Tristan Schoolkate #123Australia00 – 2Oliver Tarvet #342United Kingdom2

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.70

The read

Schoolkate's higher ranking and deeper grass experience give him a structural edge, though Tarvet's small-sample grass success keeps it competitive.

• Schoolkate ranking 123 vs Tarvet 342
• Schoolkate grass career 31-15 (67.4%), Tarvet 7-3 (70%) but small sample
• Schoolkate last 5: 3-2, Tarvet last 5: 2-3
• Schoolkate first-set win conversion 89% vs Tarvet 93%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both players' recent matches trend toward longer contests with frequent tiebreaks, supporting an over on total games.

• Schoolkate recent matches avg 24.1 total games, Tarvet 22.5
• Schoolkate 8 of last 15 matches over 22.5 games, Tarvet 7 of 15
• Both have strong tiebreak records (Schoolkate 51%, Tarvet 65%)

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.91

The read

Tight opening sets are common for both, with strong serving and few early breaks, making over 9.5 games likely.

• Schoolkate last 15 set1 avg 9.8 games, Tarvet 9.3
• Schoolkate 9 of last 15 set1 over 9.5, Tarvet 7 of 15
• Both have high first-set win conversion (89% vs 93%)

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Second sets often remain close as both players adjust, with a coin-flip chance of exceeding 9.5 games.

• Schoolkate set2 avg 9.2 games, Tarvet 9.1 in last 15
• Schoolkate 7 of last 15 set2 over 9.5, Tarvet 6 of 15
• Both players' second-set performance dips slightly after competitive first sets

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Strong serving and close sets make a tiebreak likely, with both players having above-average tiebreak frequency.

• Schoolkate tiebreak win rate 51%, Tarvet 65%
• Schoolkate 7 of last 15 matches had tiebreak, Tarvet 6 of 15
• Both players' serve stats (first-serve win ~74% vs 71%) support tiebreaks