Oriol Roca Batalla vs Pietro Orlando Fellin: result, stats and head-to-head

Result1 of 1 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.40
The read
Roca Batalla's dominant clay-court form and surface fit edge, combined with Fellin's inconsistent recent results, make him a strong favorite.
- Roca Batalla is 29-14 on clay in 2026 (67.4% win rate) vs Fellin's 4-3 on clay in 2026 (57.1%).
- Roca Batalla has won 10 of his last 11 matches, all on clay, with 8 straight-set wins in that span.
- Fellin's last 5 matches: 2 wins (one via retirement) and 3 losses, with only one win over a top-400 opponent.
- Career clay win percentage: Roca Batalla 565-? (dominant), Fellin 48-? (modest).
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonOriol Roca BatallaEstimated chance78%

Games0 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Roca Batalla's efficient straight-set victories and Fellin's struggles against higher-ranked opponents suggest a match with fewer than 21.5 games.
- Roca Batalla's last 10 wins on clay averaged 17.8 total games per match.
- Fellin's last 5 losses averaged 19.6 total games per match.
- In Bo3 clay matches, Roca Batalla's dominance often leads to quick straight-set wins.
BetBugs · Total GameslostUnder 21.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Roca Batalla's consistent straight-set wins with comfortable game margins support a -3.5 game handicap.
- Roca Batalla's average game margin in his last 10 wins is +5.2 games.
- Fellin's average game margin in his last 5 losses is -4.8 games.
- Roca Batalla's return points won percentage (42%) is higher than Fellin's (43%), but his overall game dominance is greater.
BetBugs · Game HandicaplostOriol Roca Batalla -3.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Roca Batalla's strong serving and Fellin's occasional slow starts could lead to a relatively quick first set under 9.5 games.
- Roca Batalla's last 5 first-set scores on clay: 6-3, 6-4, 6-1, 6-4, 5-7 (average 9.2 games).
- Fellin's last 5 first-set scores: 6-3, 4-6, 7-6, 3-6, 6-7 (average 10.4 games).
- Roca Batalla's first-serve win percentage (68.5%) should help him hold easily.
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameslostUnder 9.5Estimated chance55%

Sets0 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Roca Batalla's high first-set win rate in recent matches and Fellin's tendency to start slowly give the Spaniard a clear edge in set 1.
- Roca Batalla has won the first set in 13 of his last 15 matches (86.7%).
- Fellin has lost the first set in 3 of his last 5 matches.
- Roca Batalla's first-set win conversion rate is 86% career, indicating strong front-running.
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerlostOriol Roca BatallaEstimated chance72%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Roca Batalla's ability to close out matches in straight sets, combined with Fellin's vulnerability in return games, points to a 2-0 win for the Spaniard.
- Roca Batalla has won in straight sets in 8 of his last 10 victories.
- Fellin has lost in straight sets in 4 of his last 6 defeats.
- Roca Batalla's break point conversion rate (42.5%) is solid, while Fellin's break point save rate (56.1%) is below average.
BetBugs · Set BettinglostOriol Roca Batalla 2-0Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Roca Batalla's tendency to win in straight sets and Fellin's difficulty in extending matches make under 2.5 sets probable.
- Roca Batalla has played 3 sets in only 2 of his last 10 wins.
- Fellin has gone to 3 sets in 3 of his last 10 matches.
- Roca Batalla's first-set win conversion rate (86%) often leads to straight-set victories.
BetBugs · Total SetslostUnder 2.5Estimated chance60%

Match stats0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.85
The read
Neither player is a big server, and clay courts reduce ace counts, making under 7.5 total aces likely.
- Roca Batalla's ace rate is 4.1% (career), averaging ~2-3 aces per match.
- Fellin's ace rate is 3.5% (career), averaging ~2 aces per match.
- Both players rely more on rally construction than big serving, especially on clay.
BetBugs · Total AcesUnder 7.5Market price1.85Estimated chance68%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.65
The read
Roca Batalla's ability to break serve and Fellin's lower break point save rate reduce the likelihood of a tiebreak.
- Roca Batalla's last 10 matches featured only 2 tiebreaks.
- Fellin's last 10 matches featured 4 tiebreaks, but mostly against stronger opponents.
- Roca Batalla's break point conversion rate (42.5%) suggests he can break serve without needing tiebreaks.
BetBugs · Tiebreak in MatchlostNoEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both players have moderate double fault rates, and a typical clay-court match length could push the total over 5.5.
- Roca Batalla's double fault rate is 3.0% (career), averaging ~2-3 per match.
- Fellin's double fault rate is 3.3% (career), averaging ~2-3 per match.
- In a competitive Bo3 match, combined double faults often exceed 5.5.
BetBugs · Total Double FaultsOver 5.5Estimated chance52%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

Oriol Roca Batalla #377Spain2Pietro Orlando Fellin #502Italy1

Player Profiles

Oriol Roca Batalla

Pietro Orlando Fellin

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Oriol Roca Batalla

Oriol Roca Batalla

Under 7.5

No

BetBugs probabilities

Result1 of 1 landed

Games0 of 3 landed

Sets0 of 3 landed

Match stats0 of 1 landed

Oriol Roca Batalla

Pietro Orlando Fellin