Gauthier Onclin vs Niels Visker: result, stats and head-to-head

Result1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.25
The read
Onclin's superior return game and fresher legs give him a clear edge in this clay-court matchup, supported by a dominant H2H win earlier this year.
- Onclin leads H2H 1-0, winning 6-4 6-1 on I.hard in March 2026 with dominant serve stats (96% first-serve points won, 63% second-serve points won).
- Onclin's last15 overall return points won is 40.6% vs Visker's 33.9%, a significant edge in breaking serve.
- Onclin's last15 overall break point conversion is 43.6% vs Visker's 31.9%, indicating better clutch returning.
- Onclin is fresher, having played only one match this week (straight-sets win) while Visker has played three matches including qualifying.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonGauthier OnclinEstimated chance62%

Games0 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
With both players showing decent hold rates but vulnerable on return, a competitive match with at least 22 games is likely.
- Onclin's last15 clay matches average 23.7 games per match (83 games in 6 matches).
- Visker's last15 clay matches average 20.7 games per match, but his recent three-setter vs Ahti (29 games) shows potential for longer matches.
- Both players have break point save rates around 55-60% on clay in last15, suggesting breaks will be exchanged.
BetBugs · Total GameslostOver 21.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Visker's solid clay form and Onclin's recent struggles on the surface suggest Visker will keep the match close, covering the +3.5 game handicap.
- Visker's last15 clay record is 4-2, with all wins in straight sets and losses competitive.
- Onclin's last15 clay record is 2-4, with three of four losses in three sets.
- Visker's recent form includes a win over #139 Barrios Vera, showing he can compete with higher-ranked players.
BetBugs · Game HandicaplostNiels Visker +3.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.91
The read
The first set is likely to be competitive, with both players holding serve early, leading to at least 10 games.
- Onclin's last15 clay matches have seen first sets average 10.2 games.
- Visker's last15 clay matches have seen first sets average 9.5 games.
- Their H2H first set was 6-4, totaling 10 games.
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameslostOver 9.5Estimated chance60%

Sets1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.36
The read
Onclin's strong first-set record and ability to pressure Visker's serve early make him the favorite to take the opening set.
- Onclin's career first-set win conversion is 90%, showing he starts matches strongly.
- Visker's last15 clay first-serve points won is 78.5%, but Onclin's return points won on clay in last15 is 41.9%, above his overall average.
- Onclin won the first set 6-4 in their only H2H meeting.
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerwonGauthier OnclinEstimated chance60%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Visker's big serve should produce enough aces to push the total over 10.5, especially if the match goes three sets.
- Visker averages 6.0 aces per match on clay in last15, with a high of 7 in H2H vs Onclin.
- Onclin averages 1.8 aces per match on clay in last15, but combined they project around 8 aces minimum.
- Visker's overall last15 ace rate is 9.5 per match, indicating his serve is a weapon even on clay.
BetBugs · Total AcesOver 10.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both players have high double fault rates on clay, making over 8.5 a reasonable expectation.
- Onclin averages 5.5 double faults per match on clay in last15.
- Visker averages 4.0 double faults per match on clay in last15.
- Combined, they average 9.5 double faults per match on clay in recent form.
BetBugs · Total Double FaultsOver 8.5Estimated chance55%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

Gauthier Onclin #178Belgium2Niels Visker #439Netherlands0

Player Profiles

Gauthier Onclin

Niels Visker

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Over 9.5

Gauthier Onclin 2-1

Gauthier Onclin

Gauthier Onclin

BetBugs probabilities

Result1 of 1 landed

Games0 of 3 landed

Sets1 of 1 landed

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Markets to Avoid

Gauthier Onclin @ 1.25

Head-to-Head

Gauthier Onclin

Niels Visker

Stat Battle