Clara Tauson #3011 – 2Barbora Krejcikova #32Czechia2

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.65

The read

Krejcikova's dominant hard-court form in the recent window (3-0, 69.2% games won) and superior return stats give her a clear edge over Tauson, who has been less consistent overall.

• Krejcikova is 3-0 on hard courts in the last 15 matches, winning 69.2% of games and 100% of sets.
• Tauson is 4-2 on hard courts in the last 15, but her return points won (42.2%) and break point conversion (40%) are lower than Krejcikova's (56% return points won, 53.1% break point conversion).
• Krejcikova's overall last-15 record is 11-4 (73.3%) vs Tauson's 6-9 (40%).
• H2H: Krejcikova won their only meeting 6-3 6-2 on grass in 2021, showing a clear tactical edge.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

With both players serving well on hard courts and Tauson's recent matches trending toward longer contests, the total games are likely to exceed 20.5.

• Tauson's last 6 hard-court matches averaged 21.7 games per match.
• Krejcikova's last 3 hard-court matches averaged 17.3 games, but her overall last-15 matches average 21.7 games.
• Both players have high hold rates on hard courts: Tauson 72.4% first-serve points won, Krejcikova 71.4%.
• Tauson's matches often feature tight sets; 4 of her last 6 hard-court matches had at least 20 games.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Given the expected competitiveness of the match, the second set is likely to stay close, pushing the total games over 9.5.

• Tauson's last 5 hard-court second sets averaged 9.6 games.
• Krejcikova's last 3 hard-court second sets averaged 8.0 games, but her overall second-set average in the last 15 is 9.3 games.
• If the first set is close, the second set often remains competitive.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.65

The read

Krejcikova's strong start on hard courts and superior return game make her likely to take the opening set against Tauson, who has been less dominant early in matches recently.

• Krejcikova has won the first set in all 3 of her recent hard-court matches.
• Tauson's first-set win conversion rate is 88% career, but she has lost the first set in 3 of her last 6 hard-court matches.
• Krejcikova's first-serve points won on hard courts (71.4%) is slightly higher than Tauson's (72.4%), but her return game is significantly better.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Tauson's high ace count on hard courts, combined with Krejcikova's moderate ace rate, makes over 7.5 total aces likely.

• Tauson averages 8.2 aces per match on hard courts in her last 15.
• Krejcikova averages 2.3 aces per match on hard courts in her last 15, but her overall ace rate is 4.3 per match.
• Combined, their recent hard-court ace averages sum to 10.5 per match.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Krejcikova's high double fault rate on hard courts, along with Tauson's moderate rate, makes over 6.5 double faults a strong possibility.

• Tauson averages 3.3 double faults per match on hard courts in her last 15.
• Krejcikova averages 5.7 double faults per match on hard courts in her last 15.
• Combined, their recent hard-court double fault averages sum to 9.0 per match.