NetherlandsBunschoten - NetherlandsFinished

Predictions graded

Mika Brunold #414Switzerland1Ryan Nijboer #4882

Sets 6-4 · 2-6 · 3-6Tue 14 Jul 2026, 10:41 Predictions gradedFirst RoundClay

Predictions5–363%

Edges2–250%

Player Profiles

Ranking advantageMika Brunold · 74 places

Mika Brunold

Switzerland

Born on 2 October 2004. Publicly documented career-high singles ranking is No. 289 on 18 August 2025, and his listed ITF singles finals to date are all on clay, including three titles. He comes into Bunschoten ranked No. 414, below that 2025 peak.

Current ranking: #414
Peak ranking: #289 · 2025
Current age: 21
Preferred surface: Clay
Hand: Right handed
Height: 191 cm

Ryan Nijboer

Dutch right-hander listed at 180 cm. He qualified into the Bunschoten main draw with straight-set wins over Amit Vales and Dimitar Kuzmanov on July 12-13, 2026. Reliable public bio detail beyond the current ranking snapshot was thin in the required search set.

Current ranking: #488
Peak ranking: —
Current age: —
Preferred surface: —
Hand: Right handed
Height: 180 cm

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 13 Jul 2026, 22:45 · Europe/Bucharest

Ryan Nijboer's strong clay-court form (8-2 last 10) and H2H edge give him a clear advantage over Mika Brunold, who enters as an alternate with a modest 6-5 clay record.

Back Nijboer to win at 1.85 and consider over 21.5 total games, as both players trend toward high-scoring sets.

Context

Nijboer is 8-2 in his last 10 matches, all on clay.
- He beat Dimitar Kuzmanov (rank 394) 7-6(5) 6-3 in qualifying on July 13.
- His 2026 clay record is 25-13, showing consistent surface success.
Brunold lost 6-3 6-2 to Miguel Tobon (rank 466) on May 31.
- He also lost to Daniele Rapagnetta (rank 805) on May 3.
- His last 10 matches show a 5-5 record, with losses to players ranked outside the top 400.
Nijboer won the only H2H match 6-3 7-5 on clay in July 2024.
- In that match, Nijboer won 74% of first-serve points and saved break points effectively.
- Brunold struggled on return, winning only 37% of return points.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.85
The read
Nijboer's superior clay-court form, recent momentum, and H2H edge give him a clear advantage in this Bo3 match.
- Nijboer won the only H2H meeting 6-3 7-5 on clay in July 2024.
- Nijboer's recent form: 8-2 in last 10 matches, all on clay, with wins over higher-ranked opponents like Kuzmanov (rank 394).
- Brunold's recent form: 5-5 in last 10, with losses to lower-ranked players like Tobon (rank 466) and Rapagnetta (rank 805).
- Nijboer has a 25-13 clay record in 2026 vs Brunold's 6-5.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonRyan NijboerEstimated chance60%

Games2 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both players' recent matches trend toward higher game counts, and the competitive H2H supports a match exceeding 21.5 games.
- Brunold's last 5 matches averaged 22.4 total games.
- Nijboer's last 5 matches averaged 21.6 total games.
- H2H match had 21 games in straight sets, suggesting a competitive baseline.
BetBugs · Total GameswonOver 21.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.91
The read
Both players consistently produce first sets with at least 9 games, and the H2H suggests a tight opening set.
- Brunold's last 5 first sets: 9, 10, 13, 13, 8 games (avg 10.6).
- Nijboer's last 5 first sets: 13, 10, 9, 8, 9 games (avg 9.8).
- H2H first set had 9 games.
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameswonOver 9.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.91
The read
Second sets in their recent matches often reach 9+ games, and the H2H second set was extended, supporting over 9.5.
- Brunold's last 5 second sets: 8, 9, 13, 9, 9 games (avg 9.6).
- Nijboer's last 5 second sets: 9, 8, 7, 8, 10 games (avg 8.4).
- H2H second set had 12 games.
BetBugs · Set 2 Total GameslostOver 9.5Estimated chance58%

Sets0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.85
The read
Nijboer's trend of winning first sets and Brunold's recent slow starts make Nijboer the likely set 1 winner.
- Nijboer has won the first set in 7 of his last 10 matches.
- Brunold lost the first set in 4 of his last 6 matches.
- Nijboer's first-set win conversion rate is 83% career, indicating strong starts.
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerlostRyan NijboerEstimated chance58%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both players have high double-fault rates, and their combined average strongly suggests over 7.5 double faults.
- Brunold averages 4.9 double faults per match (career DF rate 4.9%).
- Nijboer averages 5.7 double faults per match (career DF rate 5.7%).
- Combined average of 10.6 double faults per match based on career rates.
BetBugs · Total Double FaultsOver 7.5Estimated chance52%

Head-to-Head

0-1 (1 meetings)

L6-3 7-5Mika Brunold#414vRyan Nijboer#488Jul 8, 2024

1 total meetings

Mika Brunold

8W 7L

6-3 6-2#466Miguel Tobon

6-2 3-6 6-2#210Yu Hsiou Hsu

7-6(10) 7-6(4)#429Massimo Giunta

7-6(2) 6-3#449Laurent Lokoli

5-3 ret.#713Kasra Rahmani

4-6 6-3 6-3#805Daniele Rapagnetta

6-3 6-1#300Miguel Damas

6-3 4-6 6-3#245Alex Barrena

4-6 6-4 6-2#398Georgii Kravchenko

6-2 6-3—Timo Rosenkranz Koenig

6-3 6-3#300Miguel Damas

7-6(3) 6-1—Leo Lagarrigue

6-3 6-4#333Matteo Martineau

6-2 6-0#423Lucas Poullain

7-6(4) 6-4#561Mae Malige

Ryan Nijboer

11W 4L

7-6(5) 6-3#394Dimitar Kuzmanov

6-4 6-4#675Amit Vales

6-3 6-1#199Kimmer Coppejans

6-2 6-1#713Kasra Rahmani

3-6 6-4 6-1#761Maxence Bertimon

4-6 7-6(3) 7-5#312Jonas Forejtek

6-2 7-6(6)#585Izan Almazan Valiente

6-2 6-2#743Michiel De Krom

6-0 7-6(4)#687Oscar Jose Gutierrez

6-4 6-7(8) 6-3#887Pavlos Tsitsipas

6-4 6-3—Mikel Martinez

6-2 4-6 6-3#581Marcel Zielinski

6-2 6-2#205Daniel Rincon

6-0 6-2#605Alberto Barroso Campos

6-2 6-4—David Naharro