Zaglebie LubinvsKorona Kielce

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.44

The read

Zaglebie have been much harder to beat at home than Korona have been away from home.

• Zaglebie home league record: 4W-1D-1L, 7 goals for and 4 against in 6.
• Korona away league record: 3W-0D-3L, 7 goals for and 11 against in 6.
• At Zaglebie, the last three league meetings were 1-1, 1-1 and 1-0 to the home side.
• Zaglebie sit 8th on 19 points; Korona 10th on 18, so the gap is small.

BetBugs · Double ChanceZaglebie Lubin or DrawMarket price1.44Estimated chance67%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.35

The read

The head-to-head and Zaglebie's low-scoring home games point to fewer than four goals.

• Zaglebie matches average 2.69 total goals; Korona matches average 2.69.
• Last five head-to-heads produced 3, 2, 2, 2 and 1 goals.
• Four of the last five head-to-heads stayed under 2.5 goals.
• Zaglebie home games average 1.83 total goals.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.40

The read

Both sides have low first-half scoring rates, and Zaglebie's recent first halves have been especially quiet.

• Zaglebie first-half goals: 0.31 for, 0.38 against per match overall; 0.17 and 0.33 at home.
• All six recent Zaglebie matches had under 1.5 first-half goals.
• Korona first-half goals: 0.62 for, 0.77 against per match.
• Four of Korona's last six first halves stayed under 1.5 goals.

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.25

The read

Zaglebie have usually found at least one home goal, while Korona have conceded regularly on the road.

• Zaglebie have scored in 5 of 6 home league games, with 7 home goals.
• Korona away league record shows 11 goals conceded in 6 games.
• Zaglebie's home scoring average is 1.17 goals per game.
• Zaglebie's only home blank was a 0-2 loss to Wisla Plock.

BetBugs · Home Goals TotalZaglebie Lubin over 0.5Market price1.25Estimated chance82%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams' shot-on-target splits sit just above the line, and recent match totals often clear it.

• Zaglebie average 4.67 shots on target at home; Korona average 5.0 away.
• The combined home-away split average is about 9.7 shots on target.
• Four of Zaglebie's last six matches produced 9 or more total shots on target.
• Three of Korona's last five league matches with data produced 9 or more total shots on target.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Korona's low card rate away from home makes a sub-five-card match the more likely side.

• Zaglebie average 2.64 yellow cards overall and 2.67 at home.
• Korona average 1.55 yellow cards overall and 0.8 away.
• The simple combined home/away split average is roughly 3.5 yellow cards.
• Three of Korona's last five league match totals with card data stayed under 4.5.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

The available first-half corner counts point to more than three and a half before the break.

• Zaglebie's available first-half corner totals were 4, 5 and 3.
• Korona's two tracked first-half corner totals were 8 and 7.
• Zaglebie's tracked first-half corner average is 4.0 total; Korona's is 7.5.
• Four of five tracked first-half corner totals cleared 3.5.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Korona's away games have been corner-heavy, pulling the match total above the line.

• Korona away matches average 11.8 total corners: 4.2 for and 7.6 against.
• Zaglebie home matches average 9.17 total corners: 5.17 for and 4.0 against.
• Korona's recent away totals include 13 at GKS Katowice and 12 at Lech Poznan.
• Zaglebie's recent full-time corner totals range from 6 to 10.