Fiona Ferro #189France11 – 2Aurora Zantedeschi #292Italy2

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.80

The read

With both players showing similar game totals in recent matches and clay favoring longer points, the match is likely to exceed 20.5 games.

• Ferro's last 5 matches averaged 21.4 total games.
• Zantedeschi's last 5 matches averaged 20.6 total games.
• Both players have break-point conversion rates near 49%, leading to competitive games.
• Clay courts tend to produce longer rallies and more games.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

The first set is likely to be competitive, with both players holding serve effectively, pushing the total over 9.5 games.

• Ferro's last 5 first sets averaged 9.6 games.
• Zantedeschi's last 5 first sets averaged 9.4 games.
• Both have high first-serve win percentages (58-60%), which can lead to holds and longer sets.
• Zantedeschi's recent first sets have been tight, including a 7-6 win over Blinkova.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

With low ace rates and clay slowing serves, the total aces are very likely to stay under 5.5.

• Ferro's ace rate is 1.5% (career 506 aces in 618 matches).
• Zantedeschi's ace rate is 2.0% (career 481 aces in 435 matches).
• Both players average less than 2 aces per match on clay.
• Clay surfaces reduce ace counts due to slower conditions.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Zantedeschi's high double-fault rate, combined with Ferro's moderate rate, makes over 7.5 double faults a reasonable expectation.

• Ferro's double-fault rate is 3.0% (career 1018 DFs in 618 matches).
• Zantedeschi's double-fault rate is 5.1% (career 1234 DFs in 435 matches).
• Zantedeschi averages over 3 double faults per match.
• Ferro averages around 2 double faults per match.