Nicolas Moreno De Alboran #861Spain00 – 2Harold Mayot #203France2

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

The competitive nature of both players' recent matches, with frequent tight sets, suggests a match total over 21.5 games is likely.

• Both players have seen 7 of their last 10 matches exceed 21.5 total games.
• Mayot's last 5 matches averaged 23.2 games, while Moreno De Alboran's averaged 22.4.
• Neither player is a dominant server, with ace rates below 7% and double fault rates around 3.7%.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.67

The read

The first set is expected to be closely contested, with both players likely to hold serve enough to push the game total over 9.5.

• In 8 of Mayot's last 10 matches, the first set has had at least 10 games.
• Moreno De Alboran's last 5 first sets have averaged 9.6 games, with 3 exceeding 9.5.
• Both players have similar serve/return profiles, leading to competitive opening sets.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

The second set is likely to mirror the first in competitiveness, with both players capable of holding serve and forcing extended games.

• Mayot's last 5 second sets have averaged 10.2 games, with 4 going over 9.5.
• Moreno De Alboran's second sets have been competitive, with 3 of his last 5 exceeding 9.5 games.
• Neither player has a dominant serve to consistently produce quick sets.