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Iryna Shymanovich - Tatjana Maria

RouenTerminat

Iryna Shymanovich

#184

Tatjana Maria

#63

Friday, April 17, 2026 at 11:43

Rezumat final

FT0-2
TerminatEvaluat

Seturi

6-7 · 2-6

Predicții

2V · 5Î · 0E

Edge-uri

1V · 2Î · 0E

Pe scurt

Shymanovich is a slight favorite (55%) with superior clay form, return game, and a dominant recent H2H win; best value lies in **Shymanovich 2–0 at 2.60** (16.5pts edge) and **Under 21.5 Total Games** (5pts edge), both exploiting Rouen's tendency toward decisive scorelines and hi...

Total GamesUnder 21.555%+5.0pp
Set BettingIryna Shymanovich 2-00.55%+16.5pp
Set 1 WinnerIryna Shymanovich0.55%+2.1pp

Semnale de context

Oportunități de pariuri

Probabilități model

Piețe de evitat

Match Winner Shymanovich 1.80 / Maria 2.00:Implied probability (55.6% Shymanovich) aligns almost exactly with model estimate (55%), leaving only ~0.6 percentage points of edge—insufficient to overcome vig and variance. The odds are fairly priced despite the compelling H2H and form narrative.
Set 1 Winner Shymanovich 1.75 / Maria 1.95:No explicit model prediction provided for first-set outcomes. Set-level dynamics can diverge significantly from match winner logic due to set-opening patterns, serving rotations, and momentum shifts. Betting without set-specific analysis would be speculative.
Game Handicap Various (-0.5 to +2.5):Game handicap markets require precise game-distribution modeling (not provided). Odds span a wide range (1.60–2.20) with no clear consensus, indicating market noise. Without game-by-game win probability, no defensible edge can be identified.

Pre-match flagged 8 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.

Iryna Shymanovich enters this Rouen quarterfinal as the slight favorite, owning a dominant recent H2H record and superior clay-court form. She has already banked three competitive matches this week—qualifying through two rounds with emphatic wins (6–1, 6–2 margins) and then dispatching Linda Fruhvirtova 6–3 7–5 in the main draw—giving her excellent match rhythm on indoor clay. Her 55% match-win probability is anchored by a 6–2 6–2 victory over Maria in Cancun just over a year ago and a current 4-match winning streak at Rouen.

Formă recentă

Iryna Shymanovich

6W 4L
W6-3 5-7 6-3#35 Hailey BaptisteApr 16, 2026
W6-3 7-5#143 Linda FruhvirtovaApr 14, 2026
W6-0 6-2#392 Ekaterina KazionovaApr 12, 2026
W6-4 6-1#449 Diana MartynovApr 11, 2026
L4-6 7-6(4) 6-4#67 Donna VekicApr 6, 2026
W7-5 6-3#112 Victoria Jimenez KasintsevaApr 5, 2026
L6-0 6-3#176 Carole MonnetMar 10, 2026
L7-5 6-1#70 Oleksandra OliynykovaMar 5, 2026
W6-2 6-4#154 Lisa PigatoMar 3, 2026
L3-6 6-2 6-1#160 Despina PapamichailFeb 26, 2026

Tatjana Maria

3W 7L
W6-3 6-2#123 Dominika SalkovaApr 16, 2026
W6-4 6-3#60 Elsa JacquemotApr 15, 2026
L1-6 7-6(5) 6-4#401 Sloane StephensApr 6, 2026
L6-3 6-3#161 Katarzyna KawaApr 1, 2026
W6-2 6-1#748 Valentina Mediorreal AriasMar 30, 2026
L7-5 6-2#35 Hailey BaptisteMar 19, 2026
L6-4 4-6 6-3#26 Sorana CirsteaMar 4, 2026
L7-6(3) 6-3#56 Magda LinetteFeb 24, 2026
L6-4 3-6 7-5#82 Kimberly BirrellFeb 15, 2026
L7-5 6-1#27 Emma NavarroFeb 9, 2026

Meciuri directe

1-1 (2 întâlniri)
W6-2 6-2Iryna Shymanovich#184vTatjana Maria#63Feb 11, 2025
L6-3 6-3Iryna Shymanovich#184vTatjana Maria#63Dec 13, 2021
2 întâlniri totale
Acoperire date (dev)

Acoperire date

Complet
StatisticiDisponibil

Apr 16, 21:09

IntelDisponibil

Apr 16, 21:12

CoteDisponibil

Apr 17, 13:03

Accidentări/Știri (din Intel)Disponibil

Apr 16, 21:12

Analiză actualizată: Apr 16, 21:17