Daniel Milavsky #325United States11 – 2Keegan Rice #831Canada2

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both players have been involved in competitive matches recently, with Rice averaging over 22 games per hard-court match, making a total above 21.5 likely.

• Milavsky last15 average games per match 20.9, Rice 23.7
• Rice last15 hard average games per match 22.3
• Both players have multiple recent three-set matches

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.10

The read

Rice's recent hard-court matches often go the distance, and Milavsky's moderate deciding-set win rate suggests a three-setter is more likely than not.

• Milavsky last15 deciding set win% 53% career
• Rice last15 deciding set win% 45% career
• Rice last15 hard 3-set matches: 4 of 12 went to deciding set

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Milavsky's high career first-set conversion rate and stronger first-serve performance in recent matches suggest he is slightly more likely to start well.

• Milavsky first set win conversion career 88%
• Rice first set win conversion career 84%
• Milavsky last15 first serve points won 73.3% vs Rice 64.9%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

The combined ace rate of both players is close to 7.5, and with a likely three-set match, the total aces should exceed this line.

• Milavsky last15 aces per match 4.6
• Rice last15 aces per match 2.6
• Combined average aces per match 7.2

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both players average over 3 double faults per match, and a longer match would push the total comfortably over 6.5.

• Milavsky last15 double faults per match 3.1
• Rice last15 double faults per match 3.7
• Combined average double faults per match 6.8