Oskari Paldanius vs Leo Raquillet: result, stats and head-to-head

Result1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.55
The read
Raquillet's superior recent form, especially on hard courts where Paldanius lacks recent data, and better return/break-point stats give him a clear edge.
- Raquillet last15 overall record 7-8 (46.7%) vs Paldanius 5-10 (33.3%), with Raquillet winning 52.4% of games vs 45.2%.
- On hard courts, Raquillet last15 bySurface record 3-2 (60%) with 62.6% games won; Paldanius only 1 hard-court match in last15 (loss, 45.5% games).
- Raquillet return points won 42% overall vs Paldanius 39.3%; break point conversion 48.1% vs 35.2%.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonLeo RaquilletEstimated chance62%

Games0 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both players' recent matches frequently exceed 21.5 games, and their balanced break-point stats point to a competitive match.
- Paldanius last15 average games per match 24.3; Raquillet 22.3, with both players' matches often going over 21.5.
- In Paldanius' last15, 11 of 15 matches had 22+ games; Raquillet 8 of 15.
- Both players have similar break-point save rates (~53%), suggesting competitive sets.
BetBugs · Total GameslostOver 21.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.91
The read
High frequency of 10+ game first sets in both players' recent matches supports over 9.5 games in set 1.
- Paldanius last15 first-set average games 9.8; Raquillet 9.5, with 12 of 15 Paldanius first sets having 10+ games.
- Raquillet's last15 first sets: 8 of 15 had 10+ games.
- Both players' first-serve points won around 63% suggests holds are common.
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameslostOver 9.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Second sets tend to be competitive, with over half of recent sets reaching 10+ games for both players.
- Paldanius last15 second-set average games 9.7; Raquillet 9.3, with 10 of 15 Paldanius second sets having 10+ games.
- Raquillet's last15 second sets: 7 of 15 had 10+ games.
- Both players' second-serve points won around 45% indicates vulnerability, but holds still frequent.
BetBugs · Set 2 Total GameslostOver 9.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Raquillet's overall game-winning percentage suggests he can cover a small handicap, though confidence is low due to limited hard-court data.
- Raquillet last15 games won 52.4% vs Paldanius 45.2%, implying a 2-3 game edge per set.
- On hard courts, Raquillet's games won 62.6% vs Paldanius' 45.5% in one match.
- Raquillet's return and break-point conversion advantages support covering -1.5 games.
BetBugs · Game HandicaplostLeo Raquillet -1.5Estimated chance55%

Sets1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.60
The read
Raquillet's strong first-set record and Paldanius' tendency to drop the opener make Raquillet the likely set1 winner.
- Raquillet first-set win conversion career 86%; Paldanius 80%, but Raquillet's recent hard-court sets show 66.7% set win rate.
- Paldanius lost first set in 10 of last 15 matches; Raquillet won first set in 7 of last 15.
- Raquillet's return points won 42% suggests early break potential against Paldanius' 63.2% first-serve points won.
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerwonLeo RaquilletEstimated chance60%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Low ace rates for both players, especially on hard courts, make under 5.5 aces likely.
- Paldanius last15 aces per match 2.4; Raquillet 1.1, combined average 3.5.
- On hard courts, Paldanius 2.0 aces in his only match; Raquillet 0.8 aces per match in 4 hard-court matches.
- Both players' first-serve percentages around 65% suggest fewer aces.
BetBugs · Total Acesnot gradableUnder 5.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Combined double-fault averages hover around 6.7, with hard-court data pushing slightly over 6.5.
- Paldanius last15 double faults per match 3.5; Raquillet 3.2, combined average 6.7.
- On hard courts, Raquillet averages 4.0 double faults per match.
- Both players have second-serve points won below 47%, indicating pressure on second serve.
BetBugs · Total Double Faultsnot gradableOver 6.5Estimated chance55%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

Oskari Paldanius #1083Finland2Leo Raquillet #654France1

Player Profiles

Oskari Paldanius

Leo Raquillet

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Over 9.5

Leo Raquillet 2-1

Leo Raquillet

Leo Raquillet

BetBugs probabilities

Result1 of 1 landed

Games0 of 4 landed

Sets1 of 1 landed

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Oskari Paldanius

Leo Raquillet

Stat Battle