Veronika Podrez #136Ukraine11 – 2Carol Young Suh Lee #182United States2

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.60

The read

Lee's superior hard-court form and stronger serve/return metrics in recent matches give her a clear edge over Podrez on this surface.

• Lee has a 10-2 record on hard courts in the last 15 matches (83.3% win rate), while Podrez is 5-2 (71.4%) on hard in the same window.
• Lee's hard-court games-won percentage is 61.4% vs Podrez's 56.3% in the last 15 matches.
• Lee's break-point save rate on hard is 70.1% compared to Podrez's 61.5% in the last 15 matches.
• Lee's first-serve points won on hard is 69.5% vs Podrez's 67.8% in the last 15 matches.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

The competitive nature of both players' recent matches and Lee's tendency for longer hard-court contests suggest a total exceeding 20.5 games.

• Podrez's last 15 matches average 19.3 total games, but her hard-court matches average 19.3 as well, with 4 of 7 exceeding 20.5 games.
• Lee's last 15 matches average 20.4 total games, with 8 of 12 hard-court matches exceeding 20.5 games.
• Both players have competitive recent matches; Podrez's last two wins were 17 and 24 games, Lee's last two were 21 and 19 games.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

The second set could remain competitive given both players' resilience, though the probability is lower than the first set.

• Podrez's last 7 hard-court matches: 4 of 7 second sets had 10+ games.
• Lee's last 12 hard-court matches: 7 of 12 second sets had 10+ games.
• Both players have shown the ability to extend sets even after losing the first.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Lee's stronger hard-court form and larger average margin of victory suggest she can cover a -3.5 game handicap.

• Lee's average games-won margin on hard courts in the last 15 matches is +4.3 games per match.
• Podrez's average games-won margin on hard courts in the last 15 matches is +1.7 games per match.
• Lee has covered a -3.5 game handicap in 7 of her last 12 hard-court wins.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.62

The read

Lee's higher first-set win rate on hard courts and excellent conversion rate make her the favorite to take the opening set.

• Lee has won the first set in 10 of her last 12 hard-court matches (83.3%), while Podrez has won the first set in 5 of her last 7 hard-court matches (71.4%).
• Lee's first-set win conversion rate is 92% career-wide, indicating strong front-running ability.
• Podrez's first-set win conversion is 90%, but she has lost the first set in 2 of her last 7 hard-court matches.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Podrez's high double-fault rate (6.4 per match) makes it very likely the combined total exceeds 8.5.

• Podrez averages 6.4 double faults per match on hard courts in the last 15 matches.
• Lee averages 2.8 double faults per match on hard courts in the last 15 matches.
• Combined average double faults: 9.2, with Podrez's high rate driving the total.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

The combined ace averages hover around the line, with Lee's higher ace count making over 5.5 a marginal possibility.

• Podrez averages 2.0 aces per match on hard courts in the last 15 matches.
• Lee averages 3.2 aces per match on hard courts in the last 15 matches.
• Combined average aces per match: 5.2, with Lee's higher ace rate pushing the total.