Pablo Llamas Ruiz #120Spain22 – 0Dan Added #240France0

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.22

The read

Llamas Ruiz's superior recent form, higher ranking, and better clay-court results give him a clear edge over Added, who has struggled mightily in 2026.

• Llamas Ruiz is 22-7 on clay in 2026 with wins over top-100 opponents, while Added is 1-6 on clay this year.
• Llamas Ruiz has a 61.8% career win rate vs Added's 58.3%, and a higher return points won (42% vs 40%).
• Llamas Ruiz reached a career-high ranking of 120 in June 2026, while Added has slipped to 240.
• Added has lost 8 of his last 10 matches, with 6 straight-set losses.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.91

The read

Added's inability to extend matches and Llamas Ruiz's efficiency suggest a relatively quick match with fewer than 22 games.

• Added has lost 8 of his last 10 matches in straight sets, with an average of 14.8 games per match.
• Llamas Ruiz has won 5 of his last 7 matches in straight sets.
• Added's recent losses include 6-3 6-3, 6-2 6-3, and 6-2 6-2 scorelines.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Llamas Ruiz's consistent winning margins and Added's heavy defeats support a handicap cover of -3.5 games.

• Added has lost his last 4 matches by an average of 6.5 games.
• Llamas Ruiz has won his last 5 matches by an average of 5.2 games.
• Added's game differential in 2026 is -3.8 per match.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.33

The read

Llamas Ruiz's strong first-set record and Added's poor starts make the Spaniard likely to take the opener.

• Llamas Ruiz has won the first set in 10 of his last 15 matches.
• Added has lost the first set in 9 of his last 10 matches.
• Llamas Ruiz's first-set win conversion rate is 89% for his career.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.73

The read

Added's poor form and Llamas Ruiz's ability to close out matches in straight sets point to a 2-0 win for the Spaniard.

• Added has lost in straight sets in 8 of his last 10 matches.
• Llamas Ruiz has won in straight sets in 5 of his last 7 victories.
• Added has not won a set in his last 4 losses.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both players' recent trends favor straight-set outcomes, making under 2.5 sets likely.

• Added has played only 2 three-set matches in his last 10, losing both.
• Llamas Ruiz has gone to three sets in only 4 of his last 15 matches.
• Added's recent straight-set losses include matches against lower-ranked opponents.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

The lopsided nature of Added's recent defeats and Llamas Ruiz's ability to win sets comfortably reduce the likelihood of a tiebreak.

• Llamas Ruiz has played only 2 tiebreaks in his last 15 matches.
• Added has played 3 tiebreaks in his last 10 matches.
• Added's recent straight-set losses have been one-sided, with few close sets.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Despite the grass surface, neither player's ace numbers suggest a high total, especially with Added's poor form.

• Llamas Ruiz averages 2.6 aces per match (ace rate 2.6%).
• Added averages 7.0 aces per match but has been broken frequently in recent losses.
• Grass typically yields more aces, but both players' recent serving stats are modest.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

With Added's low first-serve percentage (58.8%) and both players' moderate double-fault rates, the total could exceed 5.5 in a competitive match.

• Llamas Ruiz averages 1.9 double faults per match (rate 1.9%).
• Added averages 2.6 double faults per match (rate 2.6%).
• Combined, they average 4.5 double faults per match, but pressure on serve could increase errors.