United KingdomWTA WimbledonFinished

Predictions graded

Alycia Parks #81United States0Mananchaya Sawangkaew #164Thailand2

Sets 5-7 · 0-6Wed 1 Jul 2026, 10:01 Predictions gradedSecond RoundGrass

Predictions3–538%

Edges2–167%

Player Profiles

Ranking advantageAlycia Parks · 83 places

Alycia Parks

United States

Reached a career-high No. 40 in August 2023. WTA lists her 2024 Gaiba title, giving her a documented grass-court title reference.

Current ranking: #81
Peak ranking: #40 · 2023
Current age: 25
Preferred surface: —
Hand: Right handed
Height: 185 cm

Mananchaya Sawangkaew

Thailand

Reached a career-high No. 100 on 9 June 2025 and made her Grand Slam main-draw debut at the 2026 Australian Open. WTA biography says she prefers hard courts, and the January 2026 WTA feature treated her earlier back issue as comeback background rather than a live concern.

Current ranking: #164
Peak ranking: #100 · 2025
Current age: 23
Preferred surface: Hard
Hand: Right handed
Height: —

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 30 Jun 2026, 06:21 · Europe/Bucharest

Sawangkaew's superior grass form (8-2 in 2026) and head-to-head win give her a clear edge over Parks, who is 1-3 on grass this year and struggles with consistency.

Back Sawangkaew to win at 2.30, over 21.5 games at 1.80, and Sawangkaew to win the first set at 2.10, while avoiding the 2-1 set-betting trap.

Context

Sawangkaew's 2026 grass record: 8 wins, 2 losses.
- She has won her last four grass matches, all in three sets, including a comeback from a set down against world No. 21 Maja Chwalinska.
- Her career grass win percentage is 80% (8/10), showing she adapts well to the surface.
Parks' 2026 grass record: 1 win, 3 losses.
- Her losses came against players ranked 97, 278, and 149, all in three sets.
- She has lost the first set in four of her last five matches overall, indicating slow starts.
Parks competed in Rabat (clay) on June 20, losing in the first round.
- She then played a grass-court event on June 29, winning one match before Wimbledon.
- The tight schedule gave her only a few days to practice on grass, which is a significant surface change.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.30
The read
Sawangkaew's superior grass form (8-2 in 2026) and H2H win give her a clear edge, while Parks struggles on grass (1-3 this year) and has a weaker serve profile.
- Sawangkaew leads H2H 1-0, winning 5-7 6-3 6-4 on hard in Oct 2024.
- Sawangkaew has 8-2 grass record in 2026 vs Parks' 1-3; career grass win% 8/10 vs 15/22.
- Sawangkaew's last 5 matches: 4-1, all on grass, with wins over top-130 opponents; Parks 2-3 with losses to lower-ranked players.
- Parks' serve stats: 55% first serve, 11% double faults; Sawangkaew 62% first serve, 6.3% double faults.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonMananchaya SawangkaewEstimated chance62%

Games1 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.80
The read
Both players' recent matches trend toward higher game counts, and the H2H was lengthy, supporting over 21.5 games.
- Sawangkaew's last 5 grass matches averaged 24.8 total games.
- Parks' last 5 matches averaged 21.6 total games, with 3 exceeding 21.5.
- H2H match had 31 total games.
BetBugs · Total GameslostOver 21.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Recent first sets for both players often exceed 9.5 games, suggesting a competitive opening set.
- Sawangkaew's last 5 first sets averaged 10.2 games.
- Parks' last 5 first sets averaged 9.4 games, with 3 over 9.5.
- H2H first set had 12 games.
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameswonOver 9.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Second sets in their recent matches have been close, with a slight lean toward over 9.5 games.
- Sawangkaew's last 5 second sets averaged 9.6 games.
- Parks' last 5 second sets averaged 9.2 games, with 3 over 9.5.
- H2H second set had 9 games.
BetBugs · Set 2 Total GameslostOver 9.5Estimated chance52%

Sets1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.10
The read
Sawangkaew's strong start tendency on grass contrasts with Parks' recent slow starts, making Sawangkaew the likely first-set winner.
- Sawangkaew won the first set in 3 of her last 5 grass matches.
- Parks lost the first set in 4 of her last 5 matches.
- Sawangkaew's first-set win conversion rate is 88% career.
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerwonMananchaya SawangkaewEstimated chance58%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Parks' high double fault rate, especially under pressure, should push the total over 10.5.
- Parks has an 11% double fault rate, averaging ~6-7 per match.
- Sawangkaew has a 6.3% double fault rate, averaging ~3-4 per match.
- H2H had 25 double faults (Parks 17, Sawangkaew 8).
BetBugs · Total Double FaultsOver 10.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Parks' high ace rate, combined with Sawangkaew's moderate contribution, makes over 8.5 aces likely.
- Parks averages 8.4 aces per match (career ace rate 8.4%).
- Sawangkaew averages 3.9 aces per match, but Parks' high ace count pushes total up.
- H2H had 16 total aces (Parks 15, Sawangkaew 1).
BetBugs · Total AcesOver 8.5Estimated chance58%

Head-to-Head

0-1 (1 meetings)

L5-7 6-3 6-4Alycia Parks#81vMananchaya Sawangkaew#164Oct 1, 2024

1 total meetings

Alycia Parks

7W 8L

6-3 6-3#245Alicia Dudeney

4-6 6-3 7-5#97Emiliana Arango

4-6 6-4 6-2#278Tessa Johanna Brockmann

5-7 6-4 6-4#149Maddison Inglis

6-2 6-2#62Viktorija Golubic

6-4 6-4#24Leylah Annie Fernandez

6-3 6-4#124Jil Teichmann

6-2 6-4#108Moyuka Uchijima

6-4 7-5#168Susan Bandecchi

7-5 6-7(8) 6-2#130Mary Stoiana

6-4 6-1#111Dalma Galfi

6-2 6-7(5) 6-3#29Ann Li

6-3 6-2#46Elisabetta Cocciaretto

6-1 7-6(4)#601Ksenia Efremova

6-1 6-2#211Elina Avanesyan

Mananchaya Sawangkaew

11W 4L

2-6 7-5 6-2#21Maja Chwalinska

5-7 7-5 6-1#475Oceane Dodin

2-6 6-4 7-5#130Mary Stoiana

6-3 1-6 6-4#160Anouk Koevermans

7-6(3) 6-0#176Akasha Urhobo

6-3 6-2#32Alexandra Eala

6-4 6-1#137Kayla Day

6-4 7-5#167Linda Klimovicova

7-6(3) 6-3#228Aoi Ito

6-2 6-3#308Yuriko Miyazaki

6-3 3-6 6-3#501Hikaru Sato

6-0 7-5#527Heather Watson

7-6(2) 6-3#135Emerson Jones

6-4 6-2#227Hayu Kinoshita

6-1 6-4#150Priscilla Hon