AustriaATP KitzbuhelFinished

Predictions graded

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo #710Kilian Feldbausch #262Switzerland2

Sets 6-7 · 1-6Tue 21 Jul 2026, 12:15 Predictions gradedFirst RoundClay

Predictions6–275%

Edges4–0100%

Player Profiles

Ranking advantageAdolfo Daniel Vallejo · 191 places

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Paraguayan right-hander born on 2004-04-28. Public profile sources list clay as his preferred surface, and he reached a career-high No. 70 on 2026-05-18.

Current ranking: #71
Peak ranking: #70 · 2026
Current age: 22
Preferred surface: Clay
Hand: Right handed
Height: 185 cm

Kilian Feldbausch

Switzerland

Swiss right-hander born on 2005-09-07. He reached a new career-high No. 262 on 2026-07-13; public profile sources list hard as his preferred surface, although his current run of matches is on clay.

Current ranking: #262
Peak ranking: #262 · 2026
Current age: 20
Preferred surface: Hard
Hand: Right handed
Height: 191 cm

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 20 Jul 2026, 08:41 · Europe/Bucharest

Kilian Feldbausch's dominant H2H win, superior recent clay form, and strong return game make him a clear favorite despite Vallejo's direct main-draw entry.

Back Feldbausch to win at 2.60 and consider the 2-0 correct score at 4.25, with the match likely to stay under 22.5 total games.

Context

Feldbausch won 6-2 6-2 on clay in March 2025.
- He won 52% of return points and converted 83% of break points in that match.
- Vallejo won only 33% of return points and saved just 25% of break points.
Feldbausch is 12-3 in his last 15 matches, all on clay.
- He has won 47.4% of return points compared to Vallejo's 41%.
- He has taken the first set in 10 of those 15 matches.
Feldbausch beat Heide 6-4 6-2 and Kopp 6-0 6-4 in qualifying on 18-19 July.
- He has spent about 2 hours on court across those two matches.
- Vallejo entered the main draw directly and last played on 18 July in Bastad.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.60
The read
Feldbausch's dominant H2H win and superior recent clay form (80% vs 69.2% win rate) give him a clear edge, supported by a stronger return game.
- Feldbausch won the only H2H meeting 6-2 6-2 on clay in March 2025.
- Feldbausch has an 80% win rate in his last 15 matches (12-3), all on clay.
- Vallejo's last 15 matches show a 60% win rate (9-6) with a 69.2% clay win rate.
- Feldbausch's return points won in the last 15 is 47.4% vs Vallejo's 41%.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonKilian FeldbauschEstimated chance62%

Games1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Feldbausch's efficient wins and the low-game H2H suggest a relatively quick match, with Vallejo's recent clay matches also trending under the total.
- Feldbausch's last 15 matches average 19.7 total games per match.
- Vallejo's last 15 matches average 25.5 total games, but 7 of his last 10 clay matches went under 21.5.
- The H2H match had only 16 games.
BetBugs · Total GameswonUnder 21.5Estimated chance58%

Sets2 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.30
The read
Feldbausch's strong start in the H2H and higher first-set win rate in recent matches suggest he is likely to take the opening set.
- Feldbausch won the first set 6-2 in their only H2H meeting.
- Feldbausch has won the first set in 10 of his last 15 matches.
- Vallejo's first-set win rate in the last 15 is 53% (8 of 15).
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerwonKilian FeldbauschEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both players have a tendency for straight-set outcomes in recent matches, making under 2.5 sets the more likely scenario.
- Feldbausch has played under 2.5 sets in 10 of his last 15 matches.
- Vallejo has played under 2.5 sets in 8 of his last 15 matches.
- The H2H match was a straight-set win for Feldbausch.
BetBugs · Total SetswonUnder 2.5Estimated chance55%

Match stats0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both players have low ace counts, making it very likely the total aces stay under 5.5.
- Feldbausch averages 0.8 aces per match in his last 15.
- Vallejo averages 2.7 aces per match in his last 15.
- Combined average aces per match is 3.5, well under 5.5.
BetBugs · Total AcesUnder 5.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Feldbausch's low tiebreak frequency and the one-sided H2H suggest a tiebreak is unlikely.
- Feldbausch has played a tiebreak in only 2 of his last 15 matches.
- Vallejo has played a tiebreak in 6 of his last 15 matches.
- The H2H match had no tiebreaks.
BetBugs · Tiebreak in MatchlostNoEstimated chance60%

Head-to-Head

0-1 (1 meetings)

L6-2 6-2Adolfo Daniel Vallejo#71vKilian Feldbausch#262Mar 11, 2025

1 total meetings

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

9W 6L

6-4 6-7(11) 6-3#18Luciano Darderi

7-6(5) 6-2#150Stefano Travaglia

4-6 6-3 7-6(4)#55Botic Van De Zandschulp

6-3 6-3#300Miguel Damas

6-3 5-0 ret.#314Marvin Moeller

6-2 6-4#173Juan Carlos Prado Angelo

4-6 6-4 7-5 7-6(2)#133Nicolas Mejia

7-6(2) 7-6(2)#51Yannick Hanfmann

6-3 7-5 3-6 2-6 7-6(8)#211Moise Kouame

7-6(7) 2-0 ret.#38Cameron Norrie

6-2 3-6 6-2#59Miomir Kecmanovic

4-6 7-6(3) 6-4#44Jaume Antoni Munar Clar

6-4 6-3#35Zizou Bergs

7-6(3) 6-0#481Nicolas Alvarez Varona

6-1 6-1#897Bernabe Zapata Miralles

Kilian Feldbausch

12W 3L

6-0 6-4#291Sandro Kopp

6-4 6-2#136Gustavo Heide

6-1 1-6 6-3#59Miomir Kecmanovic

7-6(5) 6-3#314Marvin Moeller

6-4 6-3#196Lorenzo Giustino

6-1 6-3#272Inaki Montes-De La Torre

6-1 6-4#351Ioannis Xilas

6-2 6-2#401Samuele Pieri

6-3 6-2#229Max Alcala Gurri

6-4 6-2#654Leo Raquillet

6-4 6-3#571Svyatoslav Gulin

6-2 6-4#449Laurent Lokoli

6-0 4-6 6-4#278Martin Krumich

7-6(1) 6-4#302Dali Blanch

3-6 6-4 6-2#256Hynek Barton

Stat Battle

Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.

AVAdolfo Daniel VallejoVallejo

Last 15

1–5

9 core stats · 3 even

Kilian FeldbauschFeldbauschKF

Kilian Feldbausch carries the stronger recent form — Adolfo Daniel Vallejo's route runs through serve.

Serve · 1–2 · 2 even

1st Serve In61.8%+9.7pp71.5%

1st Serve Won67.7%—67.3%

2nd Serve Won50.4%—50.0%

Aces / Match2.7+1.90.8

Double Faults / Match3.71.7 fewer2.0

Return · 0–1

Return Pts Won41.0%+6.4pp47.4%

Pressure · 0–1 · 1 even

Break Pts Converted47.1%—47.7%

Break Pts Saved55.8%+3.7pp59.5%

Points · 0–1

Total Pts Won51.1%+3.5pp54.6%

Serve · 1–2 · 2 even

61.8%1st Serve In+9.7pp71.5%

67.7%1st Serve Won—67.3%

50.4%2nd Serve Won—50.0%

2.7Aces / Match+1.90.8

3.7Double Faults / Match1.7 fewer2.0

Return · 0–1

41.0%Return Pts Won+6.4pp47.4%

Pressure · 0–1 · 1 even

47.1%Break Pts Converted—47.7%

55.8%Break Pts Saved+3.7pp59.5%

Points · 0–1

51.1%Total Pts Won+3.5pp54.6%