CzechiaLiberec - Czech RepublicFinished

Predictions graded

Georgii Kravchenko #389Ukraine0Jakub Nicod #677Czechia2

Sets 4-6 · 1-6Mon 27 Jul 2026, 08:30 Predictions gradedQ3Clay

Predictions1–517%

Edges1–150%

Player Profiles

Ranking advantageGeorgii Kravchenko · 288 places

Georgii Kravchenko

Ukraine

Age 25, current ranking No. 389 and career-high No. 371 reached on 2021-11-22. Public sources in this search set show most of his current-season singles volume on clay.

Current ranking: #389
Peak ranking: #371 · 2021
Current age: 25
Preferred surface: —
Hand: Right handed
Height: 180 cm

Jakub Nicod

Czechia

Age 22, current ranking No. 677 and career-high No. 280 reached on 2024-09-23. ITF lists clay as his preferred surface.

Current ranking: #677
Peak ranking: #280 · 2024
Current age: 22
Preferred surface: Clay
Hand: Right handed
Height: 183 cm

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 26 Jul 2026, 21:15 · Europe/Bucharest

Kravchenko’s superior recent clay form and break-point saving give him a narrow edge despite a heavier Sunday workload, while Nicod’s quick win and home advantage keep the match tight.

The best betting angles are backing Kravchenko to win at plus odds and over 9.5 games in set one, as both players’ serve/return profiles suggest a competitive opener.

Context

Kravchenko's Sunday match lasted 2h09, going three sets against Leo Raquillet.
- Nicod's Sunday match ended after 40 minutes when his opponent retired at 6-1, 0-0.
- Both players return to the court on Monday with less than 24 hours of rest.
Nicod is a Czech player competing in Liberec, Czech Republic.
- Home-country support can provide a boost in Challenger-level matches.
Kravchenko's last 15 on clay: 10-5 record, 62% break points saved.
- Nicod's last 15 on clay: 9-6 record, but four wins came via retirement.
- Kravchenko beat top-300 players like Juan Bautista Torres and Norbert Gombos in this window.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.25
The read
Kravchenko's slightly better win rate against tougher competition and his 8-2 recent clay form give him a narrow edge, supported by surface-fit and recent form signals.
- Last 15 on clay: Kravchenko 10-5 (66.7% win), Nicod 9-6 (60% win).
- Kravchenko holds a 53.9% games-won rate vs Nicod's 56.7%, but Kravchenko faced stronger opponents (avg rank ~500 vs Nicod's ~600).
- Kravchenko's recent form: 8-2 in last 10 clay matches, including wins over top-300 players; Nicod 6-4 with two retirements.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostGeorgii KravchenkoEstimated chance55%

Games1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
With both players evenly matched on serve/return metrics and a history of competitive sets, the match is likely to exceed 21.5 games, driven by structural parity.
- Kravchenko's last 15 clay matches averaged 22.9 games per match; Nicod's averaged 19.9, but Nicod had 4 retirements shortening matches.
- Excluding retirements, Nicod's completed clay matches in last 15 averaged 22.3 games.
- Both players have similar points-won rates (52.3% vs 52.4%), indicating competitive rallies.
BetBugs · Total GameslostOver 21.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.91
The read
The serve/return balance and recent first-set scores suggest a close opening set, making over 9.5 games likely.
- Kravchenko's last 15 first sets averaged 9.8 games; Nicod's averaged 8.9, but Nicod's number is skewed by retirements.
- In completed matches, both players frequently play tight first sets (e.g., Kravchenko 7-6, 6-4; Nicod 7-6, 6-4).
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameswonOver 9.5Estimated chance58%

Sets0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Kravchenko's higher first-set win rate in recent matches and his strong career conversion rate suggest a slight advantage in set 1, though the edge is marginal.
- Kravchenko won the first set in 10 of his last 15 matches (67%); Nicod won the first set in 9 of his last 15 (60%).
- Kravchenko's first-set win conversion rate is 84% career, indicating strong front-running.
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerlostGeorgii KravchenkoEstimated chance52%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The combined double-fault average sits just above 4.5, making over a coin-flip proposition based on serve-profile data.
- Kravchenko averages 2.1 double faults per match; Nicod 2.6.
- Combined average of 4.7 double faults, with Nicod's higher rate pushing the total.
BetBugs · Total Double FaultsOver 4.5Estimated chance50%

Georgii Kravchenko

10W 5L

3-6 6-3 6-4#661Leo Raquillet

6-7(3) 7-6(4) 6-4#415Mika Brunold

7-6(2) 6-3#283Juan Bautista Torres

6-1 4-6 6-3#780Daniel Salazar Martinez

6-4 6-2—Lorenzo Lorusso

6-4 6-0#224Guido Ivan Justo

6-4 6-1—Gabriele Crivellaro

6-3 4-6 6-2#366Norbert Gombos

6-3 6-4—Niccolo Ciavarella

7-5 6-3#542Fausto Tabacco

6-4 6-7(7) 6-2#498Giuseppe La Vela

6-4 6-3#848Stefano D'Agostino

7-6(3) 3-6 6-2#1495Gian Marco Ortenzi

6-2 6-1—Gabriele Crivellaro

6-2 6-4#551Oleksii Krutykh

Jakub Nicod

9W 6L

6-1 ret.#585Gerard Campana Lee

3-6 6-3 2-0 ret.#647Alejandro Juan Mano

6-1 6-2#649Pieter De Lange

7-6(4) 2-6 6-4—Taym Alazmeh

6-2 6-4—Timeo Trufelli

2-6 7-5 1-0 ret.#649Pieter De Lange

6-2 4-1 ret.#842Hazem Naow

6-1 6-0#859Gabriele Maria Noce

6-3 6-2—Yannic Nittmann

7-5 6-3—Steffan Van Weldam

4-6 6-3 6-4#861Jakub Filip

6-2 2-6 5-2 ret.#453Alafia Ayeni

6-2 1-6 7-6(7)#306Duje Ajdukovic

6-3 6-2#279Filip Cristian Jianu

6-3 3-6 6-1—Jeremy Schifris

Stat Battle

Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.

GKGeorgii KravchenkoKravchenko

Last 15

6–2

9 core stats · 1 even

Jakub NicodNicodJN

Georgii Kravchenko carries the stronger recent form — Jakub Nicod's route runs through return.

Serve · 4–1

1st Serve In58.0%+1.3pp59.3%

1st Serve Won68.6%+3.9pp64.7%

2nd Serve Won53.2%+1.8pp51.4%

Aces / Match4.5+1.13.4

Double Faults / Match2.10.5 fewer2.6

Return · 0–1

Return Pts Won42.6%+3.3pp45.9%

Pressure · 2–0

Break Pts Converted47.8%+4.9pp42.9%

Break Pts Saved62.0%+9.1pp52.9%

Points · 0–0 · 1 even

Total Pts Won52.3%—52.4%

Serve · 4–1

58.0%1st Serve In+1.3pp59.3%

68.6%1st Serve Won+3.9pp64.7%

53.2%2nd Serve Won+1.8pp51.4%

4.5Aces / Match+1.13.4

2.1Double Faults / Match0.5 fewer2.6

Return · 0–1

42.6%Return Pts Won+3.3pp45.9%

Pressure · 2–0

47.8%Break Pts Converted+4.9pp42.9%

62.0%Break Pts Saved+9.1pp52.9%

Points · 0–0 · 1 even

52.3%Total Pts Won—52.4%