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Leolia Jeanjean - Rebeka Masarova

MadridTerminat

Leolia Jeanjean

#126

Rebeka Masarova

#124

Tuesday, April 21, 2026 at 09:15

Rezumat final

FT2-1
TerminatEvaluat

Seturi

6-3 · 3-6 · 6-3

Predicții

6V · 2Î · 0E

Edge-uri

2V · 0Î · 0E

Pe scurt

Jeanjean holds recent H2H momentum (Aug 2025 straight-set win) and superior clay pedigree (148 career clay wins, 61% deciding-set rate), with Masarova's post-elbow-surgery durability a concern; Madrid altitude favors Masarova's serve (+5.4% aces), but Jeanjean's +2.25 odds underv...

Match WinnerLeolia Jeanjean0.52%+7.6pp
Match WinnerLeolia Jeanjean0.52%+4.4pp

Semnale de context

Masarova had elbow surgery in Oct 2025 and ended her season early. She's competing but physical durability in extended rallies on clay remains a live concern, especially if match goes deep.

Jeanjean beat Masarova 6-3 6-4 at Cincinnati in Aug 2025, reversing a 0-2 H2H deficit. The dominant scoreline on hard court suggests Jeanjean has closed the competitive gap.

Jeanjean upset Donna Vekic 6-3 3-6 6-4 in Q1 just hours before this Q3 match. Quality win provides momentum but also raises fatigue/scheduling concern for back-to-back days.

Madrid's elevation produces faster, higher-bouncing conditions on clay. Masarova's 5.4% ace rate and power game gain outsized value here versus standard clay tournaments.

Oportunități de pariuri

Probabilități model

Piețe de evitat

Total Games Over 21.5:No specific odds data provided for this market; cannot quantify edge without offered odds to compare against the 60% model probability.
Game Handicap N/A:No odds or market data available for game handicap markets; insufficient information to assess edges.
Total Sets 3 sets at approximately -110 (50%+ implied):Prediction confidence is MEDIUM with 48% estimated probability, creating no clear edge. Recent form shows Jeanjean just beat Donna Vekic 6-3 3-6 6-4 (3 sets) after losses in 3-set matches. Clay surface typically favors longer rallies, but sample size of 1 of 3 H2H going to 3 sets is weak. Market lacks sufficient edge clarity for recommendation.

Pre-match flagged 8 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.

Leolia Jeanjean vs Rebeka Masarova shapes up as a tightly matched Madrid clay showdown between two nearly identically ranked players (Jeanjean 124, Masarova 126). The most decisive intel comes from their most recent meeting on 6 August 2025 in Cincinnati, where Jeanjean dominated in straight sets (6-3, 6-4)—a convincing performance that carries immediate relevance. However, Masarova leads their overall head-to-head record 2-1, with victories in 2021 and 2022, suggesting underlying competitive parity.

Formă recentă

Leolia Jeanjean

5W 5L
W6-3 3-6 6-4#66 Donna VekicApr 20, 2026
L3-6 6-4 6-4#112 Darja SemenistajaApr 14, 2026
L6-4 6-3#308 Amarissa Kiara TothApr 10, 2026
W6-2 7-5#286 Elena Ruxandra BerteaApr 9, 2026
W6-1 6-1#815 Astrid Wanja Brune OlsenApr 8, 2026
W6-3 6-4#619 Beatrise ZeltinaApr 8, 2026
L6-7(1) 7-5 6-0#73 Kamilla RakhimovaMar 16, 2026
L6-7(0) 6-4 7-5#143 Lucrezia StefaniniMar 9, 2026
L6-2 6-2#201 Storm HunterMar 3, 2026
W6-4 6-4#161 Mary StoianaMar 1, 2026

Rebeka Masarova

6W 4L
W6-3 7-5#122 Rebecca SramkovaApr 20, 2026
L6-3 4-6 6-2#97 Simona WaltertApr 16, 2026
W6-3 6-2#286 Elena Ruxandra BerteaApr 14, 2026
L6-2 7-5#76 Caty McNallyMar 19, 2026
W6-1 5-7 7-5#100 Ella SeidelMar 17, 2026
W6-2 4-6 6-2#201 Storm HunterMar 16, 2026
L6-3 7-5#186 Mananchaya SawangkaewMar 2, 2026
L5-7 6-2 6-2#90 Taylor TownsendFeb 27, 2026
W7-6(2) 6-3#180 Whitney OsuigweFeb 25, 2026
W6-3 6-2#31 Xinyu WangFeb 23, 2026

Meciuri directe

1-2 (3 întâlniri)
W6-3 6-4Leolia Jeanjean#126vRebeka Masarova#124Aug 6, 2025
L6-2 7-6(6)Leolia Jeanjean#126vRebeka Masarova#124Oct 26, 2022
L4-6 6-3 6-2Leolia Jeanjean#126vRebeka Masarova#124Oct 6, 2021
3 întâlniri totale
Acoperire date (dev)

Acoperire date

Complet
StatisticiDisponibil

Apr 20, 14:56

IntelDisponibil

Apr 20, 14:58

CoteDisponibil

Apr 21, 11:22

Accidentări/Știri (din Intel)Disponibil

Apr 20, 14:58

Analiză actualizată: Apr 20, 15:03