BundesligaFull timeFeatured

SchalkeRB Leipzig

Sat 31 Oct 2026, 14:30

Quick Take

Read first

Context last updated 30 Oct 2026, 03:34 · Europe/Bucharest

Schalke have not scored in three home league games, yet Leipzig have lost all three league games away, and that tension shapes the match.

Leipzig to win or draw at 1.22 is too short to justify. Under 3.5 goals at 1.75, both teams to score — No at 2.80 and first-half under 1.5 goals at 1.70 all hold up.

Context

Availability is unsettled on both sides — Schalke's captain and two defenders are reported out while Leipzig have late checks — and the home and away scoring splits point strongly toward a low-scoring game.

The 24 October squad update identifies Schalke captain K. Karaman as unavailable through a muscular problem. His absence takes the captain out of the matchday selection for this specific fixture. The same update points to several other injuries around the squad. It gives no return timetable or confirmed replacement for Karaman.
- The 24 October availability list places K. Karaman among Schalke’s absentees with a muscular problem.
- That list also included Højlund after heel surgery, R. Schallenberg with a leg issue, M. Wöber with a thigh issue and M. Sylla with a leg issue.
ReportedSources checked 30 Oct 2026, 03:32 · Europe/BucharestDaily ILwww.dailyil.com · 24 Oct 2026
The 29 October update lists Gantenbein, Schallenberg and Wöber as definite absentees ahead of Leipzig’s visit. That restricts Schalke’s available defensive and midfield options for the fixture. Gosens’ potential return is the only stated offset within that update. His availability remains unresolved rather than confirmed.
- A 29 October team update lists Adrian Gantenbein, Ron Schallenberg and Maximilian Wöber as definitely out.
- The same update leaves Robin Gosens with a possible return after a head injury.
ReportedSources checked 30 Oct 2026, 03:32 · Europe/BucharestYahoo Sportssports.yahoo.com · 29 Oct 2026
Leipzig travel to Schalke with Ouedraogo and Guiu already ruled out long term and late fitness checks pending for Estève and Nkunku. Those decisions determine whether both players can be included for this fixture. The long-term absences are settled, but the update does not resolve the two late tests. Their final availability therefore remains a matchday uncertainty.
- A 29 October team update identifies Assan Ouedraogo and Marc Guiu as long-term absentees.
- The same update says Maxime Estève and Christopher Nkunku face late fitness tests.
To watchSources checked 30 Oct 2026, 03:32 · Europe/BucharestYahoo Sportssports.yahoo.com · 29 Oct 2026
Schalke's home split reads 0 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, with 0.0 goals scored and 0.33 conceded per home game. Their 1.67 shots on target per home match show how little they have created in those fixtures. The two home clean sheets mean this is a low-scoring team at both ends, not simply one waiting to break out.
- Three Bundesliga home matches between 5 September and 17 October 2026: 0 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat.
- In those three home games Schalke scored 0 goals and conceded 1, averaging 0.0 for and 0.33 against.
- They kept two clean sheets at home and averaged 1.67 shots on target per home match.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thinks each outcome is.

Result1 outcome · top 70%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.22
The read
Leipzig's clearly stronger season and Schalke's total home scoring drought make a Leipzig win or a draw the most likely combined result.
- Leipzig are 5th with 12 points and 20 goals in 7 league games; Schalke are 16th with 4 goals.
- Schalke have scored no goals in their first three Bundesliga home matches, a club first.
- Leipzig's league away record is 0 wins, 0 draws, 3 defeats with 2 scored and 11 conceded.
- Schalke have one win in eight competitive matches in this window.
BetBugs · Double ChanceDraw or RB LeipzigMarket price1.22Estimated chance70%

Goals5 outcomes · top 68%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.75
The read
Schalke's home matches are extremely low-scoring, which caps the total even if Leipzig contribute goals.
- Schalke's three home league matches produced 0, 1 and 0 total goals.
- Schalke average 0.5 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per competitive match.
- At home Schalke average 0 goals for and 0.33 against.
- Leipzig concede 2.86 goals per away match across all competitions.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5Market price1.75Estimated chance66%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.80
The read
Schalke's blank-at-home pattern makes it likely at least one side fails to score.
- Schalke have scored 2 goals in 8 competitive matches and none in 3 home league games.
- Schalke have 2 clean sheets in their 3 home league matches.
- Leipzig have 6 clean sheets in 12 competitive matches.
- Schalke average 3.25 shots on target per match.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScoreNoMarket price2.80Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Schalke's attack has produced almost nothing at home and their shot volume is low.
- Schalke have not scored in any of their three Bundesliga home matches this season.
- Schalke have 2 goals in 8 competitive matches, an average of 0.25 per game.
- Schalke's first-half home scoring average is 0.0 in three home matches.
- Leipzig have conceded 2.86 goals per away match, suggesting their defence is far from secure.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalSchalke under 0.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.70
The read
Both teams start slowly, and Schalke are particularly toothless before the break.
- Schalke average 0.25 first-half goals for and 0.38 against per competitive match.
- Schalke have scored no first-half goals in their three home league matches.
- Leipzig average 0.83 first-half goals for and 0.75 against in the league sample.
- Leipzig's away first halves average 0.43 goals for and 1.29 against.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalsUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfMarket price1.70Estimated chance68%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Leipzig do most of their scoring after half-time and their away games open up late.
- Leipzig average 1.75 second-half goals against 0.83 in first halves.
- Leipzig's away matches average 1.29 second-half goals for and 1.57 against.
- Schalke concede 0.75 second-half goals per match versus 0.375 before the break.
- Schalke score only 0.25 second-half goals per match, limiting one side of the total.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfOver 1.5Estimated chance55%

Match stats3 outcomes · top 66%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.48
The read
Both teams concede plenty of corners, so the combined count should clear a modest line.
- Schalke take 3.38 corners and concede 5.75 per match.
- Leipzig take 5.58 corners and concede 6.17 per match.
- Combined per-match corner averages across both teams sit around 10.
- Leipzig's recent matches produced 12, 8, 14, 18 and 9 total corners.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderOver 8.5Market price1.48Estimated chance66%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Leipzig's matches are shot-heavy at both ends, and Schalke's opponents regularly reach 14 shots.
- Leipzig average 16.9 shots and concede 13.8 per match.
- Schalke average 9.75 shots and concede 14.25 per match.
- Recent Leipzig matches produced 29, 41, 30 and 38 total shots.
- Schalke's last three home matches produced 19, 19 and 24 total shots.
BetBugs · Shots Over/UnderOver 26.5Estimated chance53%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both sides' matches sit around three to four cards, comfortably above a low line.
- Schalke's matches average 1.63 yellows for them and 2.13 for opponents.
- Leipzig's matches average 1.33 yellows for them and 1.5 for opponents.
- Schalke picked up 5 yellow cards in their midweek cup defeat.
- Leipzig's most recent league match produced only two cards.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderOver 2.5Estimated chance59%

Head-to-Head

3W · 0D · 2W

L4-2RB LeipzigvFC Schalke 04May 27, 2023BL

W1-6FC Schalke 04vRB LeipzigJan 24, 2023BL

W0-3FC Schalke 04vRB LeipzigFeb 6, 2021BL

L4-0RB LeipzigvFC Schalke 04Oct 3, 2020BL

W0-5FC Schalke 04vRB LeipzigFeb 22, 2020BL

Schalke: 2 clean sheets5 goals/game avg

League Table

Bundesliga 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
16	Schalke Relegation Playoffs	7	1	3	3	4-7	6	DLLDW
5	RB Leipzig Europa League league stage	7	4	0	3	20-11	12	WLWLW

6pt gap between teamsSchalke in relegation zone

Recent Form

Schalke

L0-2Dynamo DresdenOct 28DFB

D0-01. FC KölnOct 24BL

L0-1FSV Mainz 05Oct 17BL

L1-2SC FreiburgOct 11BL

W1-0Austria LustenauOct 3FRI

W5-2Rot-weiss OberhausenSep 24FRI

D0-0SV ElversbergSep 20BL

W3-1Union BerlinSep 11BL

D0-0Bayern MünchenSep 5BL

L0-3FC AugsburgAug 30BL

L0-3Real MadridAug 16FRI

L0-3AtalantaAug 8FRI

W5-0Hessen KasselAug 1FRI

W3-1Fagiano OkayamaJul 25FRI

W2-0FC KharkivJul 22FRI

RB Leipzig

W2-1Rot-Weiß EssenOct 27DFB

W4-0SV ElversbergOct 24BL

L1-4Real MadridOct 21UEF

L1-6Bayern MünchenOct 17BL

W1-0PSV EindhovenOct 13UEF

W6-0Eintracht FrankfurtOct 10BL

L0-2Bayer LeverkusenSep 20BL

W5-0Hamburger SVSep 13BL

L1-4ComoSep 10UEF

L1-3Werder BremenSep 5BL

W3-0Borussia MönchengladbachAug 29BL

W6-0Eintracht TrierAug 22DFB

L1-3Bayern MünchenAug 15FRI

L0-2LeedsAug 8FRI

W4-0VerlAug 1FRI

Squad & Injuries

Schalke

12 out

Attackers2/7

×#9

Midfielders4/10

×#6

×#23

×#6

×#23

Defenders6/13

×#17

×#39

×#8

×#17

×#39

×#8

Goalkeeper3

#17 A. Gantenbein — Muscle Injury

#6 R. Schallenberg — Leg Injury

#39 M. Wober — Muscle Injury

#23 S. El-Faouzi — Broken nose

#8 R. Gosens — Head Injury

#9 M. Sylla — Leg Injury

#17 A. Gantenbein — Muscle Injury

#6 R. Schallenberg — Leg Injury

#39 M. Wober — Muscle Injury

#23 S. El-Faouzi — Broken nose

#8 R. Gosens — Head Injury

#9 M. Sylla — Leg Injury

RB Leipzig

8 out

Attackers2/5

×#9

Midfielders4/11

×#8

×#28

×#8

×#28

Defenders2/10

×#3

Goalkeeper3

#9 M. Guiu — Hamstring Injury

#8 A. Ouedraogo — Shoulder Injury

#3 M. Esteve — Knock

#28 C. Nkunku — Groin Injury

#9 M. Guiu — Hamstring Injury

#8 A. Ouedraogo — Shoulder Injury

#3 M. Esteve — Knock

#28 C. Nkunku — Groin Injury

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Under 3.5

No

Under 1.5 goals in 1st half

Draw or RB Leipzig

Over 8.5

Result1 outcome · top 70%

Goals5 outcomes · top 68%

Match stats3 outcomes · top 66%

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Schalke

RB Leipzig

Squad & Injuries

Schalke

RB Leipzig