Enrico Dalla Valle #363Italy22 – 0Petr Nesterov #3960

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

The H2H was one-sided with few games, and both players' recent matches have been relatively short, supporting under 21.5 total games.

• H2H: Their only match had 16 games (6-3 6-1).
• Recent form: Nesterov's last 5 matches averaged 18.6 games; Dalla Valle's last 5 averaged 18.4 games.
• Surface edge: Both players have strong hold/break profiles on clay, but Nesterov's higher return points won (43%) can lead to quicker breaks and shorter matches.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

The H2H first set was under 9.5 games, and both players' recent first sets have been low-scoring, making under 9.5 games likely.

• H2H: First set had 9 games (6-3).
• Recent form: Nesterov's last 5 first sets averaged 8.6 games; Dalla Valle's averaged 8.4 games.
• Surface edge: Nesterov's first-serve win percentage (65.2%) and break-point conversion (45.1%) can lead to early breaks and a quick set.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

The H2H second set was a blowout, and Nesterov's recent second sets have been low-scoring, supporting under 9.5 games.

• H2H: Second set had 7 games (6-1).
• Recent form: Nesterov's last 5 second sets averaged 8.2 games; Dalla Valle's averaged 8.8 games.
• Surface edge: Nesterov's return game strength (43% return points won) can force quick breaks in the second set.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both players tend to win in straight sets, and Nesterov's strong closing ability makes a 2-0 result more likely than three sets.

• H2H: Their only match was a straight-sets win for Nesterov.
• Recent form: Nesterov has won 7 of his last 10 matches in straight sets; Dalla Valle has won 6 of his last 10 in straight sets.
• Surface edge: Nesterov's 92% first-set win conversion rate and 65% deciding-set win rate suggest he closes matches efficiently.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

The H2H had no tiebreak, and both players' recent matches rarely go to tiebreaks, making 'No' the likely outcome.

• H2H: No tiebreak in their only meeting.
• Recent form: Nesterov has played only 1 tiebreak in his last 10 matches; Dalla Valle has played 2 tiebreaks in his last 10.
• Surface edge: Both players have moderate tiebreak win rates (Nesterov 63%, Dalla Valle 48%), but sets tend to be decided without tiebreaks in their matches.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both players have low ace rates and the H2H had few aces, making under 7.5 total aces likely in a Bo3 match.

• H2H: Only 5 total aces (2 for Dalla Valle, 3 for Nesterov) in their match.
• Career ace rates: Dalla Valle 5.3%, Nesterov 4.5% – both below average for high ace counts.
• Recent form: In their last 5 matches, Dalla Valle averaged 3.2 aces, Nesterov averaged 2.8 aces.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both players have low double fault rates and the H2H had few double faults, supporting under 5.5 total double faults.

• H2H: Only 2 total double faults (1 each) in their match.
• Career double fault rates: Dalla Valle 2.6%, Nesterov 2.5% – both relatively low.
• Recent form: In their last 5 matches, Dalla Valle averaged 1.8 double faults, Nesterov averaged 1.6.