Gustavo Heide #136Brazil00 – 2Kilian Feldbausch #262Switzerland2

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.65

The read

Heide's stronger serve metrics and higher ranking give him a slight edge, though Feldbausch's superior return game keeps it close.

• Heide has a 76.9% win rate on clay in his last 15 matches (10-3 record).
• Heide's return points won on clay in the last 15 matches is 41.5%, while Feldbausch's is 48% overall.
• Heide's first-serve points won on clay is 71.4% vs Feldbausch's 66.1%.
• Heide's ranking is 136, significantly higher than Feldbausch's 262.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.75

The read

The competitive nature of this matchup, with both players in good form, suggests a longer match exceeding 21.5 games.

• Heide's last 15 clay matches average 21.2 games per match (total games 276 in 13 matches).
• Feldbausch's last 15 clay matches average 20.3 games per match (total games 305 in 15 matches).
• Both players have a high percentage of matches going over 21.5 games in recent form.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

The second set is also expected to be tight, with a good chance of exceeding 9.5 games.

• Heide's second sets in his last 5 clay matches average 9.4 games.
• Feldbausch's second sets in his last 5 matches average 9.0 games.
• The match is expected to be competitive, with neither player likely to dominate.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Heide's strong first-set performance on clay suggests a slight advantage to start the match.

• Heide has won the first set in 69% of his last 13 clay matches.
• Feldbausch has a 73.5% sets-won rate in his last 15 matches, but his first-set win rate is not directly available.
• Heide's first-set win conversion rate is 89% in his career.