Pietro Orlando Fellin #446Italy00 – 2Francesco Passaro #185Italy2

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.91

The read

Both players tend to hold serve early, leading to extended first sets; Fellin's recent first sets have consistently gone over 9.5 games.

• Fellin's last 5 first sets averaged 10.2 games
• Passaro's last 5 first sets averaged 9.6 games
• Both players have strong serve hold rates on clay

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Fellin's recent matches have been close, and even in losses he stays within 3.5 games, suggesting he can keep this match competitive.

• Fellin's last 5 losses were by 4, 6, 2, 4, 4 games
• Passaro's last 5 wins were by 4, 4, 6, 5, 6 games
• Fellin has covered +3.5 in 4 of last 5 matches

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Fellin's recent matches have been tight, often going to tiebreaks or three sets, pushing total games over 21.5 in most cases.

• Fellin's last 5 matches averaged 23.4 total games
• Passaro's last 5 matches averaged 20.8 total games
• Both players have high tiebreak rates (Fellin 61%, Passaro 51%)

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Fellin's resilience in second sets often leads to close games, but Passaro's ability to close out matches could keep it under if he dominates.

• Fellin's last 5 second sets averaged 10.0 games
• Passaro's last 5 second sets averaged 9.2 games
• Fellin has played multiple tiebreaks in recent matches

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Fellin's frequent tiebreaks and both players' solid serving make a tiebreak likely in at least one set.

• Fellin tiebreak win% 61%, played tiebreaks in 3 of last 5 matches
• Passaro tiebreak win% 51%, played tiebreaks in 2 of last 5 matches
• Both players have strong hold rates on clay