Port Vale vs Rochdale: result, stats and head-to-head

Result1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 1.62
The read
Port Vale's home solidity meets a Rochdale side that concedes regularly on the road.
- Port Vale are unbeaten at home in League Two: 3 wins, 2 draws, 4 goals for and 1 against in 5 games.
- Rochdale's away league record is 1 win, 2 draws, 3 defeats, with 9 goals conceded in 6.
- Port Vale have kept 6 clean sheets in 14 competitive matches.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonPort ValeEstimated chance42%

Goals1 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.88
The read
Two low-output attacks and Port Vale's stingy home defending point to a controlled, low-scoring game.
- Port Vale's 14 competitive games average 2.0 total goals (0.93 for, 1.07 against).
- Port Vale's 5 home league games have produced only 5 goals in total.
- Rochdale's away league matches average 2.33 goals (5 scored, 9 conceded in 6).
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostUnder 2.5Estimated chance57%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.83
The read
At least one side is likely to be shut out given Rochdale's away scoring rate and Port Vale's home defence.
- Rochdale have scored 3 goals in 8 away matches this season, an average of 0.38.
- Port Vale have conceded 1 goal in 5 home league games and kept 6 clean sheets in 14.
- Port Vale have scored just 6 league goals in 11, so blanks are common at both ends.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostNoEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.14
The read
Port Vale have found a goal in most home league games while Rochdale rarely keep the door shut away.
- Port Vale have scored 4 goals in 5 home league games and average 1.57 per home match across competitions.
- Rochdale have kept 1 clean sheet in 8 away matches.
- Port Vale scored in their last two home league games, both 1-0 wins.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonPort Vale over 0.5Estimated chance67%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.22
The read
Rochdale's away scoring volume is thin against a home defence conceding barely a goal a game.
- Rochdale average 0.38 goals per away match (3 in 8) and 0.83 in away league games (5 in 6).
- Port Vale have conceded 1 goal in 5 home league games.
- Rochdale average only 2.73 shots on target per game.
BetBugs · Away Goals TotallostRochdale under 1.5Estimated chance69%

Match stats2 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Rochdale allow a high volume of shots, and both sides put a reasonable share on target.
- Port Vale's matches average 7.1 shots on target combined (3.6 for, 3.5 against).
- Rochdale's away matches average 8.0 combined (3.3 for, 4.7 against).
- Rochdale face 16.9 shots per game, the heaviest workload in the sample.
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderwonOver 6.5Estimated chance64%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' corner numbers sit just below the line, making a total under 9.5 the marginally better side.
- Port Vale average 4.6 corners for and 5.2 against; Rochdale 4.5 for and 5.3 against.
- Rochdale's away matches average 4.3 for and 5.5 against.
- Combined venue-adjusted expectation is around nine corners.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonUnder 9.5Estimated chance56%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' card rates are moderate, giving a combined expectation just below the line.
- Port Vale average 1.7 yellow cards and Rochdale 1.9 per match.
- Opponents pick up roughly 1.4-1.6 yellows against each side.
- Only five red cards appear across the 28 tracked matches.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostUnder 3.5Estimated chance55%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
23	Port Vale Relegation - National League	11	3	3	5	6-12	12	LDWWL
17	Rochdale	13	4	3	6	15-22	15	LDLDW

Team

GF-GA

Pts

Port Vale

Relegation - National League

6-12

Rochdale

15-22

Port Vale4Rochdale2

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Under 2.5

No

Port Vale

Port Vale over 0.5

Rochdale under 1.5

BetBugs probabilities

Result1 of 1 landed

Goals1 of 4 landed

Match stats2 of 3 landed

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Port Vale

Rochdale

Squad & Injuries

Port Vale

Rochdale