WTA NottinghamFinished

Predictions graded

Ann Li #29United States1Viktorija Golubic #76Switzerland2

Sets 3-6 · 6-2 · 3-6Fri 19 Jun 2026, 15:40 Predictions gradedQuarter-FinalGrass

Predictions2–625%

Edges1–325%

Player Profiles

Ranking advantageAnn Li · 47 places

Ann Li

United States

Reached a new career-high ranking of No. 29 on May 4, 2026. Li is into her first grass-court quarterfinal at Nottingham this week.

Current ranking: #29
Peak ranking: #29 · 2026
Current age: 25
Preferred surface: —
Hand: Right handed
Height: 170 cm

Viktorija Golubic

Switzerland

Reached a career-high ranking of No. 35 on February 28, 2022. Golubic won titles late in 2024 and came through qualifying to make the Nottingham quarterfinal this week.

Current ranking: #76
Peak ranking: #35 · 2022
Current age: 33
Preferred surface: —
Hand: Right handed
Height: 169 cm

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 18 Jun 2026, 22:54 · Europe/Bucharest

Li's superior return stats and grass H2H win give her a slight edge over Golubic, who has played multiple three-setters.

Expect a long, competitive match with value on over 21.5 total games and Li to win 2-1. Li's first-set strength and Golubic's slow starts make Li a solid pick for the opener.

Context

Golubic beat Erjavec 5-7 7-5 6-4, Kenin 6-2 4-6 6-3, and Sonmez 7-5 4-6 6-4 in Nottingham.
- Her only straight-set grass win in 2026 was against Daniella Britton (ITF).
- She has a 54% career deciding-set win rate, so these matches are often close.
Li beat Birrell 4-6 7-6(3) 6-4 and Preston 5-7 6-2 6-2.
- She won 59% of deciding sets in her career, showing she can handle pressure.
- Her first-set win conversion is 87%, but she has lost the opener in three of her last five matches.
The match was on grass at a Grand Slam, the most relevant surface comparison.
- Li won 68% of first-serve points and saved 70% of break points in that match.
- Golubic's only win over Li came on hard court in 2021.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.73
The read
Li's grass-court H2H win and superior return stats give her a slight edge, though Golubic's qualifying form keeps it close.
- Li won their only grass H2H 6-3 4-6 6-1 at Wimbledon 2025.
- Li is 2-0 on grass in 2026, both comeback wins in Nottingham.
- Golubic is 5-1 on grass in 2026 but needed three sets in 4 of 5 wins.
- Li's return points won (45%) and break-point conversion (47.5%) edge Golubic's serve.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostAnn LiEstimated chance58%

Games1 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.80
The read
Both players are involved in long, competitive matches on grass, making an over on total games likely.
- Both players' last 4 matches have gone over 21.5 total games.
- Li's Nottingham matches averaged 30.5 games; Golubic's averaged 28.5.
- Golubic has played three-setters in 4 of her last 5 wins.
BetBugs · Total GameswonOver 21.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.80
The read
Recent first-set scores for both players indicate a high likelihood of at least 10 games in the opener.
- Li's last 4 first sets: 5-7, 4-6, 3-6, 6-4 (all over 9.5).
- Golubic's last 4 first sets: 7-5, 6-2, 6-3, 5-7 (3 of 4 over 9.5).
- Grass often produces tight opening sets with few breaks.
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameslostOver 9.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Second sets have been competitive for both, often extending beyond 9 games, especially when the match is tight.
- Li's last 4 second sets: 6-2, 7-6, 6-4, 6-2 (3 of 4 over 9.5).
- Golubic's last 4 second sets: 4-6, 4-6, 6-4, 7-5 (all over 9.5).
- Both players have shown resilience in second sets after losing the first.
BetBugs · Set 2 Total GameslostOver 9.5Estimated chance55%

Sets1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
The pattern of three-set matches for both players on grass strongly supports a deciding set.
- Golubic has gone to three sets in 4 of her last 5 wins.
- Li has played three-setters in 3 of her last 5 matches.
- Both players have high comeback rates (Li 25%, Golubic 26%).
BetBugs · Total SetswonOver 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Li's recent trend of starting strong and high career first-set conversion rate suggest she may take the opener.
- Li has won the first set in 3 of her last 5 matches.
- Golubic lost the first set in 3 of her last 5 matches.
- Li's first-set win conversion rate is 87% career.
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerlostAnn LiEstimated chance55%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Neither player relies on aces, and their combined ace rates suggest a low total even on grass.
- Li averages 3.7% ace rate; Golubic averages 0.9% ace rate.
- In their H2H, total aces were 7 over 3 sets (2.3 per set).
- Grass can increase aces, but both are low-ace players.
BetBugs · Total AcesUnder 5.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both players have moderate double-fault rates, and a long match could push the total over 7.5.
- Li averages 3.5% double-fault rate; Golubic 4.1%.
- In their H2H, total double faults were 8 over 3 sets.
- Pressure situations in a likely three-setter increase double-fault risk.
BetBugs · Total Double FaultsOver 7.5Estimated chance50%

Head-to-Head

1-1 (2 meetings)

W6-3 4-6 6-1Ann Li#29vViktorija Golubic#76Jun 30, 2025

L6-2 6-4Ann Li#29vViktorija Golubic#76Mar 20, 2021

2 total meetings

Ann Li

10W 5L

5-7 6-2 6-2#124Taylah Preston

4-6 7-6(3) 6-4#73Kimberly Birrell

6-3 6-4#60Diane Parry

6-4 6-2#67Shuai Zhang

6-1 6-3#25Emma Navarro

6-3 7-5#27Marie Bouzkova

4-6 6-4 6-3#19Ekaterina Alexandrova

6-1 6-2#53Maya Joint

6-4 6-3#37Liudmila Samsonova

1-6 6-4 6-2#67Shuai Zhang

6-3 6-2#22Leylah Annie Fernandez

7-6(4) 2-6 3-0 ret.#3Iga Swiatek

6-2 6-7(5) 6-3#79Alycia Parks

6-0 6-7(4) 6-3#12Marta Kostyuk

4-6 6-2 6-3#65Kamilla Rakhimova

Viktorija Golubic

11W 4L

7-5 4-6 6-4#61Zeynep Sonmez

6-2 4-6 6-3#104Sofia Kenin

6-3 6-4#104Sofia Kenin

5-7 7-5 6-4#86Veronika Erjavec

6-4 7-6(5)#190Katie Swan

6-3 6-3—Daniella Britton

6-4 6-3#12Marta Kostyuk

6-2 6-2#79Alycia Parks

6-0 6-2#68Panna Udvardy

6-7(4) 6-3 6-2#39Barbora Krejcikova

6-2 6-3#291Federica Urgesi

4-6 6-1 6-4#175Varvara Lepchenko

6-1 4-6 6-0#5Mirra Andreeva

7-5 6-2#53Maya Joint

6-1 6-1#291Federica Urgesi