Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine: result, stats and head-to-head

Result1 of 1 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.45
The read
Marrero Curbelo's dominant recent hard-court form (14-1) and superior return stats give him a clear edge over Bittoun Kouzmine, who has a 10-5 record in the same window.
- Marrero Curbelo has a 14-1 record in his last 15 matches, all on hard courts, with a 93.3% win rate.
- He won the only previous H2H meeting on hard court in 2025, coming back from a set down.
- In the last 15 matches, Marrero Curbelo has won 66.4% of games and 48.8% of return points, while Bittoun Kouzmine has won 56.9% of games and 44.5% of return points.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonIvan Marrero CurbeloEstimated chance72%

Games1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both players are in good form, and Bittoun Kouzmine's matches tend to be closer, suggesting a competitive match that exceeds 21.5 games.
- In Marrero Curbelo's last 15 matches, average total games per match is 17.9, but against stronger opponents (e.g., Maxwell Mckennon, 26 games) matches have been tighter.
- Bittoun Kouzmine's last 15 matches average 20.9 total games, with 8 of 15 matches going over 21.5 games.
- The H2H match had 30 games, indicating competitive sets.
BetBugs · Total GameswonOver 21.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Marrero Curbelo's dominant game differential in recent matches suggests he can cover a -3.5 game handicap.
- Marrero Curbelo's average game differential in his last 15 wins is +6.0 games.
- Bittoun Kouzmine's average game differential in his last 15 matches is +0.9 games.
- In the H2H, Marrero Curbelo won by 4 games (5-7, 6-4, 6-2).
BetBugs · Game HandicaplostIvan Marrero Curbelo -3.5Estimated chance62%

Sets0 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.50
The read
Marrero Curbelo's high first-set win rate in recent matches and strong overall form make him likely to take the opening set.
- Marrero Curbelo has won the first set in 13 of his last 15 matches (86.7%), with a first-set win conversion rate of 85% career.
- Bittoun Kouzmine has won the first set in 9 of his last 15 matches (60%).
- In the H2H, Marrero Curbelo lost the first set but came back to win; however, his current form suggests a stronger start.
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerlostIvan Marrero CurbeloEstimated chance68%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.00
The read
Marrero Curbelo's tendency to win in straight sets, combined with his superior form, makes a 2-0 victory likely.
- Marrero Curbelo has won 13 of his last 15 matches in straight sets (86.7%).
- Bittoun Kouzmine has lost 3 of his last 5 losses in straight sets.
- Marrero Curbelo's average games lost per match in the last 15 is 6.0, indicating dominant wins.
BetBugs · Set BettinglostIvan Marrero Curbelo 2-0Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Marrero Curbelo's high rate of straight-set wins points to a match finishing in two sets.
- Marrero Curbelo has played under 2.5 sets in 13 of his last 15 matches (86.7%).
- Bittoun Kouzmine has played under 2.5 sets in 9 of his last 15 matches (60%).
- The H2H went to 3 sets, but current form suggests a more straightforward match.
BetBugs · Total SetslostUnder 2.5Estimated chance55%

Match stats0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
The low frequency of tiebreaks in both players' recent matches suggests a tiebreak is unlikely.
- Marrero Curbelo has played a tiebreak in only 2 of his last 15 matches (13.3%).
- Bittoun Kouzmine has played a tiebreak in 3 of his last 15 matches (20%).
- Marrero Curbelo's career tiebreak win percentage is 45%, indicating he doesn't rely on tiebreaks.
BetBugs · Tiebreak in MatchlostNoEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both players have low ace counts, making it unlikely the total exceeds 5.5 aces.
- Marrero Curbelo averages 1.2 aces per match in his last 15 matches.
- Bittoun Kouzmine averages 1.6 aces per match in his last 15 matches.
- Combined average aces per match is 2.8, well under 5.5.
BetBugs · Total AcesUnder 5.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The combined double fault averages suggest a total over 7.5 is likely, though variance is high.
- Marrero Curbelo averages 4.7 double faults per match in his last 15 matches.
- Bittoun Kouzmine averages 3.3 double faults per match in his last 15 matches.
- Combined average is 8.0 double faults per match, slightly above 7.5.
BetBugs · Total Double FaultsOver 7.5Estimated chance55%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

Ivan Marrero Curbelo #376Spain2Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine #504France1

Player Profiles

Ivan Marrero Curbelo

Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Ivan Marrero Curbelo

Ivan Marrero Curbelo

Ivan Marrero Curbelo 2-0

BetBugs probabilities

Result1 of 1 landed

Games1 of 2 landed

Sets0 of 3 landed

Match stats0 of 1 landed

Head-to-Head

Ivan Marrero Curbelo

Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine

Stat Battle