Erika Andreeva vs Sinja Kraus: result, stats and head-to-head

Result1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.38
The read
Kraus has a stronger recent clay profile with higher games-won percentage and return points won, and her lighter tournament workload gives a slight edge over Andreeva's three-setter.
- Kraus clay record last 8 matches: 6-2 (75%), with 60.3% games won
- Andreeva clay record last 13 matches: 9-4 (69.2%), but 53% games won
- Kraus return points won on clay: 51.8% vs Andreeva 46.8%
- Kraus break point conversion on clay: 46.1% vs Andreeva 58.8%
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonSinja KrausEstimated chance62%

Games1 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.75
The read
Andreeva's clay matches tend to be longer, and with both players in decent form, a competitive match likely exceeds 20.5 games.
- Andreeva last 15 clay matches average 24.7 total games
- Kraus last 8 clay matches average 18.9 total games, but 3 of 8 went over 20.5
- H2H (2022) had 16 games, but both players have improved since
BetBugs · Total GameslostOver 20.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both players have shown second sets with extended games on clay, supporting a likely over 8.5 games.
- Andreeva last 5 clay matches: 4 of 5 second sets had 9+ games
- Kraus last 5 clay matches: 3 of 5 second sets had 9+ games
BetBugs · Set 2 Total GameslostOver 8.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Kraus is favored, but Andreeva's competitiveness on clay suggests she can keep the match within a 3.5-game handicap.
- Andreeva clay games won: 53%
- Kraus clay games won: 60.3%
- Expected margin around 2-3 games in Kraus's favor
BetBugs · Game HandicaplostErika Andreeva +3.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Andreeva's recent first sets on clay have been tight, and Kraus's serve may keep it close, making over 9.5 games plausible.
- Andreeva last 5 clay matches: 4 of 5 first sets had 10+ games
- Kraus last 5 clay matches: 2 of 5 first sets had 10+ games
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameswonOver 9.5Estimated chance55%

Sets1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.44
The read
Kraus's high first-set win conversion and recent clay form suggest she is likely to start strong, though Andreeva's own conversion rate is also high.
- Kraus first-set win conversion career: 88%
- Andreeva first-set win conversion career: 90%
- Kraus won first set in 6 of last 8 clay matches
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerwonSinja KrausEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.30
The read
Andreeva's matches often go the distance, and with both players competitive, a three-setter is a reasonable possibility.
- Andreeva last 15 matches: 7 of 15 went three sets
- Kraus last 15 matches: 4 of 15 went three sets
- Andreeva deciding set win rate: 60% career
BetBugs · Total SetslostOver 2.5Estimated chance50%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.85
The read
Both players have low ace counts on clay, making under 5.5 total aces highly likely.
- Andreeva aces per match on clay: 2.2
- Kraus aces per match on clay: 0.6
- Combined average aces: 2.8 per match
BetBugs · Total AcesUnder 5.5Market price1.85Estimated chance70%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Kraus's elevated double fault rate on clay combined with Andreeva's moderate rate makes over 5.5 double faults probable.
- Andreeva double faults per match on clay: 2.3
- Kraus double faults per match on clay: 3.1
- Combined average: 5.4, but Kraus's higher rate pushes over
BetBugs · Total Double FaultsOver 5.5Estimated chance55%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

Erika Andreeva #231Russia0Sinja Kraus #94Austria2

Player Profiles

Erika Andreeva

Sinja Kraus

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Under 5.5

Over 20.5

Over 2.5

Sinja Kraus

Sinja Kraus

BetBugs probabilities

Result1 of 1 landed

Games1 of 4 landed

Sets1 of 2 landed

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Head-to-Head

Erika Andreeva

Sinja Kraus

Stat Battle