Zsombor Piros #123Hungary11 – 1Max Schoenhaus #312Germany1

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.40

The read

Piros dominates recent form and surface fit, winning 86.7% of last 15 matches with superior return and break-point stats, while Schoenhaus struggles against higher-ranked opponents.

• Piros last15 overall record 13-2 (86.7%), Schoenhaus 8-7 (53.3%)
• Piros last15 clay games won 61% vs Schoenhaus 52.6%
• Piros last15 return points won 40.7% vs Schoenhaus 37.8%
• Piros career clay wins 229, Schoenhaus 23

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

With both players holding serve well on first serve and Schoenhaus's tendency for longer matches, total games likely exceed 20.5.

• Piros last15 average games per match 20.0, Schoenhaus 22.7
• Schoenhaus last15 clay matches: 5 of 14 went to three sets
• Piros last15 clay: 4 of 15 went to three sets
• Both players have similar first-serve points won (~69%)

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Piros's superior game-winning percentage and break-point conversion suggest he can cover a -3.5 game handicap against a lower-ranked opponent.

• Piros last15 average game margin +3.2 per match
• Schoenhaus last15 average game margin -0.5 per match
• Piros last15 games won 61% vs Schoenhaus 51.6%
• Piros last15 break points converted 43.8% vs Schoenhaus 33.6%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.50

The read

Piros's strong first-set record and superior break-point saving give him an edge to start fast, though Schoenhaus's first-serve effectiveness keeps it competitive.

• Piros first-set win conversion career 87%
• Piros last15 first-serve points won 68.5% vs Schoenhaus 69.4% (similar)
• Piros last15 break points saved 67.6% vs Schoenhaus 56.6%
• Piros recent form: won first set in 12 of last 15 matches

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both players average around 4 aces per match, making over 8.5 a marginal but plausible outcome if the match extends.

• Piros last15 aces per match 4.1, Schoenhaus 4.6
• Combined average aces per match 8.7
• Schoenhaus last15 clay aces per match 4.4
• Piros last15 clay aces per match 4.1