United KingdomATP WimbledonFinished

Predictions graded

Max Basing #332United Kingdom2Tom Gentzsch #218Germany0

Sets 7-5 · 6-2Wed 24 Jun 2026, 10:08 Predictions gradedQ2Grass

Predictions3–443%

Edges2–167%

Player Profiles

Ranking advantageTom Gentzsch · 114 places

Max Basing

United Kingdom

ATP Tour rankings list Basing at No. 332 on 23 June 2026. The ATP rankings page lists him as 23, and the structured match data lists him at 180 cm and right-handed with a two-handed backhand. Reliable public bio detail beyond that is thin.

Current ranking: #332
Peak ranking: —
Current age: 23
Preferred surface: —
Hand: Right handed
Height: 180 cm

Tom Gentzsch

Germany

ATP Tour rankings list Gentzsch at No. 218 on 23 June 2026. The ATP rankings page lists him as 22, and the structured match data lists him at 191 cm and right-handed with a two-handed backhand. Reliable official bio detail beyond that is thin from accessible pages.

Current ranking: #218
Peak ranking: —
Current age: 22
Preferred surface: —
Hand: Right handed
Height: 191 cm

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 23 Jun 2026, 06:44 · Europe/Bucharest

Max Basing's recent form (9-1 last 10) and 91% first-set win rate give him a slight edge over Tom Gentzsch, but Gentzsch's superior grass experience and big serve (7.3 aces/match) make this a tight contest.

Best bets: Basing to win match (2.30, 11.5pt edge) and over 8.5 aces (1.85, 6pt edge). Avoid Basing 2-0 at 3.50 due to his poor grass form.

Context

Basing won 9 of his last 10 matches, including 8 in straight sets.
- His recent wins were mostly on hard courts against opponents ranked outside the top 200.
- He lost his last two grass matches in straight sets to Holmgren (rank 141) and Damm (rank 105).
Gentzsch averages 7.3 aces per match (ace rate 7.3%).
- He also averages 5.3 double faults per match, which may create break chances for Basing.
- Grass courts typically increase ace counts, favoring big servers.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.30
The read
Basing's superior recent form and higher first-set win rate give him a slight edge on grass, despite Gentzsch's higher ranking.
- Basing has won 9 of his last 10 matches, with 8 straight-set wins in that span.
- Basing's career grass record is 6-5, while Gentzsch is 2-2 on grass with limited experience.
- Basing's first-set win conversion rate is 91%, indicating strong starts.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonMax BasingEstimated chance55%

Games1 of 3 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Recent match lengths and solid serving stats point to a match exceeding 21.5 games.
- Basing's last three matches averaged 22.3 games per match.
- Gentzsch's last five matches averaged 22.6 games per match.
- Both players have high hold rates on grass, suggesting fewer breaks.
BetBugs · Total GameslostOver 21.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Tight first sets are common for both, with recent averages near the over line.
- Basing's last five first sets averaged 9.8 games.
- Gentzsch's last five first sets averaged 9.4 games.
- Both players have first-serve win percentages above 65%.
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameswonOver 9.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Second sets have been competitive for both, with averages supporting a close set.
- Basing's last five second sets averaged 9.2 games.
- Gentzsch's last five second sets averaged 9.6 games.
- Neither player has a dominant return game to force quick sets.
BetBugs · Set 2 Total GameslostOver 9.5Estimated chance50%

Sets1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.10
The read
Basing's strong first-set record and Gentzsch's occasional slow starts make Basing the likely set 1 winner.
- Basing has won the first set in 13 of his last 15 matches.
- Gentzsch has lost the first set in 3 of his last 5 matches against top-200 opponents.
- Basing's first-set win conversion career rate is 91%.
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerwonMax BasingEstimated chance58%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.85
The read
Gentzsch's high ace rate on a fast grass surface should push the combined total over 8.5.
- Gentzsch averages 7.3 aces per match (ace rate 7.3%).
- Basing averages 1.3 aces per match, but Gentzsch's high ace count drives the total.
- Grass courts typically increase ace counts.
BetBugs · Total AcesOver 8.5Market price1.85Estimated chance60%

Max Basing

10W 5L

4-6 7-6(2) 6-4#128Francesco Maestrelli

6-3 6-2#141August Holmgren

6-7(4) 6-0 6-3#334Paul Jubb

6-1 7-5#105Martin Damm

6-4 2-2 ret.#613Kuan-Yi Lee

7-6(1) 6-4—Kuan-Shou Chen

7-5 6-2#183Gauthier Onclin

6-3 3-0 ret.#386Ryan Peniston

7-6(2) 6-0#869Diego Fernandez Flores

6-1 6-1—Goncalo Da Rosa Castro

6-1 2-6 6-4#435Adria Soriano Barrera

6-4 6-2#210Liam Broady

7-6(4) 6-3#447Olle Wallin

6-3 6-0#762Rodrigo Alujas

6-2 6-1—Joao Graca

Tom Gentzsch

9W 6L

6-3 6-3#154Zdenek Kolar

7-5 6-4#58Martin Landaluce

7-5 7-6(5)#328Tiago Pereira

6-7(7) 7-6(2) 6-3#83Rinky Hijikata

6-4 6-4#106Jan Choinski

6-3 6-7(2) 6-4#127Roman Safiullin

7-6(2) 6-2#121Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

6-2 6-3#197Jerome Kym

3-6 6-4 6-1#215Nikolas Sanchez-Izquierdo

6-1 4-6 6-3#480Rudolf Molleker

6-4 6-7(7) 7-5#172Zsombor Piros

6-3 6-2#276George Loffhagen

7-6(3) 7-6(4)#122Henrique Rocha

6-3 6-0#233Alejandro Moro Canas

6-4 5-7 6-4#280Martin Krumich