Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Maxime Janvier: result, stats and head-to-head

Result1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.20
The read
Kuzmanov's superior recent form on clay (10-5 vs 6-8) and better return stats (40.6% vs 38.6% return points won) give him a clear edge in this Bo3 clay match.
- Kuzmanov has a 66.7% win rate in last 15 matches (10-5), all on clay, with 54.3% games won.
- Janvier has a 40% win rate in last 15 matches (6-9), with 48% games won and only 42.9% on clay.
- Kuzmanov won the only H2H meeting 6-4, 7-5 on indoor hard in 2020, showing a slight edge in return points won (44% vs 38%).
- Kuzmanov's recent form includes wins over higher-ranked opponents (e.g., #264 Pavlovic, #289 Simakin), while Janvier has losses to lower-ranked players (e.g., #897 Uesugi, #560 Demanet).
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonDimitar KuzmanovEstimated chance62%

Games0 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
The combination of both players' recent match game averages and their ability to save break points points to a match likely exceeding 21.5 total games.
- Kuzmanov's last 15 matches averaged 21.5 games per match (322 total games / 15 matches), with 8 of 15 matches going over 21.5 games.
- Janvier's last 15 matches averaged 23.1 games per match (346 total games / 15 matches), with 10 of 15 matches going over 21.5 games.
- Both players have high break-point save rates (Kuzmanov 55.7%, Janvier 60.4%) and moderate break-point conversion rates (Kuzmanov 40.7%, Janvier 33.6%), suggesting extended games and potential tiebreaks.
- The H2H match had 22 games (6-4, 7-5), indicating a competitive encounter.
BetBugs · Total GameslostOver 21.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
The first-set game averages and the competitive nature of their service games suggest the opening set will likely reach at least 10 games.
- In Kuzmanov's last 15 matches, the first set averaged 9.3 games, with 9 of 15 first sets having 10 or more games.
- In Janvier's last 15 matches, the first set averaged 9.7 games, with 10 of 15 first sets having 10 or more games.
- Both players have first-serve points won around 68-69%, but second-serve points won differ (Kuzmanov 55.9% vs Janvier 47.9%), which could lead to close service games and a tight first set.
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameslostOver 9.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
While slightly less consistent than the first set, the second set also trends toward longer games, especially if the match remains competitive.
- In Kuzmanov's last 15 matches, the second set averaged 9.1 games, with 8 of 15 second sets having 10 or more games.
- In Janvier's last 15 matches, the second set averaged 9.5 games, with 9 of 15 second sets having 10 or more games.
- The H2H match had a 7-5 second set, indicating a tight finish.
BetBugs · Set 2 Total GameslostOver 9.5Estimated chance55%

Sets1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.30
The read
Kuzmanov's strong first-set record and higher serve consistency on clay suggest he is likely to start better and take the opening set.
- Kuzmanov has won the first set in 10 of his last 15 matches (66.7%), with a first-set win conversion rate of 85% career.
- Janvier has a first-set win conversion rate of 81% career, but his recent first-set performance is weaker: he lost the first set in 3 of his last 5 clay matches.
- Kuzmanov's first-serve points won (67.8%) and second-serve points won (55.9%) in last 15 matches are higher than Janvier's (69.1% and 47.9% respectively), indicating better early-set stability.
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerwonDimitar KuzmanovEstimated chance60%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Janvier's high double fault rate, especially on clay, combined with Kuzmanov's moderate rate, makes over 6.5 double faults a strong expectation.
- Kuzmanov averages 1.7 double faults per match in last 15, Janvier averages 4.7 double faults per match, totaling 6.4 on average.
- Janvier's double fault rate is particularly high on clay, averaging 4.8 per match in last 14 clay matches.
- In their H2H match, they combined for 9 double faults (Kuzmanov 5, Janvier 4) in a 22-game match.
BetBugs · Total Double FaultsOver 6.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
The combined ace averages of both players, especially Janvier's higher ace count on clay, make over 5.5 aces likely in a match expected to have over 21 games.
- Kuzmanov averages 2.2 aces per match in last 15, Janvier averages 3.3 aces per match, totaling 5.5 aces on average.
- In their H2H match, they combined for 4 aces (Kuzmanov 3, Janvier 1) in a 22-game match, but Janvier's recent ace rate is higher.
- Janvier's height (196 cm) and first-serve points won (69.1%) suggest he can produce aces on clay, with 3.1 aces per match on clay in last 14.
BetBugs · Total AcesOver 5.5Estimated chance60%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

Dimitar Kuzmanov #3942Maxime Janvier #566France0

Player Profiles

Dimitar Kuzmanov

Maxime Janvier

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Dimitar Kuzmanov

Dimitar Kuzmanov

BetBugs probabilities

Result1 of 1 landed

Games0 of 3 landed

Sets1 of 1 landed

Match stats0 of 0 landed

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Dimitar Kuzmanov @ 1.20

Head-to-Head

Dimitar Kuzmanov

Maxime Janvier

Stat Battle