Samuele Pieri #400Italy00 – 2Federico Agustin Gomez #191Argentina2

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

The high average games per match for both players, driven by frequent three-setters, supports a total over 21.5 games.

• Pieri's last 15 matches average 23.9 games per match (358 games / 15 matches).
• Gomez's last 15 matches average 22.5 games per match (337 games / 15 matches).
• In their recent clay matches, Pieri's average is 23.9 games, Gomez's is 22.7 games (318 games / 14 matches).
• Both players have a high frequency of three-set matches, which inflates total games.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Pieri's consistent game wins and Gomez's inability to dominate opponents suggest Pieri will keep the match close, covering the +3.5 handicap.

• Pieri's average games won per match in last 15 is 11.7, while Gomez's is 10.6.
• In their recent clay matches, Pieri wins 11.7 games on average, Gomez 10.9.
• Pieri has covered a +3.5 game handicap in 12 of his last 15 matches (80%).
• Gomez has failed to cover a -3.5 game handicap in 8 of his last 15 matches (53.3%).

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both players have a tendency for close first sets, with averages near 9.5 and several extended sets, making over 9.5 games likely.

• In Pieri's last 15 matches, the first set has averaged 9.5 games (total first set games 143 / 15 matches).
• In Gomez's last 15 matches, the first set has averaged 9.3 games (total first set games 140 / 15 matches).
• Pieri's first sets have been tight: 6 of his last 15 first sets went to 10+ games.
• Gomez's first sets have also been competitive: 5 of his last 15 first sets went to 10+ games.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Second sets have been slightly less competitive than first sets, but still often exceed 9.5 games, giving a borderline probability.

• Pieri's second sets in last 15 matches average 9.3 games (140 games / 15 matches).
• Gomez's second sets in last 15 matches average 9.1 games (137 games / 15 matches).
• Both players have had multiple second sets with 10+ games: Pieri 7 times, Gomez 6 times.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

The high frequency of three-set matches for both players, especially in closely contested matchups, suggests a strong chance of over 2.5 sets.

• Pieri has gone to three sets in 7 of his last 15 matches (46.7%).
• Gomez has gone to three sets in 6 of his last 15 matches (40%).
• Combined, 13 of their 30 recent matches (43.3%) went to a deciding set.
• Both players have similar win rates in deciding sets, indicating they are evenly matched when matches extend.