Nikola Bartunkova #69Czechia22 – 1Mika Stojsavljevic #288United Kingdom1

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.50

The read

Bartunkova's stronger return game and higher ranking give her a clear edge on grass, despite Stojsavljevic's home momentum.

• Bartunkova has a 2-0 grass record in 2026, including a straight-set win over Knutson (rank 208) and a three-set win over Dart (rank 171).
• Stojsavljevic is 2-0 on grass in 2026 but has a career grass record of 3-6, with losses to lower-ranked players in 2025.
• Bartunkova's return points won (47%) and break point conversion (50%) are superior to Stojsavljevic's (43% and 43.4%).
• Bartunkova's ranking (69) is significantly higher than Stojsavljevic's (288), indicating a class gap.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.73

The read

Both players' recent matches have been high-scoring, and Stojsavljevic's resilience points to a competitive match with over 21.5 games.

• Both players have been involved in tight matches: Bartunkova's last two wins had 23 and 30 games; Stojsavljevic's last two wins had 28 and 31 games.
• Stojsavljevic's three-set matches this week averaged 29.5 games.
• Bartunkova's career deciding set win rate is 61%, suggesting she can extend matches.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.91

The read

Recent first sets have been competitive, and the grass surface often leads to tight opening sets.

• Bartunkova's last two first sets: 6-4 and 3-6 (10 and 9 games).
• Stojsavljevic's last two first sets: 3-6 and 6-4 (9 and 10 games).
• Both players have first-set tiebreak potential, with Bartunkova at 50% career tiebreak win rate and Stojsavljevic at 67%.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.91

The read

Second sets have been high-scoring in recent matches, and neither player is likely to roll over.

• Bartunkova's last two second sets: 7-6 and 6-3 (13 and 9 games).
• Stojsavljevic's last two second sets: 6-1 and 6-7 (7 and 13 games).
• Both players have shown they can win or lose second sets by close margins.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.55

The read

Bartunkova's tendency to start fast and Stojsavljevic's slow starts make a Bartunkova first-set win likely.

• Bartunkova has won the first set in 8 of her last 10 matches, including both grass matches this week.
• Stojsavljevic lost the first set in both of her Birmingham wins, needing comebacks.
• Bartunkova's first-set win conversion rate is 89% career, indicating strong starts.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.20

The read

Stojsavljevic's pattern of going the distance and Bartunkova's willingness to battle suggest a three-set match is more likely than not.

• Stojsavljevic has played three sets in both Birmingham matches.
• Bartunkova has played three sets in 2 of her last 4 wins.
• Both players have deciding set win rates above 50%.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.20

The read

Recent matches and competitive set scores suggest a tiebreak is likely in this evenly matched contest.

• Bartunkova played a tiebreak in her last match (won 7-6(4)).
• Stojsavljevic played a tiebreak in her last match (lost 6-7(2)).
• Both players have career tiebreak win rates around 50% or higher, indicating frequent tiebreaks.