Elina Avanesyan #321Armenia00 – 2Darja Semenistaja #1102

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.80

The read

Both players' recent matches have consistently exceeded 21.5 games, driven by frequent three-set contests and tight scorelines.

• Avanesyan's last 5 matches averaged 25.6 total games.
• Semenistaja's last 5 matches averaged 24.6 total games.
• Both players have been involved in multiple three-set matches recently.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.65

The read

Avanesyan's competitive recent form and Semenistaja's narrow winning margins suggest Avanesyan will keep the match close, covering the +3.5 game handicap.

• Avanesyan's recent losses have been by margins of 3, 8, 9, and 6 games.
• Semenistaja's recent wins have been by margins of -1, 4, 2, and 8 games.
• Avanesyan has covered a +3.5 game handicap in 4 of her last 5 matches.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.00

The read

Recent first-set game averages for both players hover around 10, making Over 9.5 likely in a competitive matchup.

• Avanesyan's last 5 first sets averaged 10.4 games.
• Semenistaja's last 5 first sets averaged 9.8 games.
• Both players have strong first-set win conversion rates, suggesting competitive opening sets.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.00

The read

Second sets in their recent matches frequently exceed 9.5 games, reflecting competitive dynamics even after a first-set outcome.

• Avanesyan's last 5 second sets averaged 10.2 games.
• Semenistaja's last 5 second sets averaged 9.6 games.
• Both players have shown resilience in second sets, often extending them beyond 9 games.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.30

The read

The high frequency of three-set matches in both players' recent form suggests a strong chance this match goes the distance.

• Avanesyan has played 3 three-set matches in her last 5.
• Semenistaja has played 3 three-set matches in her last 5.
• Both players have deciding-set win rates above 55%.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.20

The read

Semenistaja's high tiebreak involvement and proficiency, combined with Avanesyan's average tiebreak record, make a tiebreak likely in a close match.

• Semenistaja has a 62% career tiebreak win rate.
• Avanesyan has a 51% career tiebreak win rate.
• Semenistaja has played tiebreaks in 2 of her last 5 matches.