United KingdomRoehampton - Great BritainFinished

Predictions graded

Benjamin Gusic WanUnited Kingdom1Leonardo Rossi #614Italy2

Sets 1-6 · 7-6 · 3-6Sun 16 Aug 2026, 15:40 Predictions gradedQ1Hard

Predictions6–0100%

Edges2–167%

Player Profiles

Benjamin Gusic Wan

United Kingdom

British player, born 21 November 2007, whose documented ATP career-high singles ranking is No. 1544.

Current ranking: —
Peak ranking: #1544 · 2025
Current age: 18
Preferred surface: —
Hand: Right handed
Height: —

Leonardo Rossi

Italy

Italian right-hander whose ITF profile lists hard courts as his preferred surface; his documented career-best ATP ranking is No. 561 in June 2026.

Current ranking: #614
Peak ranking: #561 · 2026
Current age: 24
Preferred surface: Hard
Hand: Right handed
Height: 180 cm

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 16 Aug 2026, 08:53 · Europe/Bucharest

Leonardo Rossi is a strong favorite over Benjamin Gusic Wan based on ranking, recent hard-court form, and serve advantage.

The best betting value is over 9.5 games in set one, while backing Wan outright is not recommended despite high odds. Expect Rossi to win, but the match may feature competitive sets and exceed total games expectations.

Context

Wan's last 15 record is 4-11 (26.7% win rate).
- In his last five matches, Wan beat Tiago Cacao (ranked 676), Jacopo Denitto (unranked), and Christof Schaertlin Coffey (unranked).
- Wan's recent losses include heavy defeats to Mert Alkaya (6-0 6-1) and Amir Omarkhanov (6-1 6-0).
Rossi's hard-court aces per match: 5.3 (32 aces in 6 matches).
- Wan's hard-court aces per match: 0.7 (11 aces in 15 matches).
- Rossi's hard-court first-serve points won: 69.5% vs Wan's 59.7%.
Wan's double faults per match: 5.8 (87 in 15 matches).
- Rossi's double faults per match: 2.0 (30 in 15 matches).
- Wan's second-serve points won is only 39.7%, making his second serve vulnerable.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 1

Other edges · 2

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerwonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Leonardo Rossi

1.20fair 1.39

BetBugs 72% · Market 83.3%

0.0ppshort

Rossi's superior ranking, career win rate, and recent hard-court form make him a clear favorite, but the odds are heavily skewed and offer no value.

Set 1 WinnerwonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Leonardo Rossi

1.25fair 1.54

BetBugs 65% · Market 80%

0.0ppshort

Rossi's superior serve and recent hard-court form make him likely to take the opening set.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 1 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.20
The read
Rossi has a strong recent and career edge on hard courts, while Wan has struggled badly in his last 15 matches.
- Rossi last15 overall record 8-7 (53.3%) vs Wan 4-11 (26.7%)
- Rossi hard-court last15 record 4-2 (66.7%) vs Wan 4-11 on hard
- Rossi career win% 56.8% vs Wan 39.6%
- Rossi ranking 614 vs Wan unranked
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonLeonardo RossiEstimated chance72%

Games3 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Combined recent match game averages suggest a competitive match likely to exceed 21.5 total games.
- Wan last15 average 19.1 games per match (287/15)
- Rossi last15 average 20.9 games per match (314/15)
- Both players have similar average match durations around 103 minutes
BetBugs · Total GameswonOver 21.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.91
The read
Both players have shown ability to push sets to 10+ games, especially on hard courts.
- Wan recent sets often competitive: 7-6, 6-4, 6-3
- Rossi recent hard-court sets include 7-6, 6-4, 6-3
- Both players have similar first-serve points won percentages around 60-70%
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameswonOver 9.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Rossi's superior game-winning percentage and Wan's poor form support a handicap of -3.5 games for Rossi.
- Rossi last15 games won 52.9% vs Wan 41.8%
- Rossi hard-court last15 games won 55.9%
- Wan has lost 11 of last 15 matches, often by wide margins
BetBugs · Game HandicapwonLeonardo Rossi -3.5Estimated chance55%

Sets1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.25
The read
Rossi's superior serve and recent hard-court form make him likely to take the opening set.
- Rossi first-set win conversion career 88%
- Wan first-set win conversion career 89% but recent form poor
- Rossi hard-court last15 first-serve points won 69.5% vs Wan 59.7%
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerwonLeonardo RossiEstimated chance65%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Wan's high double fault rate, combined with Rossi's moderate rate, makes over 7.5 double faults likely.
- Wan last15 double faults per match 5.8
- Rossi last15 double faults per match 2.0
- Wan career double faults 193 in 48 matches (4.0 per match)
BetBugs · Total Double Faultsnot gradableOver 7.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Rossi's serve is a major weapon, and combined with Wan's low ace count, total aces should exceed 5.5.
- Rossi last15 aces per match 4.0, hard-court 5.3
- Wan last15 aces per match 0.7
- Rossi career aces 737 in 333 matches (2.2 per match)
BetBugs · Total Acesnot gradableOver 5.5Estimated chance60%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Wan's recent form and hard-court struggles make him a poor underdog pick despite the high odds.

Benjamin Gusic Wan

4W 11L

6-4 7-6(3)—Oscar Brown

7-6(6) 6-4#676Tiago Cacao

6-2 3-6 6-3#380Oliver Tarvet

6-1 6-2—Jacopo Denitto

6-3 6-3—Christof Schaertlin Coffey

6-3 2-6 6-1—Peter Alam

6-3 6-2#500Aziz Ouakaa

6-2 6-4—Ibrahim Snoussi

6-2 6-1—Andrea Colombo

6-0 6-1#298Mert Alkaya

2-6 6-3 7-6(4)#839Skander Mansouri

6-1 6-2#867Alaa Trifi

6-1 6-0#624Amir Omarkhanov

6-2 6-4—Giacomo Crisostomo

6-1 7-5#254Felix Balshaw

Leonardo Rossi

8W 7L

6-4 6-4#449Robert Strombachs

6-7(4) 7-6(4) 6-3—Adam Majchrzak

6-3 7-5—Lorenzo Berto

6-4 6-1#338Marko Topo

7-5 6-2#316Igor Ribeiro Marcondes

6-2 6-2—Christopher Papa

7-5 7-6(4)#559Matyas Fuele

2-6 6-2 6-4—Linus Lagerbohm

6-3 6-4#900Niklas Guttau

7-6(5) 6-1#898Marcello Serafini

7-5 6-1#467Daniel Siniakov

6-1 6-3—Arian Barbic

7-6(2) 7-6(5)—Joaquin Guilleme

6-4 6-2—Moritz Kudernatsch

6-2 6-2—Jules Leroux

Stat Battle

Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.

BWBenjamin Gusic WanWan

Last 15

1–7

9 core stats · 1 even

Leonardo RossiRossiLR

Leonardo Rossi carries the stronger recent form — Benjamin Gusic Wan's route runs through pressure.

Serve · 0–5

1st Serve In57.2%+2.5pp59.7%

1st Serve Won59.7%+8.9pp68.6%

2nd Serve Won39.7%+11.6pp51.3%

Aces / Match0.7+3.34.0

Double Faults / Match5.83.8 fewer2.0

Return · 0–0 · 1 even

Return Pts Won41.3%—40.6%

Pressure · 1–1

Break Pts Converted50.0%+10.2pp39.8%

Break Pts Saved50.0%+15.0pp65.0%

Points · 0–1

Total Pts Won46.4%+4.5pp50.9%

Serve · 0–5

57.2%1st Serve In+2.5pp59.7%

59.7%1st Serve Won+8.9pp68.6%

39.7%2nd Serve Won+11.6pp51.3%

0.7Aces / Match+3.34.0

5.8Double Faults / Match3.8 fewer2.0

Return · 0–0 · 1 even

41.3%Return Pts Won—40.6%

Pressure · 1–1

50.0%Break Pts Converted+10.2pp39.8%

50.0%Break Pts Saved+15.0pp65.0%

Points · 0–1

46.4%Total Pts Won+4.5pp50.9%