bucharest

Hassan has a slight edge in ranking and clay form, but Raquillet's return game and break-point conversion keep it close.

The match is likely to go over 21.5 games and possibly three sets. Avoid backing Hassan at 1.55; instead, consider over markets or Raquillet on the handicap.

Context

Hassan last15 clay record: 7-7 (50%), Raquillet last15 clay record: 5-6 (45.5%)
- Hassan career clay win% 57.2% vs Raquillet 49.2% overall
- Hassan has won 207 career clay matches vs Raquillet's 51
Raquillet last15 return points won: 41.4% vs Hassan 38%
- Raquillet break points converted: 48.7% vs Hassan 41.2%
- Hassan first serve in: 51.7% vs Raquillet 65.1%
Hassan last15 three-set matches: 8 of 15 (53%)
- Raquillet last15 three-set matches: 9 of 15 (60%)
- Both players average over 22 games per match in recent form

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Other edges · 1

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerwonUncertainty band: Slight lean

Benjamin Hassan

1.55fair 1.82

BetBugs 55% · Market 64.5%

0.0ppshort

Hassan's edge in recent form and surface fit is not large enough to justify the heavy favorite price.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.55
The read
Hassan has a slight edge in recent form and surface fit on clay, supported by better last15 and career clay numbers.
- Hassan last15 overall record 7-8 (46.7%), Raquillet 6-9 (40%)
- Hassan clay last15 record 7-7 (50%), Raquillet clay last15 5-6 (45.5%)
- Hassan career clay win% 57.2% vs Raquillet 49.2% overall
- Hassan ranking 514 vs Raquillet 665
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonBenjamin HassanEstimated chance55%

Games2 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both players have competitive recent matches with high game totals, suggesting a close contest likely to exceed 21.5 games.
- Hassan last15 average 22.7 games per match
- Raquillet last15 average 23.8 games per match
- Both players have 50%+ three-set matches in recent form
BetBugs · Total GameswonOver 21.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Recent first sets for both players average near 10 games, making over 9.5 a reasonable expectation.
- Hassan last15 first set average 9.6 games
- Raquillet last15 first set average 9.8 games
- Both players have similar first-set competitiveness
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameswonOver 9.5Estimated chance55%

Sets2 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both players frequently go to deciding sets in recent matches, indicating a competitive match likely to need three sets.
- Hassan last15 3-set matches: 8 of 15 (53%)
- Raquillet last15 3-set matches: 9 of 15 (60%)
- Both players have similar games won percentages around 49%
BetBugs · Total SetswonOver 2.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Hassan's stronger first-serve performance in recent matches gives him a marginal edge to start the match.
- Hassan first set win conversion 86% career
- Raquillet first set win conversion 85% career
- Hassan last15 first serve points won 67.9% vs Raquillet 61.4%
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerwonBenjamin HassanEstimated chance52%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Hassan's ace rate alone nearly covers the line, and Raquillet adds a small contribution, making over 5.5 plausible.
- Hassan last15 aces per match 4.1
- Raquillet last15 aces per match 1.2
- Combined average 5.3 aces per match
BetBugs · Total Acesnot gradableOver 5.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both players average over 3 double faults per match, so combined total is likely to exceed 6.5.
- Hassan last15 double faults per match 3.8
- Raquillet last15 double faults per match 3.4
- Combined average 7.2 double faults per match
BetBugs · Total Double Faultsnot gradableOver 6.5Estimated chance50%

Benjamin Hassan

7W 8L

4-0 ret.—Flynn Thomas

6-3 6-4#512Radu Albot

1-6 6-4 6-4#239Sumit Nagal

6-2 3-6 7-6(3)#302Miguel Damas

6-3 4-6 6-2#467Daniel Siniakov

7-6(4) 6-2#524Alex Marti Pujolras

6-2 6-4#395Georgii Kravchenko

6-3 5-7 7-5#330Daniel Michalski

6-4 6-2#284Filip Cristian Jianu

7-5 5-3 ret.#141Hugo Dellien

6-4 2-6 6-3#193Lautaro Midon

6-4 6-3#122Nicolas Mejia

6-4 2-6 6-3#356Mitchell Krueger

7-6(1) 4-6 6-4—Goncalo Marques

6-3 6-2#182Remy Bertola

Leo Raquillet

6W 9L

4-6 6-3 6-0—Adrien Berrut

3-6 6-0 7-5—Oskari Paldanius

3-6 6-3 6-4#395Georgii Kravchenko

7-6(2) 6-4#347Jan Kumstat

6-3 4-6 6-2#195Lorenzo Giustino

3-6 6-4 6-3#724Franco Ribero

6-2 6-1#867Tomohiro Masabayashi

6-1 3-6 7-5#338Marko Topo

6-4 6-2#235Kilian Feldbausch

7-5 ret.#249Pavel Kotov

7-5 2-6 6-3#368Manas Manoj Dhamne

6-4 3-6 6-2#576Svyatoslav Gulin

0-6 6-3 6-4#824Conor Gannon

6-1 7-5—Ibrahim Snoussi

6-4 2-6 6-2#827Nicolas Jadoun

Stat Battle

Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.

BHBenjamin HassanHassan

Last 15

4–4

9 core stats · 1 even

Leo RaquilletRaquilletLR

Dead-even recent form — the edges are in serve.

Serve · 3–2

1st Serve In51.7%+13.4pp65.1%

1st Serve Won67.9%+6.5pp61.4%

2nd Serve Won51.4%+4.2pp47.2%

Aces / Match4.1+2.91.2

Double Faults / Match3.80.4 fewer3.4

Return · 0–1

Return Pts Won38.0%+3.4pp41.4%

Pressure · 1–1

Break Pts Converted41.2%+7.5pp48.7%

Break Pts Saved59.6%+8.0pp51.6%

Points · 0–0 · 1 even

Total Pts Won49.0%—49.0%

Serve · 3–2

51.7%1st Serve In+13.4pp65.1%

67.9%1st Serve Won+6.5pp61.4%

51.4%2nd Serve Won+4.2pp47.2%

4.1Aces / Match+2.91.2

3.8Double Faults / Match0.4 fewer3.4

Return · 0–1

38.0%Return Pts Won+3.4pp41.4%

Pressure · 1–1

41.2%Break Pts Converted+7.5pp48.7%

59.6%Break Pts Saved+8.0pp51.6%

Points · 0–0 · 1 even

49.0%Total Pts Won—49.0%