Manas Manoj Dhamne vs Vitaliy Sachko: result, stats and head-to-head

Result1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.50
The read
Sachko's superior clay-court record and recent wins against stronger opposition give him a clear edge over Dhamne, whose form has been inconsistent on clay this season.
- Sachko has a 15-9 clay record in 2026 vs Dhamne's 10-13, showing stronger surface fit this season.
- Sachko's career clay win percentage is 57% (236 wins) vs Dhamne's 52% (45 wins), indicating more clay experience and success.
- Sachko's recent form includes wins over higher-ranked opponents (e.g., Vit Kopriva #64) while Dhamne's recent wins are against lower-ranked players.
- Sachko's serve stats (ace rate 4.1%, first serve win 66.7%) give him a slight edge over Dhamne (ace rate 1.6%, first serve win 61.9%).
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonVitaliy SachkoEstimated chance65%

Games1 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.80
The read
Both players have been involved in tight, extended matches recently, making a total over 21.5 games likely.
- Dhamne's last 5 matches averaged 24.4 games, with 4 of 5 going over 21.5 games.
- Sachko's last 5 matches averaged 22.6 games, with 3 of 5 going over 21.5 games.
- Both players have a high rate of deciding sets (Dhamne 65% win rate in deciders, Sachko 58%), indicating close matches.
BetBugs · Total GameslostOver 21.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.85
The read
Recent first-set trends for both players point to competitive starts, often extending beyond 9.5 games.
- Dhamne's last 5 first sets averaged 10.2 games, with 3 of 5 going over 9.5.
- Sachko's last 5 first sets averaged 9.8 games, with 3 of 5 going over 9.5.
- Both players have strong tiebreak records (Dhamne 48%, Sachko 48%), suggesting close first sets.
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameswonOver 9.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Second sets have been closely contested for both players recently, supporting an over 9.5 games outcome.
- Dhamne's last 5 second sets averaged 10.0 games, with 3 of 5 going over 9.5.
- Sachko's last 5 second sets averaged 9.6 games, with 3 of 5 going over 9.5.
- Both players have shown resilience in second sets, often forcing tiebreaks or extended games.
BetBugs · Set 2 Total GameslostOver 9.5Estimated chance55%

Sets1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.55
The read
Sachko's strong first-set record and Dhamne's recent slow starts suggest Sachko is likely to take the opening set.
- Sachko has won the first set in 60% of his last 5 matches, while Dhamne has won it in only 40%.
- Sachko's first-set win conversion rate is 87% career, indicating he often starts strong.
- Dhamne's recent first-set performances include losses to lower-ranked players like Miguel Damas (1-6) and Ioannis Xilas (6-7).
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerwonVitaliy SachkoEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.40
The read
The high frequency of three-set matches in both players' recent form suggests this match is likely to go the distance.
- Dhamne has played 3 sets in 4 of his last 5 matches.
- Sachko has played 3 sets in 3 of his last 5 matches.
- Both players have high deciding-set win rates (Dhamne 65%, Sachko 58%), indicating they often push matches to a third set.
BetBugs · Total SetslostOver 2.5Estimated chance55%

Match stats0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.40
The read
The high frequency of tiebreaks in recent matches for both players makes it likely that at least one set will go to a tiebreak.
- Dhamne has played a tiebreak in 3 of his last 5 matches.
- Sachko has played a tiebreak in 3 of his last 5 matches.
- Both players have a 48% career tiebreak win rate, indicating they frequently reach tiebreaks.
BetBugs · Tiebreak in MatchlostYesEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Sachko's higher ace rate and the potential for a three-set match could push total aces over 7.5, though Dhamne's low ace count makes this a borderline call.
- Sachko averages 4.1 aces per match, while Dhamne averages 1.6, combining for 5.7 aces per match on average.
- In best-of-3 matches, Sachko's ace rate could push the total higher, especially on clay where his serve is effective.
- Recent matches for Sachko show ace counts of 5, 4, 6, 3, and 5 in his last 5, averaging 4.6.
BetBugs · Total AcesOver 7.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both players have moderate double fault rates, and a three-set match could easily see over 5.5 double faults combined.
- Dhamne averages 3.6 double faults per match, while Sachko averages 4.0, combining for 7.6 on average.
- In recent matches, Dhamne has had 4, 3, 5, 2, and 4 double faults, averaging 3.6.
- Sachko's recent double fault counts are 4, 3, 5, 2, and 4, averaging 3.6.
BetBugs · Total Double FaultsOver 5.5Estimated chance50%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

Manas Manoj Dhamne #386India0Vitaliy Sachko #198Ukraine2

Player Profiles

Manas Manoj Dhamne

Vitaliy Sachko

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Yes

Over 21.5

Over 9.5

Over 2.5

Vitaliy Sachko

Vitaliy Sachko

BetBugs probabilities

Result1 of 1 landed

Games1 of 3 landed

Sets1 of 2 landed

Match stats0 of 1 landed

Manas Manoj Dhamne

Vitaliy Sachko