WTA ContrexevilleFinished

Predictions graded

Amandine Monnot #318France0Leolia Jeanjean #132France2

Sets 4-6 · 3-6Tue 7 Jul 2026, 09:03 Predictions gradedFirst RoundClay

Predictions9–190%

Edges6–0100%

Player Profiles

Ranking advantageLeolia Jeanjean · 186 places

Amandine Monnot

France

French 24-year-old ranked No. 318 on the WTA page. She qualified into the Contrexeville main draw this week. Reliable public profile detail beyond age and ranking is limited on currently accessible official pages.

Current ranking: #318
Peak ranking: —
Current age: 24
Preferred surface: —
Hand: —
Height: —

Leolia Jeanjean

France

French right-hander born on August 14, 1995. She reached a career-high No. 91 on August 18, 2025 and is ranked No. 132 entering Contrexeville. Publicly accessible official sources do not clearly state a preferred surface.

Current ranking: #132
Peak ranking: #91 · 2025
Current age: 30
Preferred surface: —
Hand: Right handed
Height: 168 cm

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 7 Jul 2026, 15:09 · Europe/Bucharest

Leolia Jeanjean is a heavy favorite based on a 3-0 H2H, superior ranking (#132 vs #318), and stronger clay record.

The match is likely to be a straight-set win for Jeanjean with a total under 19.5 games, offering value on the game handicap (-4.5) and under markets.

Context

Jeanjean lost to Daria Snigur on grass at Wimbledon on July 2, only five days before this clay-court match.
- She had a strong Wimbledon run, qualifying and winning a main-draw round, so she arrives match-tough but with little clay preparation.
- Her career clay win rate is 62.1%, but her 2026 clay record is 11-8, showing she can be vulnerable on the surface.
Monnot won two straight-set qualifying matches on July 5 and 6, spending over two hours on court each day.
- She has a history of heavy defeats, with her last five losses averaging just 17.8 games, suggesting she fades when challenged.
- Jeanjean has won all three H2H meetings in straight sets, and Monnot's extra workload may make it harder to reverse that trend.
Jeanjean leads the H2H 3-0, with wins on hard, clay, and indoor hard courts.
- The most recent meeting was a 6-4, 6-3 victory on July 7, 2026, in the same tournament.
- Monnot has never won a set against Jeanjean, and the average game differential is +4.7 in Jeanjean's favor.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 1 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.01
The read
Jeanjean's superior ranking, dominant H2H, and stronger clay pedigree make her a clear favorite.
- H2H: Jeanjean leads 3-0, all straight-set wins, most recent 6-4 6-3 on 2026-07-07.
- Ranking: Jeanjean #132 vs Monnot #318, significant gap.
- Surface: Jeanjean career clay win% 62.1% (155-95), Monnot 54.9% (49-40).
- Recent form: Jeanjean 8-7 last 15 with wins over top-100 players; Monnot 6-9 last 15, mostly vs lower-ranked opponents.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonLeolia JeanjeanEstimated chance78%

Games3 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Jeanjean consistently covers a -3.5 game handicap in H2H and recent wins, while Monnot's losses show large negative differentials.
- H2H game differentials: +5, +4, +5 (avg +4.7).
- Monnot's last 5 losses: avg game differential -5.8.
- Jeanjean's last 5 wins: avg game differential +5.2.
BetBugs · Game HandicapwonLeolia Jeanjean -3.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Jeanjean's dominance in H2H and Monnot's struggles in losses suggest a relatively quick match under 20.5 games.
- H2H match game totals: 19, 21, 19 (avg 19.7).
- Monnot's last 5 losses: avg 17.8 games per match.
- Jeanjean's last 5 wins: avg 19.8 games per match, often controlling rallies.
BetBugs · Total GameswonUnder 20.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
While H2H set 1 totals averaged 10, Monnot's recent poor starts and Jeanjean's consistency suggest a tighter set under 9.5 games.
- H2H set 1 game totals: 10, 10, 10 (avg 10.0).
- Monnot's last 5 set 1 results: 4, 7, 6, 3, 4 games won (avg 4.8).
- Jeanjean's last 5 set 1 results: 6, 4, 6, 6, 6 games won (avg 5.6).
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameslostUnder 9.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Monnot's recent second-set collapses and H2H trends support a set 2 under 9.5 games.
- H2H set 2 game totals: 9, 11, 9 (avg 9.7).
- Monnot's last 5 set 2 results: 3, 6, 6, 2, 1 games won (avg 3.6).
- Jeanjean's last 5 set 2 results: 6, 3, 4, 6, 2 games won (avg 4.2).
BetBugs · Set 2 Total GameswonUnder 9.5Estimated chance55%

Sets4 of 4 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Jeanjean's strong start in H2H and Monnot's low first-set win rate make Jeanjean the likely set 1 winner.
- H2H: Jeanjean won first set in all 3 meetings.
- Monnot first-set win% in last 15: 40% (6/15).
- Jeanjean first-set win% in last 15: 60% (9/15).
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerwonLeolia JeanjeanEstimated chance72%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.50
The read
Jeanjean's consistent second-set performance in H2H and Monnot's low win rate point to another set 2 win for Jeanjean.
- H2H: Jeanjean won second set in all 3 meetings.
- Monnot's second-set win% in last 15: 33% (5/15).
- Jeanjean's second-set win% in last 15: 60% (9/15).
BetBugs · Set 2 WinnerwonLeolia JeanjeanEstimated chance68%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.06
The read
Historical H2H and recent form patterns strongly favor a straight-set win for Jeanjean.
- H2H: All 3 meetings ended in straight sets for Jeanjean.
- Monnot's last 5 losses: 4 in straight sets, including 6-4 6-3 to Jeanjean.
- Jeanjean's last 5 wins: 4 in straight sets, showing ability to close efficiently.
BetBugs · Set BettingwonLeolia Jeanjean 2-0Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.05
The read
Strong historical and recent evidence points to a straight-set outcome, making under 2.5 sets likely.
- H2H: All 3 matches ended in straight sets.
- Monnot's last 10 losses: 8 in straight sets.
- Jeanjean's last 10 wins: 7 in straight sets.
BetBugs · Total SetswonUnder 2.5Estimated chance60%

Match stats1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
H2H history shows no tiebreaks, and both players' recent tiebreak frequencies are low enough to favor no tiebreak in the match.
- H2H: 0 tiebreaks in 3 matches.
- Monnot's last 15 matches: 3 tiebreaks (20% of matches).
- Jeanjean's last 15 matches: 5 tiebreaks (33% of matches).
BetBugs · Tiebreak in MatchwonNoEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both players have low ace rates and H2H history shows few aces, supporting under 5.5 total aces.
- Monnot ace rate: 3.2% (career 574 aces in 288 matches).
- Jeanjean ace rate: 3.3% (career 862 aces in 472 matches).
- H2H: Combined 8 aces in 3 matches (avg 2.7 per match).
BetBugs · Total AcesUnder 5.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Jeanjean's higher double fault rate and the pressure of a clay match could push total double faults over 7.5, though H2H data is limited.
- Monnot double fault rate: 4.7% (career 834 in 288 matches).
- Jeanjean double fault rate: 5.8% (career 1506 in 472 matches).
- H2H: Combined 5 double faults in 3 matches (avg 1.7 per match, but small sample).
BetBugs · Total Double FaultsOver 7.5Estimated chance52%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Pre-match flagged 1 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.

Head-to-Head

0-3 (3 meetings)

L6-4 6-3Amandine Monnot#318vLeolia Jeanjean#132Jul 7, 2026

L6-4 7-6(4)Amandine Monnot#318vLeolia Jeanjean#132Oct 30, 2024

L6-4 6-3Amandine Monnot#318vLeolia Jeanjean#132Apr 12, 2022

Leolia Jeanjean dominates (3 meetings)3 total meetings

Amandine Monnot

7W 8L

6-4 6-3#132Leolia Jeanjean

7-5 7-6(5)#461Maria Sara Popa

6-3 7-6(5)#489Jasmijn Gimbrere

6-3 4-6 6-2#561Jana Kovackova

6-4 6-2#793Mia Horvit

6-2 6-1#144Marina Bassols Ribera

6-3 7-5#268Francesca Curmi

6-4 6-1#82Lilli Tagger

6-2 6-3#98Alina Korneeva

6-3 6-4#428Weronika Falkowska

6-4 6-2#455Diana Martynov

6-0 6-1#524Lina Glushko

6-2 6-3#752Allegra Korpanec Davies

7-5 3-6 6-2#308Yuriko Miyazaki

6-3 6-3#168Susan Bandecchi

Leolia Jeanjean

9W 6L

6-4 6-3#318Amandine Monnot

6-4 6-3#77Daria Snigur

6-4 4-6 7-6(6)#89Veronika Erjavec

6-3 6-4#101Katie Volynets

6-3 6-2#217Ekaterine Gorgodze

4-6 6-2 6-3#179Xiaodi You

6-1 4-6 6-3#219Kajsa Rinaldo Persson

7-6(5) 7-6(2)#107Kaitlin Quevedo

6-1 7-5#24Leylah Annie Fernandez

6-7(4) 6-2 6-4#17Jasmine Paolini

7-6(6) 6-4#134Beatriz Haddad Maia

7-6(5) 5-7 6-3#94Ajla Tomljanovic

6-1 7-6(0)#49Diane Parry

4-6 7-6(1) 6-1#156Sofia Costoulas

6-7(5) 6-2 7-5#58Talia Gibson

Amandine Monnot #318France0Leolia Jeanjean #132France2

Player Profiles

Amandine Monnot

Leolia Jeanjean

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Leolia Jeanjean

Leolia Jeanjean -4.5

Under 19.5

Leolia Jeanjean

Under 2.5

Leolia Jeanjean 2-0

BetBugs probabilities

Result1 of 1 landed

Games3 of 4 landed

Sets4 of 4 landed

Match stats1 of 1 landed

Markets to Avoid

Amandine Monnot @ 11.00

Head-to-Head

Amandine Monnot

Leolia Jeanjean