Jerome Kym #198Switzerland11 – 2Philip Henning #2542

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.80

The read

Both players have been involved in tight clay contests recently, and their combined match history suggests a high likelihood of exceeding 21.5 total games.

• Kym's last 10 clay matches averaged 22.4 games; 7 of 10 went over 21.5 games.
• Henning's last 7 clay matches averaged 21.7 games; 4 of 7 went over 21.5.
• Both players have competitive recent matches: Kym's last three clay matches all went three sets, averaging 30 games.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

The first set is likely to be competitive given both players' recent clay form and tiebreak capabilities, pushing the total over 9.5 games.

• Kym's last 10 clay first sets averaged 10.1 games; 7 of 10 had at least 10 games.
• Henning's last 7 clay first sets averaged 9.7 games; 4 of 7 had at least 10 games.
• Both players have strong tiebreak records (Kym 57% career, Henning 57% career), increasing chance of extended sets.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.91

The read

Kym's narrow winning margins on clay and Henning's ability to keep matches close support Henning covering a +3.5 game handicap.

• Kym's last 10 clay wins: average margin 3.2 games; only 2 wins by more than 3.5 games.
• Henning's last 7 clay losses: average margin 4.3 games, but 3 of 5 losses were by 3 games or fewer.
• Head-to-head unavailable, but both players' recent form suggests a close match.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

If the match is competitive, the second set is likely to be close, though Henning's occasional blowout losses lower confidence.

• Kym's last 10 clay second sets averaged 9.8 games; 6 of 10 had at least 10 games.
• Henning's last 7 clay second sets averaged 9.1 games; 3 of 7 had at least 10 games.
• In matches where Kym loses the first set, his second sets tend to be tighter (avg 10.3 games in last 5 such cases).

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Kym's recent pattern of three-set clay battles and both players' decent deciding-set records suggest a higher chance of a three-setter.

• Kym's last 10 clay matches: 6 went to three sets.
• Henning's last 7 clay matches: 3 went to three sets.
• Kym's deciding set win rate is 55% career, Henning's is 56%, indicating both are capable of extending matches.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Kym's strong serving on clay, especially against a lower-ranked opponent, should push the total aces over 12.5.

• Kym averages 8.0 aces per match on clay in last 10; Henning averages 3.0 in last 7 on clay.
• Combined average aces in their recent clay matches: 11.0, but Kym's ace rate is higher against weaker returners.
• Kym's overall last 15 aces per match is 10.7, boosted by grass, but clay average still solid at 8.0.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

The combined average sits just above 5.5, but variability in double fault counts makes this a low-confidence over.

• Kym averages 3.1 double faults per match on clay in last 10; Henning averages 3.0 in last 7 on clay.
• Combined average is 6.1, but both players have matches with low double fault counts.
• Kym's overall last 15 double faults per match is 4.2, higher on grass, but clay numbers are lower.