Alicia Dudeney #248United Kingdom00 – 2Jessica Bouzas Maneiro #51Spain2

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.20

The read

Dudeney's recent matches have been close enough to suggest she can stay within 3.5 games, even in defeat, making this handicap a solid play.

• Dudeney's average game differential in her last 5 losses is -3.4
• Bouzas Maneiro's average game differential in her last 5 wins is +4.2
• Dudeney has covered a +3.5 game handicap in 4 of her last 5 matches

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.00

The read

The competitive nature of both players' recent matches and their similar break-point stats suggest a match likely to exceed 20.5 games.

• Dudeney's last 5 matches averaged 19.6 games, with 3 exceeding 20.5
• Bouzas Maneiro's last 5 matches averaged 19.4 games, with 2 exceeding 20.5
• Both players have break-point conversion rates around 50%, indicating competitive service games

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

With both players holding serve effectively and recent first sets often going beyond 9.5 games, this line is likely to be surpassed.

• Dudeney's last 5 first sets averaged 9.2 games, with 3 over 9.5
• Bouzas Maneiro's last 5 first sets averaged 9.4 games, with 3 over 9.5
• Both players have first-serve win percentages around 60%, leading to extended games

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Although not a strong trend, the potential for a competitive second set, especially if the first is close, makes over 9.5 games a plausible outcome.

• Dudeney's last 5 second sets averaged 9.0 games, with 2 over 9.5
• Bouzas Maneiro's last 5 second sets averaged 8.8 games, with 2 over 9.5
• Both players have shown resilience in second sets, often forcing close games