Clara Tauson #3000 – 2Nikola Bartunkova #42Czechia2

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.05

The read

Bartunkova's superior recent form and return edge on hard courts, combined with Tauson's fitness concerns, give Bartunkova a moderate advantage.

• Bartunkova's last 15 overall record: 10-5 (66.7%), Tauson's: 5-10 (33.3%).
• On hard courts last 15: Bartunkova 2-1 (66.7%), Tauson 3-3 (50%).
• Bartunkova's return points won on hard: 44.3%, Tauson's: 42.8%.
• Tauson has two retirements in last 15 matches, including one on hard in March 2026.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.75

The read

Both players' recent hard-court matches have been high-scoring, and their tendency for three-setters supports a total games over 21.5.

• Tauson's last 5 hard-court matches averaged 22.6 games per match.
• Bartunkova's last 3 hard-court matches averaged 27.7 games per match.
• Both players have high three-set match frequency: Tauson 40% of last 15, Bartunkova 47% of last 15.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Set 2 could be tight if Tauson raises her level, as both players have competitive second-set histories on hard courts.

• Tauson's last 5 hard-court set 2 games: 10, 10, 8, 10, 12 (avg 10.0).
• Bartunkova's last 3 hard-court set 2 games: 9, 10, 9 (avg 9.3).
• Both players have shown ability to extend sets, with Bartunkova's second-set tiebreak in recent match.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Bartunkova's strong serving on hard courts and Tauson's potential slow start due to back issues slightly favor Bartunkova in set 1.

• Bartunkova's first-set win conversion career: 88%, Tauson's: 88%.
• Bartunkova's hard-court first-serve points won last 15: 70.5%, Tauson's: 66.8%.
• Tauson's last 5 hard-court matches: 3-2, but two losses were tight three-setters.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Bartunkova's high ace rate on hard courts and Tauson's decent serving suggest a combined total over 8.5 aces.

• Bartunkova's aces per match on hard last 15: 7.3, Tauson's: 4.7.
• Combined average aces per match: 12.0 on hard courts.
• Bartunkova's overall aces per match last 15: 6.0, Tauson's: 4.8.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both players have moderate double-fault rates, and their combined hard-court average exceeds 7.5.

• Bartunkova's double faults per match on hard last 15: 3.7, Tauson's: 5.0.
• Combined average double faults per match: 8.7 on hard courts.
• Bartunkova's overall double faults per match last 15: 4.8, Tauson's: 3.9.