Max Hans Rehberg vs Moise Kouame: result, stats and head-to-head

Result1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.65
The read
Rehberg's superior recent clay form and home advantage give him a moderate edge over Kouame, whose clay results have been inconsistent.
- Rehberg is 15-9 on clay in 2026, including a current 5-match win streak on the surface.
- Kouame is 7-5 on clay in 2026 but has lost 3 of his last 5 clay matches.
- Rehberg has won 10 of his last 11 matches overall, with dominant scorelines in recent Challenger events.
- Kouame's recent form includes losses to lower-ranked players (Vasami, Kypson) on clay.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonMax Hans RehbergEstimated chance58%

Games2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both players have been involved in matches with extended games, and their competitive styles on clay suggest a match likely to surpass 21.5 games.
- Rehberg's last 5 matches averaged 20.6 total games, with 3 exceeding 21.5.
- Kouame's last 5 clay matches averaged 22.4 total games, with 4 exceeding 21.5.
- Both players have competitive recent matches with multiple close sets.
BetBugs · Total GameslostOver 21.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Kouame is expected to keep the match close, making +3.5 games a reasonable handicap given his competitive recent performances.
- Kouame's recent losses have been competitive, with an average game differential of -3.2 in his last 5 losses.
- Rehberg's wins have often been by narrow margins, with an average game differential of +4.8 in his last 5 wins.
- Kouame has covered a +3.5 game handicap in 4 of his last 5 matches.
BetBugs · Game HandicaplostMoise Kouame +3.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.91
The read
The first set is likely to be tight given both players' solid serving and recent competitive opening sets.
- Rehberg's last 5 first sets averaged 9.6 games, with 3 over 9.5.
- Kouame's last 5 first sets averaged 9.8 games, with 3 over 9.5.
- Both players have strong serve stats, with Rehberg winning 68% on first serve and Kouame 68.3%.
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameswonOver 9.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.91
The read
Second sets have been competitive for both, and with neither player dominating return games, another over 9.5 games is probable.
- Rehberg's last 5 second sets averaged 9.4 games, with 3 over 9.5.
- Kouame's last 5 second sets averaged 9.6 games, with 3 over 9.5.
- Both players have similar break point save rates (Rehberg 60.6%, Kouame 63.2%).
BetBugs · Set 2 Total GameswonOver 9.5Estimated chance55%

Sets1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.73
The read
Rehberg's strong start tendency and Kouame's occasional slow openings on clay make Rehberg the likely first-set winner.
- Rehberg has won the first set in 13 of his last 15 matches.
- Kouame has lost the first set in 3 of his last 5 clay matches.
- Rehberg's first-set win conversion rate is 86% for his career.
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerwonMax Hans RehbergEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The match is expected to be competitive, with a reasonable chance of extending to a deciding set given both players' recent three-set frequency.
- Rehberg has gone to three sets in 3 of his last 10 matches.
- Kouame has gone to three sets in 4 of his last 10 matches.
- Both players have deciding set win rates near 50% (Rehberg 49%, Kouame 64%).
BetBugs · Total SetslostOver 2.5Estimated chance55%

Match stats0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both players have moderate ace rates, and a Bo3 match on clay should still produce over 7.5 aces combined.
- Kouame averages 5.1 aces per match (ace rate 5.1%).
- Rehberg averages 4.1 aces per match (ace rate 4.1%).
- Combined ace rate suggests around 9-10 aces in a typical Bo3 match.
BetBugs · Total AcesOver 7.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Kouame's high double fault rate and Rehberg's moderate rate make over 5.5 double faults likely.
- Kouame averages 5.2 double faults per match (double fault rate 5.2%).
- Rehberg averages 3.4 double faults per match (double fault rate 3.4%).
- Combined double fault rate suggests around 8-9 double faults in a typical Bo3 match.
BetBugs · Total Double FaultsOver 5.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
With both players holding serve well and competitive sets expected, a tiebreak is a plausible outcome.
- Rehberg has a career tiebreak win rate of 56%.
- Kouame has a career tiebreak win rate of 58%.
- Both players have been involved in tiebreaks in recent matches (Kouame 2 in last 5).
BetBugs · Tiebreak in MatchlostYesEstimated chance55%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

Max Hans Rehberg #510Germany2Moise Kouame #215France0

Player Profiles

Max Hans Rehberg

Moise Kouame

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Max Hans Rehberg

Over 9.5

Over 9.5

Max Hans Rehberg 2-1

Max Hans Rehberg

BetBugs probabilities

Result1 of 1 landed

Games2 of 4 landed

Sets1 of 2 landed

Match stats0 of 1 landed

Max Hans Rehberg

Moise Kouame