Independiente La ChorreravsSan Francisco FC

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Independiente have been hard to beat at home all season while San Francisco's away form is only mid-table.

• Independiente have lost at most one of eight home league games (2W-5D-1L in the standings table, 4W-4D-0L in the venue split)
• San Francisco's away league record is 2W-3D-3L with 10 scored and 11 conceded
• The teams are level on 20 points, ranked 8th and 9th, and Independiente have drawn 8 of 16 league games

BetBugs · Double ChanceIndependiente La Chorrera or DrawEstimated chance63%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.73

The read

Neither defence has kept clean sheets regularly, so both sides finding the net is the natural outcome.

• Both teams scored in 9 of Independiente's 15 league matches and in 6 of their 8 home games
• San Francisco's matches had both teams scoring in 12 of 15, and in 7 of 8 away games
• Three of the last five head-to-heads had goals for both sides

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.33

The read

Both teams score regularly before the break, particularly San Francisco on their travels.

• Independiente average 1.13 first-half goals at home and concede 0.5
• San Francisco average 1.25 first-half goals in away games and concede 0.75
• Ten of the last twelve combined matches had at least one first-half goal

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

First-half goals in these two teams' games have tended to come from one side rather than both.

• Independiente concede 0.53 first-half goals per match across 15 league games (0.5 at home)
• San Francisco concede 0.8 first-half goals per match overall and 0.75 in away games
• Only five of the last twelve combined matches had both teams scoring before the break

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both sides tighten up after the break, with San Francisco especially hard to break down in second halves.

• San Francisco concede just 0.4 second-half goals per match overall and 0.5 in away games
• Five of San Francisco's last six matches had one second-half goal or none
• Independiente concede 0.87 second-half goals per match

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

A tight game between two evenly matched mid-table sides points to a shared scoreline.

• Two of the last three meetings at this venue finished 0-0
• The clubs are level on 20 points, with 13 draws between them in 32 league games
• Both teams scored in 6 of Independiente's 8 home games

BetBugs · Correct ScoreIndependiente La Chorrera 1-1 San Francisco FCEstimated chance11%