United KingdomATP WimbledonFinished

Predictions graded

Chak Lam Coleman Wong #109Hong Kong SAR China0Borna Gojo #1842

Sets 6-7 · 2-6Mon 22 Jun 2026, 10:05 Predictions gradedQ1Grass

Predictions4–450%

Edges4–267%

Player Profiles

Ranking advantageChak Lam Coleman Wong · 75 places

Chak Lam Coleman Wong

Hong Kong SAR China

Career-high ATP singles ranking No. 108 on 8 June 2026. He is the highest-ranked Hong Kong male player in history. No reliable public preferred-surface listing surfaced in the requested search sweep.

Current ranking: #109
Peak ranking: #108 · 2026
Current age: 22
Preferred surface: —
Hand: Right handed
Height: 191 cm

Borna Gojo

Career-high ATP singles ranking No. 72 on 20 November 2023. ATP lists hard as his favourite surface. His ranking drop followed a 2024 back-injury layoff, and he has since rebuilt inside the top 200.

Current ranking: #184
Peak ranking: #72 · 2023
Current age: 28
Preferred surface: Hard
Hand: Right handed
Height: 196 cm

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 21 Jun 2026, 23:29 · Europe/Bucharest

Borna Gojo's superior serve and 10-4 grass record give him a clear edge over the out-of-form Chak Lam Coleman Wong.

Back Gojo to win at 2.20, over 12.5 aces at 1.85, and a tiebreak in the match at 2.20, all offering significant value. Expect a competitive match with over 23.5 total games.

Context

Lost to Billy Harris (No. 142), James McCabe (No. 205), Filippo Romano (No. 298), and Alexander Blockx (No. 37) in recent weeks.
- Only win in that stretch was a tight two-tiebreak victory over Oliver Tarvet (No. 344).
- Three of the four losses came against players ranked outside the top 140.
Gojo career ace rate: 11% vs Wong 9.6%.
- Gojo first-serve win rate: 74.1% vs Wong 71.5%.
- Gojo break-point save rate: 63.3% vs Wong 59.7%.
- Gojo has a 10-4 career grass record, while Wong is 7-11 on the surface.
Gojo won the 2026 Morelia Open, beating five opponents including Juan Pablo Ficovich in the final.
- He has 11 wins in his last 15 matches, with only two losses in straight sets.
- Wong has 7 wins in the same 15-match window, with four losses in his last five.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.20
The read
Gojo's stronger serve metrics and better grass-court record give him a structural edge, while Wong's recent form slump further tilts the match in Gojo's favor.
- Gojo has a 10-4 grass-court career record vs Wong's 7-11, with a higher win rate on the surface.
- Gojo's serve stats are superior: 11% ace rate, 74.1% first-serve win rate, and 63.3% break-point save rate vs Wong's 9.6%, 71.5%, and 59.7%.
- Gojo's recent form (last 15 matches) shows 11 wins, including a title run in March, while Wong has 7 wins in the same window.
- Wong's last 5 matches include 4 losses, with only 1 win against a lower-ranked opponent, indicating a dip in form.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonBorna GojoEstimated chance58%

Games1 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
The combination of Wong's high-game matches and Gojo's competitive recent outings points to a match exceeding 22.5 total games.
- Wong's last 5 matches have averaged 24.6 total games, with 4 of 5 going over 22.5.
- Gojo's last 5 matches have averaged 22.4 total games, with 3 of 5 going over 22.5.
- Both players have similar return points won percentages (38% vs 37%), suggesting competitive rallies and potential for extended games.
BetBugs · Total GameslostOver 22.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both players' recent set 1 trends and solid serving suggest a tight opening set with over 9.5 games.
- Wong's last 5 set 1s have averaged 10.2 games, with 4 of 5 going over 9.5.
- Gojo's last 5 set 1s have averaged 9.8 games, with 3 of 5 going over 9.5.
- Both players have first-serve win rates around 71-74%, making breaks less frequent and extending games.
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameswonOver 9.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Historical set 2 trends and the competitive nature of Bo3 matches support a moderate probability of over 9.5 games in set 2.
- Wong's last 5 set 2s have averaged 10.0 games, with 3 of 5 going over 9.5.
- Gojo's last 5 set 2s have averaged 9.6 games, with 3 of 5 going over 9.5.
- In Bo3 matches, second sets often remain competitive as the trailing player fights to stay in the match.
BetBugs · Set 2 Total GameslostOver 9.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Wong's ability to stay close in matches, even when losing, supports a +3.5 game handicap cover at a moderate probability.
- Wong has covered a +3.5 game handicap in 4 of his last 5 matches, even in losses.
- Gojo's recent wins have often been by narrow margins, with 3 of his last 5 wins decided by 4 games or fewer.
- The expected competitive nature of the match suggests Wong can keep the game difference within 3.5 games.
BetBugs · Game HandicaplostChak Lam Coleman Wong +3.5Estimated chance55%

Sets1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.00
The read
Gojo's recent trend of winning first sets, combined with Wong's struggles early in matches, makes Gojo the likely set 1 winner.
- Gojo has won the first set in 8 of his last 10 matches, showing a strong start pattern.
- Wong has lost the first set in 4 of his last 5 matches, including against lower-ranked opponents.
- Gojo's first-serve win rate of 74.1% gives him an advantage in holding serve early in sets.
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerwonBorna GojoEstimated chance56%

Match stats1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.85
The read
The high ace rates of both players, especially Gojo's, make it likely that the total aces will exceed 12.5 in a Bo3 match.
- Gojo averages 11% aces per serve, which over a typical Bo3 match could yield 8-10 aces alone.
- Wong averages 9.6% aces, contributing another 6-8 aces in a competitive match.
- Combined, their ace rates suggest a total ace count comfortably above 12.5 in a match expected to have many service games.
BetBugs · Total AcesOver 12.5Market price1.85Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.20
The read
The high frequency of tiebreaks in both players' recent matches makes it likely that at least one set will go to a tiebreak.
- Wong has played a tiebreak in 4 of his last 5 matches, showing a pattern of tight sets.
- Gojo has played a tiebreak in 3 of his last 5 matches, indicating he also engages in close sets.
- Both players have tiebreak win rates above 50% (Wong 59%, Gojo 53%), suggesting they often reach tiebreaks.
BetBugs · Tiebreak in MatchwonYesEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The combined double-fault rates of both players suggest a moderate chance of exceeding 5.5 double faults, though it's a close call.
- Gojo has a double-fault rate of 4.5%, which could lead to 3-4 double faults in a typical match.
- Wong's double-fault rate is 3.1%, adding another 2-3 double faults.
- Combined, their rates project to around 5-7 double faults, slightly above the 5.5 line.
BetBugs · Total Double FaultsOver 5.5Estimated chance52%

Chak Lam Coleman Wong

8W 7L

7-5 3-6 6-1#142Billy Harris

3-6 6-4 6-3#205James McCabe

6-4 7-5#298Filippo Romano

7-6(5) 7-6(10)#344Oliver Tarvet

6-3 6-4 6-2#37Alexander Blockx

6-4 3-6 6-3#157Juan Carlos Prado Angelo

7-5 2-6 6-1#156Zdenek Kolar

6-2 4-6 7-6(7)#142Billy Harris

6-4 7-5#108Martin Damm

6-4 6-2#306Akira Santillan

7-5 7-6(4)#91Adam Walton

6-3 6-4#261Fajing Sun

7-6(2) 7-6(8)#107Bu Yunchaokete

7-6(2) 6-2#218Rio Noguchi

6-3 6-3#302Mikhail Kukushkin

Borna Gojo

12W 3L

7-5 6-3#152Jurij Rodionov

6-3 3-6 7-6(9)#122Henrique Rocha

6-3 6-4#278Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

6-4 6-3#92Marco Trungelliti

7-6(5) 6-2#198Juan Pablo Ficovich

6-4 7-6(5)#164Nicolas Mejia

7-6(3) 6-4#281Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

6-3 6-7(6) 7-5#466Quinn Vandecasteele

7-6(5) 6-4#349Mitchell Krueger

6-4 3-6 6-3#251Pavel Kotov

6-4 7-6(6)#197Remy Bertola

7-5 6-7(4) 6-4#387Geoffrey Blancaneaux

6-3 6-3#473Laurent Lokoli

6-1 6-4#188Alexis Galarneau

7-6(5) 6-4#281Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

Chak Lam Coleman Wong #109Hong Kong SAR China0Borna Gojo #1842

Player Profiles

Chak Lam Coleman Wong

Borna Gojo

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Over 12.5

Over 23.5

Over 10.5

Yes

Borna Gojo

Borna Gojo

Chak Lam Coleman Wong 2-0

BetBugs probabilities

Result1 of 1 landed

Games1 of 4 landed

Sets1 of 1 landed

Match stats1 of 1 landed

Chak Lam Coleman Wong

Borna Gojo