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Yibing Wu - Manas Dhamne

MadridTerminat

Yibing Wu

#102

Manas Manoj Dhamne

#443

Monday, April 20, 2026 at 09:57

Rezumat final

FT2-0
TerminatEvaluat

Seturi

6-1 · 7-5

Predicții

7V · 0Î · 0E

Edge-uri

5V · 0Î · 0E

Pe scurt

Yibing Wu enters as a heavy favorite (#102 vs. Dhamne #443) with elite serve metrics (69% first-serve win%, 5.5% ace rate) perfectly suited to Madrid's fast altitude clay.

Set 1 WinnerYibing Wu78%-5.3pp
Set BettingYibing Wu 2-058%-11.4pp
Total Sets2 sets58%-22.0pp

Semnale de context

Wu holds a massive ranking and experience advantage, is in peak recent form with a Challenger title, and his powerful serve game is well-suited to Madrid's fast clay. Dhamne's recent losses to lower-ranked players suggest he's not ready to compete at this level.

Wu has been exceptionally consistent at taking the first set recently, and Dhamne's serve vulnerability makes early breaks likely against a player of Wu's caliber.

The significant disparity in serve quality makes it likely that breaks of serve will determine sets rather than tiebreaks, as Wu should consistently threaten Dhamne's serve.

Wu's recent winning margins consistently exceed 4.5 games, and Dhamne's losing margins against comparable-level opponents also support a comfortable Wu victory by 5+ games.

Oportunități de pariuri

Probabilități model

Piețe de evitat

Total Games Under 21.5 @ 1.55:Prediction confidence (55%) does not justify betting at 1.55 (64.5% implied). The market already prices this correctly—Wu's typical straight-set win of ~20 games overlaps the 19.5–21.5 range, creating execution risk. Insufficient edge for entry.
Total Sets Under 2.5 @ 1.25:Over-priced for Wu straight-set win (implied 80%). Although Wu favored, odds don't reflect the prediction's HIGH confidence in straight-set victory. Wait for clearer separation or avoid entirely due to low odds reward.
Set 1 Winner Wu @ 1.20:Heavily compressed odds (83% implied) leave minimal edge relative to 80% model estimate. Better value available in matchWinner at 1.15, which offers 7pts vs <3pts here.

Pre-match flagged 8 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.

Yibing Wu enters this Madrid qualifying match as a heavy favorite, holding a commanding 341-place ranking advantage (#102 vs. Dhamne's #443) and riding a five-match winning streak capped by a Sarasota Challenger title just one week ago. Wu's recent clay form is exceptional at 5-1 in 2026, marked by dominant set scores and an elite 91% first-set conversion rate—he's won 9 of his last 10 opening sets.

Formă recentă

Yibing Wu

6W 4L
W6-1 4-6 6-3#270 Stefan DostanicApr 12, 2026
W6-3 7-5#246 Darwin BlanchApr 11, 2026
W6-4 7-6(4)#377 Daniel Dutra Da SilvaApr 10, 2026
W6-3 3-6 6-1#462 Kei NishikoriApr 9, 2026
W6-1 6-4#539 Reda BennaniApr 7, 2026
L7-6(6) 6-2#154 Alex BoltMar 30, 2026
L6-2 7-6(3)#37 Gabriel DialloMar 20, 2026
L7-6(4) 7-5#217 Andres AndradeMar 10, 2026
L7-6(4) 6-1#16 Flavio CobolliFeb 26, 2026
W6-3 7-6(4)#110 Sho ShimabukuroFeb 25, 2026

Manas Manoj Dhamne

4W 6L
L6-3 3-6 6-3#382 Filippo RomanoApr 5, 2026
L5-7 6-3 6-2#160 Ugo BlanchetApr 2, 2026
W4-6 6-3 6-3#285 Michele RibecaiMar 30, 2026
W6-1 6-3#506 Filippo MoroniMar 29, 2026
L6-3 7-6(4)#55 Rafael JodarMar 16, 2026
L3-6 7-6(8) 6-4#287 Duje AjdukovicFeb 27, 2026
W6-3 ret.#683 Ilya IvashkaFeb 25, 2026
W6-4 7-6(4)#212 Stefanos SakellaridisFeb 24, 2026
L7-5 6-4#215 Rio NoguchiFeb 17, 2026
L6-3 6-2#219 Ilia SimakinFeb 10, 2026
Acoperire date (dev)

Acoperire date

Complet
StatisticiDisponibil

Apr 19, 19:08

IntelDisponibil

Apr 19, 19:10

CoteDisponibil

Apr 20, 11:03

Accidentări/Știri (din Intel)Disponibil

Apr 19, 19:10

Analiză actualizată: Apr 19, 19:15