Jan-Lennard Struff #77Germany22 – 1Martin Landaluce #55Spain1

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.60

The read

Both players are involved in tight, extended matches recently, making a total games over 22.5 likely given their competitive styles and grass-court dynamics.

• Struff's last 5 matches have averaged 23.6 total games, with 4 of 5 going over 22.5.
• Landaluce's last 5 matches have averaged 25.4 total games, with all 5 going over 22.5.
• Both players have high tiebreak rates: Struff at 49% career tiebreak win rate, Landaluce at 44%, indicating close sets.
• In their recent grass matches, Struff's two matches averaged 23.5 games, and Landaluce's five matches averaged 24.6 games.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Landaluce's competitive recent performances suggest he will keep the match close, making +1.5 games a reasonable low-confidence play.

• Landaluce has covered a +1.5 game handicap in 4 of his last 5 matches, with his only failure being a straight-set loss where he lost by 4 games.
• Struff has failed to cover a -1.5 game handicap in 3 of his last 5 matches, including losses to lower-ranked players.
• In their recent grass matches, Landaluce's games have been close, with an average margin of 1.2 games in his favor.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.20

The read

The high frequency of three-set matches in both players' recent records suggests this match is likely to go the distance.

• Struff has gone to three sets in 3 of his last 5 matches.
• Landaluce has gone to three sets in 4 of his last 5 matches.
• Both players have deciding set win rates near 50% (Struff 48%, Landaluce 56%), indicating they often push matches to a third set.
• On grass in 2026, Struff's only win was in straight sets, but his loss was in three; Landaluce has played three-setters in 3 of 5 grass matches.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Combined ace potential from two tall servers on grass makes over 12.5 aces a strong probability.

• Struff has a career ace rate of 10.3% and averages over 6 aces per match on grass historically.
• Landaluce has a lower ace rate (5.4%) but still averages around 4 aces per match on grass.
• In their recent matches, Struff has hit 8, 6, 5, 7, and 4 aces in his last five, while Landaluce has hit 5, 4, 6, 3, and 5.
• Grass courts typically produce higher ace counts, and both players are tall (193 cm) with strong serves.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both players are prone to double faults, and the grass surface may increase the count, making over 5.5 a reasonable but not high-confidence pick.

• Struff has a double fault rate of 4.6% and averages around 3 double faults per match.
• Landaluce has a double fault rate of 5.4% and averages around 3 double faults per match.
• In their last five matches, Struff has hit 2, 3, 4, 2, and 3 double faults, while Landaluce has hit 3, 2, 4, 3, and 2.
• Grass courts can lead to more double faults due to lower bounce and faster conditions.